Simulation Results: Singapore Classic

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adrien Saddier 1.75% 57 67 0.30% 3 1.83 Spreadex: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Alejandro Del Rey 0.95% 105 36 14
Alex Fitzpatrick 1.55% 65 56 125
Alexander Knappe 0.06% 1667 751 62
Alexander Levy 0.08% 1250 501 120
Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 0.30% 333 351 56
Andrea Pavan 0.97% 103 81 101
Andrew Wilson 0.48% 208 176 101
Andy Sullivan 1.34% 75 67 28
Angel Ayora 0.87% 115 46 64
Benjamin Follett-Smith 0.06% 1667 501 120
Benjamin Hebert 0.29% 345 251 49
Bernd Wiesberger 1.20% 83 151 0.50% 120 -0.5 Spreadex: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Bjorn Akesson 0.09% 1111 1001 110
Brandon Robinson Thompson 1.90% 53 51 20
Brandon Stone 0.89% 112 67 20
Brandon Wu 0.70% 143 151 49
Brayden Lee 0.01% 10000 1501 68
Brett Coletta 0.08% 1250 351 125
Callum Shinkwin 0.29% 345 201 28
Callum Tarren 0.80% 125 151 0.10% 106 -0.1 QuinnBet: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Calum Hill 1.22% 82 67 49
Cameron John 0.10% 1000 501 20
Carl Yuan 0.25% 400 201 91
Casey Jarvis 0.48% 208 111 91
Conor Purcell 0.16% 625 301 91
Dale Whitnell 0.38% 263 251 62
Dan Bradbury 0.56% 179 126 56
Dan Erickson 0.03% 3333 1501 6
Daniel Brown (Oct1994) 1.56% 64 56 68
Daniel Gale 0.08% 1250 501 56
Daniel Gavins 0.05% 2000 1501 101
Daniel Hillier 0.88% 114 56 36
Darius Van Driel 0.41% 244 226 81
David Micheluzzi 1.50% 67 71 0.10% 113 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 50/1, 10pl, 1/5
David Ravetto 0.64% 156 81 67
Deon Germishuys 0.35% 286 251 101
Dylan Frittelli 0.68% 147 101 28
Edoardo Molinari 0.48% 208 226 43
Ewen Ferguson 1.54% 65 67 43
Fabrizio Zanotti 0.82% 122 176 0.30% 9 -0.3 Skybet: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Francesco Laporta 1.51% 66 51 28
Freddy Schott 0.45% 222 151 91
Frederic Lacroix 0.65% 154 101 56
Gavin Green 0.73% 137 111 20
Grant Forrest 0.50% 200 126 68
Guido Migliozzi 1.17% 85 51 49
Hamish Brown 0.31% 323 151 113
Haotong Li 1.67% 60 41 9
Ivan Cantero 0.69% 145 76 49
Jack Senior 0.21% 476 351 81
Jak Carter 0.08% 1250 751 68
Jannik De Bruyn 0.17% 588 276 68
Jason Scrivener 0.55% 182 176 81
Jayden Schaper 1.71% 58 51 68
Jeff Winther 0.84% 119 151 0.20% 43 -0.2 BetVictor: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jens Dantorp 0.42% 238 251 36
Jeong Weon Ko 0.35% 286 151 20
Jimmy Walker 0.32% 313 401 0.10% 81 -0.1 Skybet: 400/1, 6pl, 1/5
Joakim Lagergren 0.47% 213 201 56
Joe Dean 1.42% 70 67 113
Joel Girrbach 0.31% 323 401 0.10% 106 -0.1 Paddy Power: 400/1, 7pl, 1/5
Joel Moscatel 0.11% 909 401 65
John Parry 0.77% 130 81 36
Joost Luiten 1.93% 52 51 36
Jordan Gumberg 0.16% 625 351 14
Jordan Smith 2.98% 34 34 28
Jorge Campillo 1.77% 56 51 65
Julien Brun 0.16% 625 301 123
Julien Guerrier 1.79% 56 51 81
Kazuma Kobori 0.54% 185 176 9
Keita Nakajima 1.36% 74 46 2
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 0.47% 213 126 91
Kristoffer Reitan 0.37% 270 176 81
Louis Albertse 0.12% 833 401 28
Lucas Bjerregaard 0.15% 667 401 81
Manuel Elvira 0.19% 526 251 9
Marcel Schneider 1.30% 77 71 68
Marcel Siem 0.84% 119 126 14
Marco Penge 0.53% 189 51 49
Marcus Armitage 0.41% 244 151 5
Marcus Kinhult 0.34% 294 151 68
Martin Couvra 0.54% 185 126 14
Matthew Baldwin 0.16% 625 501 132
Matthew Griffin 0.01% 10000 2501 81
Matthew Jordan 1.71% 58 46 6
Matthias Schwab 0.27% 370 501 0.10% 123 -0.1 QuinnBet: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Maximilian Kieffer 0.47% 213 176 91
Mikael Lindberg 0.05% 2000 601 43
Minkyu Kim 0.20% 500 251 49
Nacho Elvira 0.53% 189 201 20
Nathan Kimsey 1.20% 83 101 0.20% 110 -0.2 Spreadex: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Natipong Srithong 0.10% 1000 751 81
Neil Schietekat 0.05% 2000 1501 131
Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 0.57% 175 176 91
Nicolas Colsaerts 0.24% 417 351 113
Ockie Strydom 0.22% 455 251 128
Oliver Lindell 0.44% 227 91 28
Pablo Larrazabal 0.55% 182 176 91
Paul Casey 3.12% 32 21 36
Pierre Pineau 0.11% 909 501 68
Rafa Cabrera Bello 0.22% 455 501 113
Ricardo Gouveia 0.39% 256 151 14
Richard Mansell 1.50% 67 51 1
Richard Sterne 0.15% 667 601 113
Richie Ramsay 1.21% 83 126 0.40% 68 -0.4 Skybet: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Robert Macintyre 9.29% 11 9.5 9
Robin Williams 0.40% 250 126 128
Romain Langasque 1.64% 61 56 28
Ross Fisher 0.31% 323 351 68
Ryan Van Velzen 0.18% 556 176 81
Ryggs Johnston 0.23% 435 151 91
Sam Bairstow 2.80% 36 36 43
Sanghyun Park 0.13% 769 751 68
Seung-Yul Noh 0.59% 169 81 68
Shinichi Mizuno 0.00% 10000 2001 130
Shubhankar Sharma 0.67% 149 126 36
Tapio Pulkkanen 0.56% 179 176 36
Thomas Aiken 0.47% 213 301 0.10% 68 -0.1 Paddy Power: 300/1, 7pl, 1/5
Todd Clements 0.79% 127 91 20
Tom Mckibbin 4.88% 20 17 3
Tom Vaillant 0.41% 244 151 43
Troy Merritt 0.31% 323 301 106
Ugo Coussaud 1.43% 70 61 20
Veer Ahlawat 0.11% 909 751 125
Wenyi Ding 1.15% 87 34 14
Wilco Nienaber 0.49% 204 67 91
Yannik Paul 0.87% 115 176 0.30% 68 -0.3 Spreadex: 175/1, 6pl, 1/5
Yuto Katsuragawa 0.32% 313 201 6
Zander Lombard 0.14% 714 201 101
Zihao Jin 0.23% 435 151 110

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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