Simulation Results: Indian Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aaron Cockerill 0.49% 204 176 29
Abhinav Lohan 0.05% 2000 751 120
Adrian Otaegui 1.42% 70 56 80
Adrien Saddier 2.83% 35 29 5
Ajeetesh Sandhu 0.17% 588 351 31
Alex Fitzpatrick 0.72% 139 76 17
Alexander Knappe 0.26% 385 301 60
Alexander Levy 0.14% 714 501 89
Aman Raj 0.01% 10000 1001 67
Anant Singh Ahlawat 0.00% 10000 4001 126
Andrea Pavan 1.14% 88 67 10
Andreas Halvorsen 0.35% 286 126 6
Andrew Wilson 0.60% 167 111 133
Angad Cheema 0.08% 1250 1001 133
Angel Ayora 0.82% 122 51 52
Angel Hidalgo 0.46% 217 126 17
Anshul Mishra 0.02% 5000 1001 114
Austin Bautista 0.03% 3333 501 80
Ben Schmidt 0.24% 417 151 89
Benjamin Follett-Smith 0.08% 1250 501 114
Benjamin Hebert 0.42% 238 176 17
Bernd Wiesberger 0.88% 114 126 0.10% 133 -0.1 Spreadex: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Bjorn Akesson 0.09% 1111 601 89
Brandon Robinson Thompson 2.09% 48 41 17
Brandon Stone 1.96% 51 41 6
Brandon Wu 0.92% 109 111 89
Callum Shinkwin 1.05% 95 81 80
Calum Hill 1.40% 71 56 48
Cameron John 0.13% 769 251 103
Casey Jarvis 0.55% 182 126 31
Conor Purcell 0.32% 313 251 103
Daan Huizing 0.39% 256 201 122
Dale Whitnell 0.25% 400 251 123
Dan Erickson 0.14% 714 401 57
Daniel Gale 0.12% 833 401 63
Daniel Hillier 1.05% 95 51 48
Darius Van Driel 0.47% 213 176 89
David Ravetto 0.39% 256 151 40
Deon Germishuys 0.38% 263 251 17
Dhruv Sheoran 0.04% 2500 1001 103
Edoardo Molinari 0.58% 172 111 9
Eugenio Chacarra 1.18% 85 41 1
Ewen Ferguson 1.47% 68 41 17
Fabrizio Zanotti 2.15% 47 67 0.70% 58 -0.7 Paddy Power: 66/1, 7pl, 1/5
Francesco Laporta 2.36% 42 29 69
Frank Kennedy 0.02% 5000 1001 133
Frederic Lacroix 1.09% 92 46 13
Gaganjeet Bhullar 0.32% 313 201 17
Gavin Green 1.81% 55 46 31
Guido Migliozzi 1.13% 88 51 89
Harshjeet Singh Sethie 0.00% 10000 4001 127
Jack Senior 0.26% 385 301 43
Jairaj Singh Sandhu 0.01% 10000 2001 65
Jamal Hossain 0.05% 2000 1001 103
Jannik De Bruyn 0.30% 333 176 103
Jason Scrivener 0.65% 154 126 31
Jayden Schaper 2.35% 43 36 69
Jeff Winther 1.12% 89 101 0.10% 31 -0.1 Paddy Power: 100/1, 7pl, 1/5
Jens Dantorp 0.92% 109 126 0.10% 4 1.2 Ladbrokes: 125/1, 7pl, 1/5
Jeong Weon Ko 1.22% 82 67 31
Joakim Lagergren 0.42% 238 151 114
Joe Dean 1.04% 96 67 114
Joel Girrbach 0.43% 233 201 127
Joel Moscatel 0.14% 714 351 114
Johannes Veerman 1.26% 79 36 69
John Parry 1.62% 62 41 29
Joost Luiten 2.83% 35 26 3
Jordan Gumberg 0.45% 222 126 89
Jorge Campillo 2.68% 37 41 0.20% 31 -0.2 Spreadex: 40/1, 6pl, 1/5
Joshua Berry 0.25% 400 126 6
Julien Guerrier 1.98% 51 41 40
Justin Harding 0.16% 625 501 48
Karan Pratap Singh 0.00% 10000 2501 130
Kartik Singh 0.10% 1000 1501 69
Keita Nakajima 5.16% 19 17 2
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 0.40% 250 151 13
Kristoffer Reitan 0.41% 244 126 31
Kshitij Naveed Kaul 0.08% 1250 1001 60
Lachlan Barker 0.03% 3333 1001 131
Louis Albertse 0.26% 385 251 120
Lucas Bjerregaard 0.15% 667 351 99
M. Dharma 0.06% 1667 1501 69
Manu Gandas 0.05% 2000 1001 103
Manuel Elvira 0.47% 213 141 80
Marcel Schneider 1.55% 65 61 99
Marcel Siem 1.71% 58 61 0.10% 133 -0.1 Betfred: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Marco Penge 1.10% 91 51 69
Marcus Armitage 0.87% 115 81 43
Marcus Kinhult 0.61% 164 126 48
Martin Couvra 1.38% 72 76 0.10% 31 -0.1 Ladbrokes: 70/1, 7pl, 1/5
Matthew Baldwin 0.11% 909 751 89
Matthew Griffin 0.03% 3333 1501 127
Matthew Jordan 3.44% 29 26 12
Matthias Schwab 0.30% 333 301 103
Maximilian Kieffer 0.62% 161 126 80
Mikael Lindberg 0.18% 556 251 69
Minkyu Kim 0.33% 303 126 133
N. Thangaraja 0.11% 909 751 68
Nacho Elvira 1.34% 75 71 80
Nathan Kimsey 0.96% 104 91 13
Nicolas Colsaerts 0.17% 588 401 43
Oliver Lindell 0.78% 128 71 54
Om Prakash Chouhan 0.04% 2500 601 17
Pablo Larrazabal 0.80% 125 81 10
Pierre Pineau 0.14% 714 351 114
Rafa Cabrera Bello 0.25% 400 401 112
Rakshit Dahiya 0.00% 10000 1001 123
Rayhan Thomas 0.66% 152 126 69
Rhys Enoch 0.10% 1000 1001 69
Ricardo Gouveia 0.76% 132 91 17
Richard Mansell 1.99% 50 41 69
Richard Sterne 0.15% 667 501 89
Romain Langasque 3.30% 30 34 0.40% 112 -0.4 BetVictor: 33/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ross Fisher 0.45% 222 301 0.10% 58 -0.1 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ryan Van Velzen 0.20% 500 226 99
Ryggs Johnston 0.22% 455 201 69
S.S.P. Chawrasia 0.14% 714 301 80
Sachin Baisoya 0.17% 588 751 64
Sam Bairstow 2.32% 43 34 99
Saptak Talwar 0.05% 2000 1001 66
Shankar Das 0.01% 10000 2501 89
Shaurya Bhattacharya 0.04% 2500 1001 54
Shaurya Binu 0.01% 10000 1501 132
Shiv Kapur 0.03% 3333 1501 60
Shubhankar Sharma 0.94% 106 56 43
Tapio Pulkkanen 0.71% 141 151 13
Thomas Aiken 0.50% 200 201 80
Todd Clements 1.30% 77 61 40
Tom Vaillant 0.77% 130 91 54
Troy Merritt 0.36% 278 301 17
Udayan Mane 0.10% 1000 1001 123
Ugo Coussaud 2.32% 43 41 17
Varun Parikh 0.05% 2000 1001 80
Veer Ahlawat 0.23% 435 151 17
Wilco Nienaber 0.58% 172 81 52
Yannik Paul 1.94% 52 67 0.50% 43 -0.5 Skybet: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Yuvraj Sandhu 0.32% 313 276 103
Zander Lombard 0.11% 909 176 103

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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