Simulation Results: Vattanac Legends Championship

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva 4.67% 21 13 8
Andre Bossert 0.23% 435 301 56
Andrew Marshall 3.33% 30 26 4
Andrew Mclardy 0.41% 244 126 26
Anthony Wall 1.77% 56 46 2
Brian Davis 0.56% 179 176 26
Carl Suneson 0.13% 769 401 53
Carlos Balmaseda 0.14% 714 501 50
Clark Dennis 1.05% 95 101 0.10% 52 -0.1 Spreadex: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Craig Farrelly 0.49% 204 126 8
Darren Fichardt 12.89% 7.8 6 21
David Drysdale 2.16% 46 67 0.70% 1 28.875 Ladbrokes: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
David Howell 0.19% 526 201 30
David Park 0.06% 1667 501 17
David Shacklady 0.13% 769 351 43
Doug Mcguigan 1.08% 93 51
Emanuele Canonica 0.99% 101 101 33
Euan Mcintosh 0.50% 200 251 0.10% 36 -0.1 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Gary Murphy 0.23% 435 301 48
Greg Owen 3.55% 28 26 6
Greig Hutcheon 1.18% 85 111 0.30% 26 -0.3 Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
James Kingston 1.49% 67 34 40
Jamie Donaldson 7.84% 13 11 8
Jarmo Sandelin 0.46% 217 151 21
Jean-Francois Remesy 0.52% 192 251 0.10% 43 -0.1 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Joakim Haeggman 2.47% 40 34 8
Johan Edfors 1.24% 81 29 48
Jonathan Lomas 0.01% 10000 1501 60
Jyoti Randhawa 0.22% 455 226 17
Keith Horne 3.52% 28 29 0.10% 6 -0.1 Bet365: 28/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lionel Alexandre 0.53% 189 67 46
Ly Hong 0.00% 10000 501 59
Maarten Lafeber 2.34% 43 36 17
Malcolm Mackenzie 0.03% 3333 1001 46
Marc Farry 0.02% 5000 1501 58
Mark Brown 3.01% 33 36 0.20% 43 -0.2 Bet365: 35/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mark Mouland 0.04% 2500 1501 54
Markus Brier 1.02% 98 71 36
Matthew Cort 4.32% 23 19 36
Michael Campbell 0.72% 139 91 40
Michael Jonzon 0.62% 161 126 30
Michael Long 0.29% 345 351 14
Miguel Angel Martin 0.42% 238 301 0.10% 12 -0.1 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mikael Lundberg 3.77% 27 15 30
Niclas Fasth 0.06% 1667 751 21
Patrik Sjoland 1.26% 79 51 54
Paul Streeter 0.38% 263 251 26
Peter Baker 5.64% 18 14 2
Philip Golding 0.19% 526 501 50
Phillip Archer 0.97% 103 86 4
Phillip Price 1.84% 54 36 33
Robert Coles 1.18% 85 71 12
Roszali Baharuddin 0.00% 10000 1001 61
Scott Drummond 0.47% 213 176 17
Simon Griffiths 3.63% 28 19 14
Simon Khan 2.38% 42 41 21
Stephen Gallacher 5.06% 20 13 33
Stephen Leaney 0.27% 370 226 21
Steve Webster 2.74% 36 21 40
Steven Richardson 0.00% 10000 1001 56
Thomas Gogele 2.39% 42 26 14
Van Phillips 0.93% 108 36 36

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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