Simulation Results: Vattanac Legends Championship Legacy Edition

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva 3.94% 25 17 24
Andre Bossert 0.22% 455 401 59
Andrew Marshall 3.28% 30 21 11
Andrew Mclardy 0.53% 189 126 33
Anthony Wall 3.10% 32 34 0.20% 8 -0.2 Unibet: 33/1, 5pl, 1/4
Brian Davis 0.62% 161 181 0.10% 28 -0.1 Unibet: 180/1, 5pl, 1/4
Carl Suneson 0.10% 1000 601 60
Carlos Balmaseda 0.12% 833 751 62
Clark Dennis 0.72% 139 126 33
Craig Farrelly 0.75% 133 111 36
Darren Fichardt 11.54% 8.7 8.5 1
David Drysdale 2.39% 42 36 13
David Park 0.46% 217 401 0.20% 44 -0.2 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
David Shacklady 0.13% 769 401 41
Emanuele Canonica 0.85% 118 101 3
Euan Mcintosh 0.46% 217 351 0.20% 36 -0.2 Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Gary Murphy 0.22% 455 401 36
Greg Owen 3.32% 30 26 13
Greig Hutcheon 1.19% 84 151 0.50% 44 -0.5 Boyle Sports: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
James Kingston 1.07% 93 67 13
Jamie Donaldson 6.80% 15 13 3
Jarmo Sandelin 0.52% 192 111 3
Jean-Francois Remesy 0.44% 227 401 0.20% 28 -0.2 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jeev Milkha Singh 1.74% 57 41 8
Joakim Haeggman 2.66% 38 34 36
Johan Edfors 0.64% 156 46 28
Jonathan Lomas 0.01% 10000 2001 65
Jyoti Randhawa 0.29% 345 176 20
Keith Horne 3.62% 28 23 13
Lionel Alexandre 0.41% 244 111 41
Maarten Lafeber 2.16% 46 51 0.20% 13 -0.2 Boyle Sports: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Malcolm Mackenzie 0.04% 2500 2001 50
Marc Farry 0.03% 3333 2001 44
Mark Brown 2.08% 48 51 0.10% 6 -0.1 Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mark Mouland 0.03% 3333 2001 50
Markus Brier 0.87% 115 101 23
Matthew Cort 2.97% 34 29 6
Matthew Richardson 0.01% 10000 1001 64
Michael Campbell 0.55% 182 181 54
Michael Jonzon 0.53% 189 181 28
Michael Long 0.42% 238 176 54
Miguel Angel Martin 0.57% 175 301 0.20% 50 -0.2 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mikael Lundberg 2.91% 34 26 24
Niclas Fasth 0.08% 1250 751 36
Patrik Sjoland 0.82% 122 91 10
Paul Lawrie 1.46% 68 41 11
Paul Streeter 0.45% 222 276 0.10% 58 -0.1 Bet365: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Peter Baker 5.15% 19 12 13
Philip Golding 0.17% 588 751 60
Phillip Archer 1.10% 91 56 41
Phillip Price 1.35% 74 51 54
Robert Coles 1.39% 72 67 20
Scott Drummond 0.56% 179 151 54
Scott Hend 7.66% 13 7 2
Shinichi Yokota 0.20% 500 251 33
Simon Griffiths 3.37% 30 21 50
Simon Khan 2.05% 49 51 0.10% 49 -0.1 Coral: 50/1, 6pl, 1/5
Stephen Dodd 0.09% 1111 751 13
Stephen Gallacher 3.94% 25 21 24
Stephen Leaney 0.47% 213 251 0.10% 20 -0.1 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Steve Webster 1.38% 72 34 44
Steven Richardson 0.01% 10000 2001 63
Thomas Gogele 2.21% 45 31 28
Thomas Levet 0.03% 3333 751 44
Van Phillips 0.79% 127 71 24

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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