Simulation Results: Reignwood Legends Championship

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva 5.65% 18 12 40
Alessandro Tadini 0.49% 204 61 55
Andre Bossert 0.08% 1250 451 29
Andrew Mclardy 0.31% 323 81 36
Anthony Wall 6.11% 16 26 2.40% 60 -2.4 Bet365: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
Carl Suneson 0.09% 1111 451 26
Carlos Balmaseda 0.13% 769 601 29
Clark Dennis 1.58% 63 56 17
Craig Farrelly 0.33% 303 251 26
David Drysdale 5.40% 19 11 2
David Park 0.07% 1429 501 23
David Shacklady 0.09% 1111 59
Doug Mcguigan 3.67% 27 19 17
Emanuele Canonica 1.33% 75 56 2
Euan Mcintosh 0.72% 139 101 40
Garry Houston 0.03% 3333 601 40
Gary Evans 0.31% 323 176 52
Gary Murphy 0.14% 714 351 29
Gary Wolstenholme 0.05% 2000 601 46
Greig Hutcheon 2.00% 50 61 0.40% 9 -0.4 Spreadex: 60/1, 5pl, 1/5
James Kingston 3.67% 27 13 20
Jeev Milkha Singh 2.06% 49 36 20
Joakim Haeggman 3.43% 29 36 0.70% 29 -0.7 QuinnBet: 33/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jose Coceres 0.02% 5000 501 46
Jose Manuel Carriles 0.04% 2500 351 40
Juan Quiros 0.02% 5000 601 36
Keith Horne 7.69% 13 11 1
Lianwei Zhang 0.05% 2000 501 51
Maarten Lafeber 0.61% 164 126 6
Marc Farry 0.01% 10000 1001 55
Mark Mouland 0.02% 5000 1001 46
Markus Brier 0.75% 133 141 19
Matthew Cort 4.53% 22 29 1.10% 2 3.3 Bet365: 28/1, 5pl, 1/4
Michael Campbell 1.06% 94 176 0.50% 34 -0.5 Bet365: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Michael Jonzon 0.42% 238 111 46
Michael Long 0.21% 476 301 46
Michael Watson 0.12% 833 751 44
Miguel Angel Martin 0.26% 385 301 23
Mikael Lundberg 3.30% 30 36 0.50% 29 -0.5 QuinnBet: 33/1, 5pl, 1/4
Patrik Sjoland 1.63% 61 81 0.40% 16 -0.4 QuinnBet: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Paul Eales 0.07% 1429 351 34
Paul Lawrie 3.13% 32 29 6
Paul Streeter 0.24% 417 201 20
Philip Golding 0.58% 172 126 52
Phillip Archer 1.42% 70 61 44
Phillip Price 1.37% 73 81 0.10% 23 -0.1 QuinnBet: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Quan Yang 0.01% 10000 601 52
Robert Coles 2.54% 39 23 13
Santiago Luna 0.05% 2000 401 38
Scott Drummond 0.48% 208 351 0.20% 13 -0.2 Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Scott Hend 9.99% 10 6 11
Scott Henderson 0.09% 1111 401 38
Sean Whiffin 0.01% 10000 601 26
Shinichi Yokota 0.37% 270 101 11
Simon Griffiths 6.29% 16 15 9
Simon Khan 3.30% 30 21 13
Stephen Leaney 0.12% 833 101 58
Thomas Gogele 3.19% 31 21 55
Thongchai Jaidee 7.52% 13 10 6
Van Phillips 0.81% 123 81 5

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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