Simulation Results: Mauritius Golf Legends

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva 3.88% 26 15 19
Andrew Marshall 3.35% 30 26 5
Anthony Wall 2.92% 34 29 50
Ariel Canete 0.05% 2000 401 24
Bo Van Pelt 3.72% 27 26 11
Brian Davis 0.43% 233 201 19
Carl Suneson 0.12% 833 501 52
Carlos Balmaseda 0.14% 714 1001 43
Christian Cevaer 0.04% 2500 1001 58
Clark Dennis 0.89% 112 101 11
Craig Farrelly 0.47% 213 141 5
Darren Fichardt 9.98% 10 7 2
David Drysdale 2.09% 48 34 26
David Shacklady 0.12% 833 501 31
Emanuele Canonica 1.38% 72 67 19
Euan Mcintosh 0.46% 217 401 0.20% 36 -0.2 Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Greg Owen 3.69% 27 29 0.30% 1 5.25 BetMGM: 28/1, 5pl, 1/4
Greig Hutcheon 1.44% 69 126 0.70% 43 -0.7 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
James Kingston 1.61% 62 41 14
Jamie Donaldson 8.21% 12 13 0.60% 9 -0.6 Skybet: 12/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jarmo Sandelin 0.60% 167 71 55
Jean-Francois Remesy 0.63% 159 251 0.20% 36 -0.2 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jeev Milkha Singh 2.68% 37 41 0.20% 2 0.9 Bet365: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Joakim Haeggman 1.84% 54 46 34
Johan Edfors 0.52% 192 67 14
Jonathan Lomas 0.00% 10000 2501 57
Jyoti Randhawa 0.31% 323 226 19
Keith Horne 4.27% 23 23 36
Lionel Alexandre 0.46% 217 151 34
Maarten Lafeber 1.69% 59 51 52
Malcolm Mackenzie 0.06% 1667 2001 58
Marc Farry 0.02% 5000 2001 60
Mark Brown 2.59% 39 51 0.60% 26 -0.6 Bet365: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mark Mouland 0.03% 3333 2501 9
Markus Brier 0.86% 116 126 0.10% 36 -0.1 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Matthew Cort 2.75% 36 26 14
Michael Campbell 0.46% 217 226 5
Michael Jonzon 0.79% 127 181 0.20% 46 -0.2 Unibet: 180/1, 5pl, 1/4
Michael Long 0.38% 263 301 46
Miguel Angel Martin 0.46% 217 276 0.10% 14 -0.1 Bet365: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mikael Lundberg 2.72% 37 26 11
Niclas Fasth 0.11% 909 501 50
Patrik Sjoland 1.34% 75 67 19
Paul Mcginley 0.30% 333 251 46
Peter Baker 4.87% 21 11 4
Philip Golding 0.17% 588 751 49
Phillip Archer 1.08% 93 81 52
Phillip Price 1.08% 93 71 43
Robert Coles 1.86% 54 61 0.20% 36 -0.2 Unibet: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Scott Drummond 0.44% 227 201 24
Scott Hend 7.29% 14 7 26
Simon Griffiths 2.65% 38 29 36
Simon Khan 1.85% 54 71 0.40% 31 -0.4 PaddyPower: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Stephen Dodd 0.20% 500 401 31
Stephen Gallacher 3.40% 29 26 5
Steve Webster 0.93% 108 67 26
Thomas Gogele 2.20% 45 34 26
Thomas Levet 0.06% 1667 751 14
Van Phillips 1.04% 96 71 36
Vishnoo Seeneevassen 0.00% 10000 2501 56

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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