Simulation Results: European Legends Cup

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adilson Da Silva 4.39% 23 15 2
Andrew Marshall 3.36% 30 26 29
Anthony Wall 2.82% 35 34 24
Ariel Canete 0.42% 238 301 0.10% 50 -0.1 Boyle Sports: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Bradley Dredge 5.02% 20 13 20
Brian Davis 1.12% 89 151 0.50% 45 -0.5 Spreadex: 150/1, 5pl, 1/5
Carl Suneson 0.11% 909 501 34
Carlos Balmaseda 0.20% 500 301 42
Christian Cevaer 0.11% 909 451 60
Clark Dennis 1.18% 85 91 0.10% 20 -0.1 Spreadex: 90/1, 5pl, 1/5
Craig Farrelly 0.43% 233 201 29
David Drysdale 3.78% 26 31 0.60% 24 -0.6 Unibet: 28/1, 5pl, 1/4
David Shacklady 0.11% 909 501 54
Emanuele Canonica 1.29% 78 101 0.30% 7 -0.3 Spreadex: 100/1, 5pl, 1/5
Euan Mcintosh 0.88% 114 201 0.40% 34 -0.4 Boyle Sports: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Gary Orr 0.66% 152 301 0.30% 34 -0.3 Unibet: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Greg Owen 4.18% 24 29 0.80% 7 -0.8 Bet365: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
Greig Hutcheon 2.14% 47 56 0.40% 24 -0.4 Boyle Sports: 50/1, 6pl, 1/5
James Kingston 1.57% 64 31 7
Jarmo Sandelin 0.46% 217 161 45
Jean-Francois Remesy 0.77% 130 101 45
Jeev Milkha Singh 2.71% 37 41 0.30% 15 -0.3 Spreadex: 40/1, 5pl, 1/5
Jonathan Lomas 0.01% 10000 1501 57
Jose Coceres 0.07% 1429 551 58
Jose Manuel Carriles 0.07% 1429 351 50
Jose Maria Olazabal 0.81% 123 126 15
Juan Quiros 0.03% 3333 401 59
Jyoti Randhawa 0.39% 256 276 4
Keith Horne 4.99% 20 14 24
Lionel Alexandre 0.92% 109 101 42
Maarten Lafeber 1.74% 57 71 0.30% 5 1.0875 Bet365: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Marc Farry 0.02% 5000 1251 54
Mark Brown 5.69% 18 29 2.30% 15 -2.3 Boyle Sports: 25/1, 6pl, 1/5
Mark Mouland 0.01% 10000 1001 50
Markus Brier 1.42% 70 51 15
Matthew Cort 3.03% 33 34 0.10% 7 -0.1 Bet365: 30/1, 5pl, 1/4
Michael Jonzon 0.75% 133 126 38
Michael Long 0.38% 263 501 0.20% 42 -0.2 Boyle Sports: 500/1, 6pl, 1/5
Miguel Angel Martin 0.54% 185 301 0.20% 32 -0.2 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mikael Lundberg 4.21% 24 14 7
Niclas Fasth 0.07% 1429 1001 56
Patrik Sjoland 1.08% 93 101 0.10% 15 -0.1 Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Paul Streeter 0.37% 270 50
Peter Baker 5.88% 17 13 29
Philip Golding 0.28% 357 551 0.10% 34 -0.1 Bet365: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Phillip Archer 0.96% 104 151 0.30% 13 -0.3 Spreadex: 150/1, 5pl, 1/5
Phillip Price 2.21% 45 41 7
Robert Coles 1.60% 63 41 20
Santiago Luna 0.12% 833 401 41
Scott Drummond 0.64% 156 251 0.20% 13 -0.2 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Scott Hend 6.38% 16 10 1
Shinichi Yokota 0.16% 625 226 32
Simon Griffiths 4.11% 24 15 38
Simon Khan 2.47% 40 34 5
Stephen Dodd 0.11% 909 1001 20
Stephen Gallacher 7.67% 13 12 3
Stephen Leaney 0.09% 1111 276 24
Thomas Gogele 2.20% 45 41 38
Thomas Levet 0.10% 1000 351 45
Van Phillips 0.75% 133 111 45

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


© Copyright 1999-2025 Tour-Tips.com.
All rights reserved.

This Week's Updates