Simulation Results: PGTI Open

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Abhinav Lohan	0.23%	435	251		129
Adam Wallin	0.61%	164	61		6
Ajay Baisoya	0.00%	10000	1501		90
Akshay Sharma	0.52%	192	151		68
Albert Boneta	1.70%	59	51		12
Alejandro Aguilera	0.00%	10000	601		31
Alexander Knappe	0.28%	357	151		58
Alexander Levy	3.43%	29	26
Alfie Plant	0.92%	109	51		80
Amardeep Malik	0.67%	149	161		145
Anant Singh Ahlawat	0.02%	5000	1251		142
Andres Gallegos	0.18%	556	276		12
Angad Cheema	0.20%	500	301		47
Anshul Kabthiyal	0.45%	222	101		58
Anton Albers	0.55%	182	111		31
Arjun Prasad	1.84%	54	81	0.60%	36	-0.6	Spreadex: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Arjun Sharma	0.07%	1429	1001		47
Aron Zemmer	1.00%	100	81		9
Aryaman Aditya Mohan	0.05%	2000	501		80
Asier Aguirre Izcue	0.06%	1667	501		90
Badal Hossain	0.18%	556	501		90
Bailey Gill	0.06%	1667	351		116
Bastien Amat	0.46%	217	151		31
Bikramjit Sandhu	0.00%	10000	1501		129
Brashwarpal Singh	0.01%	10000	1251		66
Brijesh Kumar	0.03%	3333	751		90
Calum Fyfe	1.68%	60	29		68
Chandarjeet Yadav	0.02%	5000	751		116
Charlie Forster	0.53%	189	176		12
Charlie Thornton	0.01%	10000	1001		116
Chase Hanna	0.37%	270	141
Christofer Rahm	0.49%	204	276	0.10%	58	-0.1	Bet365: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Christoph Bleier	0.40%	250	81		62
Clement Sordet	2.13%	47	34		42
Conor Purcell	1.41%	71	51		26
Daan Huizing	0.28%	357	111		80
Danny List	0.93%	108	86
David Horsey	2.34%	43	19		36
Dhruv Bopanna	0.00%	10000	1251		145
Dhruv Sheoran	0.53%	189	151		42
Dhruv Suri	0.00%	10000	1501		129
Divyanshu Bajaj	0.07%	1429	751		90
Fiorino Clerici	0.01%	10000	1001		47
Gary Hurley	1.36%	74	56		31
Gaurav Pratap Singh	0.20%	500	401		104
Gavin Green	1.63%	61	67	0.10%	129	-0.1	Bet365: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
George Bloor	0.54%	185	101		90
Harman Sachdeva	0.09%	1111	601		116
Harsh Gangwar	0.01%	10000	1001		142
Himmat Singh Rai	0.04%	2500	1001		80
Honey Baisoya	1.27%	79	61		80
Jacopo Vecchi Fossa	0.46%	217	67		47
Jairaj Singh Sandhu	0.22%	455	301		125
Jamal Hossain	1.70%	59	91	0.60%	104	-0.6	Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
James Meyer De Beco	0.74%	135	81		104
Jamie Rutherford	1.63%	61	41		26
Jannik De Bruyn	1.77%	56	26		9
Javier Barcos Garbayo	0.10%	1000	276		90
Javier Calles Roman	0.05%	2000	401		68
Jerry Ji	0.57%	175	61		42
Jhared Hack	2.65%	38			2
Jiri Zuska	0.55%	182	201	0.10%			Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Joel Moscatel	0.51%	196	141		90
Jonathan Goth-Rasmussen	0.30%	333	141		25
Joshua Grenville-Wood	0.50%	200	81		145
Joshua Seale	0.01%	10000	1251		140
Joysurjo Dey	0.00%	10000	1501		90
Jujhar Singh	0.00%	10000	1501		104
Julien Brun	1.38%	72	36		55
Julien Quesne	1.01%	99	61		56
Julien Sale	1.08%	93	81		17
Karan Pratap Singh	0.00%	10000	1251
Karan Verma	0.00%	10000	1501		90
Kartik Singh	0.53%	189	161		22
Khalin H. Joshi	1.04%	96	71		104
Kristian Hjort Bressum	0.01%	10000	301		90
Kshitij Naveed Kaul	1.12%	89	61		80
Kushal Singh	0.02%	5000	751		36
Lars Van Der Vight	0.84%	119	111		116
Lars Van Meijel	2.12%	47	34		47
Lauri Ruuska	0.44%	227	91		67
Linus Lang	0.01%	10000	501		104
Lorenzo Scalise	2.19%	46	46		6
Lukas Nemecz	2.11%	47	34		4
M.J. Daffue	1.66%	60	61		1
Manish Thakran	0.01%	10000	1251		68
Manjot Singh	0.04%	2500	1501		104
Mansukh Sandhu	0.00%	10000	1501		136
Manu Gandas	1.96%	51	67	0.50%	80	-0.5	Bet365: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mark Power	1.19%	84	41		17
Martin Eriksson	0.60%	167	41		64
Martin Simonsen	1.41%	71	126	0.60%			Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Marvin Kibirige	0.01%	10000	1251		125
Matteo Cristoni	0.23%	435	176		36
Matthias Schwab	0.30%	333	226		68
Matthis Besard	1.23%	81	46		12
Maxence Giboudot	0.98%	102	67		26
Maximilian Kieffer	1.38%	72	26		31
Md Akbar Hossain	0.08%	1250	751		68
Michael Hirmer	0.12%	833	111		56
Mohd Azhar	0.22%	455	301		62
Om Prakash Chouhan	0.57%	175	151		26
Pablo Ereno Perez	2.84%	35	13		36
Pedro Figueiredo	1.88%	53	46		12
Per Langfors	1.32%	76	56		68
Philipp Katich	0.82%	122	67		104
Pierre Pineau	0.88%	114	67		104
Prakhar Asawa	0.01%	10000	1251		80
Pranav Mardikar	0.01%	10000	1501		80
Pritish Singh Karayat	0.04%	2500			17
R. Mari Muthu	0.10%	1000	501		145
Rashid Khan	0.25%	400	276		17
Ravi Kumar	0.11%	909	601		9
Robert Foley	0.08%	1250	301		90
Robin Williams	1.35%	74	41		47
Rohan Dhole Patil	0.05%	2000	751		140
Rohit Baisoya	0.00%	10000	1501		125
Ronan Kleu	0.73%	137	141		64
S. Chikkarangappa	0.19%	526	301		90
S. Manoj	0.34%	294	201		68
Sanjeev Kumar	0.05%	2000	751		104
Saptak Talwar	1.79%	56	36		2
Saurav Rathi	0.00%	10000	1501		129
Sebastian Friedrichsen	0.51%	196	101		5
Shamim Khan	0.15%	667	751		42
Shaurya Bhattacharya	2.02%	50	46		58
Shivendra Singh Sisodia	0.02%	5000	1251		129
Shubham Jaglan	0.81%	123	81		104
Soren Broholt Lind	0.07%	1429	301		80
Stepan Danek	0.10%	1000	601		104
Steven Brown	0.66%	152	141		68
Subash Tamang	0.25%	400	276		47
Sydney Wemba	0.03%	3333	1251		137
Tadeas Tetak	0.19%	526	141		47
Tapendra Ghai	0.14%	714	251		145
Tapio Pulkkanen	4.50%	22	16		36
Tiger Christensen	0.42%	238	126		68
Tom Lewis	1.35%	74	41		68
Varun Chopra	0.24%	417	401		26
Vasu Sehgal	0.01%	10000	1001		68
Veer Ahlawat	3.10%	32	13		22
Victor Bjorlow	0.05%	2000	351		42
Victor H. Sidal Svendsen	0.50%	200	151		125
Vikrant Chopra	0.01%	10000	1501		145
Vince Van Veen	0.07%	1429	351		137
Viraj Madappa	0.16%	625	251		135
Vishesh Sharma	0.08%	1250	501		90
Will Enefer	1.36%	74	31		17
Yurav Premlall	0.64%	156	86		22
Yuvraj Sandhu	2.14%	47	26		6
Yuvraj Singh	0.08%	1250	1001		116

Player	TT Win	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Abhinav Lohan	0.50%	200	91		78
Adam Wallin	0.94%	106	56		2
Ajay Baisoya	0.04%	2500	276		52
Akshay Sharma	0.64%	156	76		20
Albert Boneta	1.53%	65	36		5
Alejandro Aguilera	0.06%	1667	126		52
Alexander Knappe	0.45%	222	76		78
Alfie Plant	0.85%	118	46		52
Amardeep Malik	0.90%	111	91		128
Anant Singh Ahlawat	0.11%	909	276		112
Andres Gallegos	0.33%	303	126		9
Angad Cheema	0.47%	213	111		52
Anshul Kabthiyal	0.67%	149	76		78
Anton Albers	0.70%	143	76		52
Arjun Prasad	1.41%	71	61		20
Arjun Sharma	0.29%	345	276		20
Aron Zemmer	1.16%	86	56		9
Aryaman Aditya Mohan	0.17%	588	161		128
Asier Aguirre Izcue	0.20%	500	111		78
Badal Hossain	0.42%	238	151		52
Bailey Gill	0.23%	435	126		78
Bastien Amat	0.75%	133	91		112
Bikramjit Sandhu	0.03%	3333	276		112
Brashwarpal Singh	0.08%	1250	276		78
Brijesh Kumar	0.18%	556	181		112
Calum Fyfe	1.30%	77	34		78
Chandarjeet Yadav	0.15%	667	161		112
Charlie Forster	0.83%	120	67		42
Charlie Thornton	0.07%	1429	276		98
Christofer Rahm	0.76%	132	91		20
Christoph Bleier	0.61%	164	67		42
Clement Sordet	1.81%	55	26		52
Conor Purcell	1.42%	70	46		5
Daan Huizing	0.50%	200	76		78
David Horsey	1.82%	55	31		9
Dhruv Bopanna	0.00%	10000	276		143
Dhruv Sheoran	0.66%	152	91		78
Dhruv Suri	0.05%	2000	276		135
Divyanshu Bajaj	0.24%	417	181		98
Fiorino Clerici	0.06%	1667	151		20
Gary Hurley	1.21%	83	56		9
Gaurav Pratap Singh	0.41%	244	151		98
Gavin Green	1.35%	74	61		143
George Bloor	0.79%	127	67		52
Harman Sachdeva	0.23%	435	151		112
Harsh Gangwar	0.14%	714	181		135
Himmat Singh Rai	0.18%	556	276		78
Honey Baisoya	1.34%	75	61		52
Jacopo Vecchi Fossa	0.68%	147	36		52
Jairaj Singh Sandhu	0.47%	213	126		112
Jamal Hossain	1.32%	76	67		78
James Meyer De Beco	0.85%	118	67		98
Jamie Rutherford	1.31%	76	36		52
Jannik De Bruyn	1.40%	71	34		20
Javier Barcos Garbayo	0.33%	303	126		98
Javier Calles Roman	0.23%	435	151		52
Jerry Ji	0.85%	118	61		20
Jhared Hack	1.73%	58	36		9
Jiri Zuska	0.66%	152	111
Joel Moscatel	0.65%	154	76		52
Jonathan Goth-Rasmussen	0.53%	189	91		20
Joshua Grenville-Wood	0.77%	130	46		147
Joshua Seale	0.07%	1429	276		149
Joysurjo Dey	0.01%	10000	276		98
Jujhar Singh	0.03%	3333	276		135
Julien Brun	1.20%	83	36		42
Julien Quesne	0.97%	103	61		20
Julien Sale	1.01%	99	61		9
Karan Verma	0.05%	2000	276		98
Kartik Singh	0.78%	128	76		20
Khalin H. Joshi	1.00%	100	61		78
Koichiro Ishika	0.05%	2000			78
Kristian Hjort Bressum	0.03%	3333	126		135
Kshitij Naveed Kaul	1.11%	90	56		42
Kushal Singh	0.11%	909	181		78
Lars Van Der Vight	0.87%	115	76		98
Lars Van Meijel	1.94%	52	36		52
Lauri Ruuska	0.70%	143	67		20
Linus Lang	0.06%	1667	126		78
Lorenzo Scalise	1.85%	54	46		52
Lukas Nemecz	1.79%	56	36		5
M.J. Daffue	1.37%	73	56		42
Manish Thakran	0.12%	833	276		78
Manjot Singh	0.19%	526	276		98
Mansukh Sandhu	0.01%	10000	276		135
Manu Gandas	1.40%	71	61		42
Mark Power	1.25%	80	36		20
Martin Eriksson	0.93%	108	36		20
Marvin Kibirige	0.10%	1000	181		98
Matteo Cristoni	0.48%	208	101		20
Matthias Schwab	0.60%	167	91		128
Matthis Besard	1.26%	79	46		9
Maxence Giboudot	0.96%	104	56		2
Maximilian Kieffer	1.21%	83	34		20
Md Akbar Hossain	0.27%	370	161		78
Michael Hirmer	0.40%	250	76		20
Mohd Azhar	0.41%	244	126		52
Om Prakash Chouhan	0.77%	130	76		9
Pablo Ereno Perez	1.86%	54	23		52
Pedro Figueiredo	1.76%	57	46		20
Per Langfors	1.42%	70	36		52
Philipp Katich	0.86%	116	61		135
Pierre Pineau	0.90%	111	61		112
Prakhar Asawa	0.07%	1429	276		112
Pranav Mardikar	0.08%	1250	276		112
Pritish Singh Karayat	0.17%	588			20
R. Mari Muthu	0.29%	345	111		98
Rashid Khan	0.54%	185	126		2
Ravi Kumar	0.29%	345	161		20
Robert Foley	0.27%	370	126		112
Robin Williams	1.43%	70	46		42
Rohan Dhole Patil	0.16%	625	161		143
Rohit Baisoya	0.03%	3333	276		135
Ronan Kleu	0.95%	105	91		42
S. Chikkarangappa	0.40%	250	91		52
S. Manoj	0.63%	159	111		9
Sanjeev Kumar	0.16%	625	151		98
Saptak Talwar	1.57%	64	36		9
Saurav Rathi	0.02%	5000	276		143
Sebastian Friedrichsen	0.68%	147	76		1
Shamim Khan	0.40%	250	181		52
Shaurya Bhattacharya	1.69%	59	34		20
Shaurya Sharma	0.01%	10000			112
Shivendra Singh Sisodia	0.08%	1250	276		112
Shubham Jaglan	0.98%	102	61		52
Soren Broholt Lind	0.28%	357	101		112
Stepan Danek	0.34%	294	161		78
Steven Brown	0.80%	125	91		52
Subash Tamang	0.48%	208	126		112
Sydney Wemba	0.13%	769	276		128
Tadeas Tetak	0.43%	233	91		9
Taiga Tanaka	0.10%	1000			42
Tapendra Ghai	0.39%	256	101		128
Tapio Pulkkanen	3.05%	33	23		20
Tiger Christensen	0.75%	133	91		52
Tom Lewis	1.23%	81	46		78
Varun Chopra	0.39%	256	151		42
Vasu Sehgal	0.09%	1111	276		52
Veer Ahlawat	1.95%	51	21		128
Victor Bjorlow	0.23%	435	101		52
Victor H. Sidal Svendsen	0.78%	128	91		78
Vikrant Chopra	0.05%	2000	276		112
Vince Van Veen	0.23%	435	126		135
Viraj Madappa	0.30%	333	91		52
Vishesh Sharma	0.25%	400	161		98
Will Enefer	1.20%	83	36		98
Yurav Premlall	0.90%	111	67		5
Yuvraj Sandhu	1.58%	63	34		20
Yuvraj Singh	0.23%	435	276		128

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Arjun Prasad	1.84%	54	81	0.60%	36	-2	Spreadex: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Jamal Hossain	1.70%	59	91	0.60%	104	-2	Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Martin Simonsen	1.41%	71	126	0.60%			Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.