Simulation Results: Interwetten Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Adri Arnaus 0.88% 114 67 28
Albert Boneta 1.81% 55 46 109
Albin Bergstrom 1.39% 72 56 109
Alexander Settemsdal 0.18% 556 801 0.10% 109 -0.1 Bet365: 800/1, 5pl, 1/4
Alfie Plant 1.41% 71 51 93
Andoni Etchenique 0.20% 500 501 67
Anton Albers 1.14% 88 91 44
Aron Zemmer 0.44% 227 276 0.10% 10 -0.1 PaddyPower: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ashley Chesters 0.74% 135 81
Aydan Verdonk 0.01% 10000 2501 93
Ayden Knight 0.00% 10000 2501 154
Aymeric Laussot 0.44% 227 201 133
Bailey Gill 0.08% 1250 601 49
Bard Bjornevik Skogen 2.07% 48 46 21
Bastien Amat 0.20% 500 401 37
Ben Stow 0.35% 286 301 10
Benjamin Follett-Smith 1.04% 96 91 61
Benjamin Kedochim 0.04% 2500 3001 93
Benjamin Rusch 1.31% 76 67 129
Bernard Neumayer 0.00% 10000 2001 148
Bradley Bawden 0.14% 714 601 67
Brandon Kewalramani 0.28% 357 351 93
Bryce Easton 1.56% 64 51 15
Callan Barrow 0.81% 123 67 136
Cedric Gugler 0.24% 417 351 67
Chase Hanna 0.48% 208 201 81
Chris Paisley 0.34% 294 301 93
Christian Jacobsen 1.06% 94 67 81
Christofer Blomstrand 0.89% 112 91 81
Christofer Rahm 0.41% 244 276 136
Christoph Bleier 0.13% 769 201 49
Christopher White 0.00% 10000 2501 136
Clement Charmasson 1.67% 60 81 0.40% 55 -0.4 Unibet: 80/1, 6pl, 1/5
Craig Howie 0.20% 500 126 81
Curtis Knipes 0.04% 2500 276 122
Daan Huizing 1.21% 83 56 28
Damien Perrier 0.23% 435 301 93
Daniel Hebenstreit 0.00% 10000 1501 93
David Boote 0.25% 400 81
David Law 2.35% 43 29 6
David Lundgren 0.16% 625 351 28
Euan Walker 2.96% 34 21 21
Fabian Lang 0.01% 10000 1501 133
Felix Mory 1.03% 97 61 10
Filippo Celli 0.84% 119 61 2
Florian Schweighofer 0.00% 10000 1001 37
Frank Kennedy 0.13% 769 401 154
Gabriel Morgan 0.31% 323 401 0.10% 66 -0.1 Ladbrokes: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Gary King 0.09% 1111 1501 44
George Ash 0.04% 2500 1501 109
George Bloor 0.67% 149 101 21
George Mason 0.14% 714 1001 109
Gregor Graham 0.25% 400 501 0.10% 15 -0.1 Bet365: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Gudmundur Kristjansson 0.13% 769 1001 144
Gunner Wiebe 0.22% 455 301 136
Haraldur Magnus 0.23% 435 61
Hayden Hopewell 0.27% 370 301 144
Hugo Townsend 1.60% 63 81 0.40% 7 -0.4 Unibet: 80/1, 6pl, 1/5
J.C. Ritchie 2.63% 38 21 3
Jack Davidson 1.12% 89 61 67
Jack Floydd 0.04% 2500 2501 28
Jack Madden 0.07% 1429 601 81
Jack Mcdonald 2.08% 48 41 109
James Allan 1.00% 100 101 93
James Meyer De Beco 0.25% 400 351 67
James Ross 0.13% 769 1001 37
Javier Sainz 0.39% 256 201 15
Jens Fahrbring 0.61% 164 101 58
Jens Kristian Thysted 0.35% 286 201 93
Jeremy Freiburghaus 0.71% 141 67 81
Jiri Zuska 0.32% 313 176 109
Joachim B. Hansen 0.01% 10000 2501 81
John Axelsen 1.32% 76 51 28
John Murphy 0.01% 10000 751 109
Jonas Blixt 0.22% 455 251 133
Jonathan Goth-Rasmussen 1.39% 72 67 136
Jovan Rebula 0.92% 109 101 3
Julian Perico 0.72% 139 126 10
Justin Harding 0.57% 175 201 0.10% 144 -0.1 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Justin Walters 0.94% 106 71 93
Keanu Akina 0.00% 10000 109
Keenan Davidse 0.56% 179 201 0.10% 93 -0.1 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kim Koivu 0.26% 385 201 109
Kyle Barker 0.09% 1111 501 58
Lars Van Meijel 1.31% 76 61 49
Lauri Ruuska 0.24% 417 301 67
Leon Acikalin 0.01% 10000 1501 67
Linus Lang 0.04% 2500 1001 61
Lorenzo Scalise 1.36% 74 34 49
Louis Albertse 0.36% 278 276 136
Luca Cianchetti 0.05% 2000 1251 67
Lucas Vacarisas 1.91% 52 41 67
Lukas Boandl 0.02% 5000 1001 61
Lukas Nemecz 2.00% 50 26 7
Lukas Pany 0.00% 10000 148
Marc Hammer 1.26% 79 41 122
Martin Simonsen 1.01% 99 91 81
Mathieu Decottignies-Lafon 0.34% 294 176 37
Matthis Besard 1.63% 61 61 44
Matyas Zapletal 0.00% 10000 3001 152
Maxence Giboudot 0.60% 167 151 15
Maximilian Jelinek 0.02% 5000 1501 122
Maximilian Puregger 0.00% 10000 109
Maximilian Schmitt 0.30% 333 276 93
Maximilian Steinlechner 1.63% 61 21 1
Michal Bargenda 0.00% 10000 4001 148
Michal Talanda 0.00% 10000 2501 156
Michele Ortolani 0.37% 270 301 10
Moritz Russling 0.00% 10000 67
Nathan Legendre 0.26% 385 401 49
Nicholas Infanti 0.20% 500 601 129
Nick Carlson 3.07% 33 41 0.60% 44 -0.6 Bet365: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Nicolai Kristensen 0.45% 222 101 81
Niklas Regner 0.18% 556 251 136
Oihan Guillamoundeguy 1.93% 52 36 3
Oliver Bekker 0.56% 179 176 37
Oliver Csanyi 0.00% 10000 3001 129
Oliver Farr 0.67% 149 91 152
Oliver Gillberg 0.62% 161 126 49
Oliver Wilson 1.11% 90 67 122
Palmer Jackson 1.08% 93 67 44
Paul Schebesta 0.00% 10000 93
Pedro Figueiredo 1.21% 83 81 37
Per Langfors 1.46% 68 67 67
Philipp Katich 0.37% 270 151 67
Quim Vidal 0.82% 122 81 28
Renato Paratore 2.13% 47 34 21
Rhys Enoch 0.53% 189 126 93
Robin Petersson 0.89% 112 101 7
Rocco Repetto 1.50% 67 61 21
Ronan Kleu 0.43% 233 201 144
Rupert Kaminski 0.13% 769 401 109
Sam Jones 0.65% 154 126 15
Sam Locke 0.07% 1429 1001 55
Santiago Tarrio 1.41% 71 41 28
Sebastian Friedrichsen 1.25% 80 67 37
Sebastian Garcia 1.11% 90 81 93
Simon Zach 0.02% 5000 1501 129
Soren Broholt Lind 0.07% 1429 1001 122
Thomas Power Horan 0.08% 1250 1501 93
Tim Tillmanns 0.31% 323 201 21
Timon Baltl 0.45% 222 201 122
Tobias Jonsson 2.28% 44 31 28
Tom Bevington 0.00% 10000 2501 148
Tom Shadbolt 0.22% 455 276 136
Tomas Gouveia 0.79% 127 101 28
Tyko Tuohimaa 0.00% 10000 3001 122
Velten Meyer 0.21% 476 276 109
Victor H. Sidal Svendsen 0.81% 123 101 81
Victor Pastor 0.38% 263 251 67
Vince Van Veen 0.18% 556 301 15
Wil Besseling 1.45% 69 81 0.20% 58 -0.2 Ladbrokes: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Will Enefer 1.42% 70 61 61
Will Hopkins 0.19% 526 501 21
Wouter De Vries 0.85% 118 126 0.10% 55 -0.1 Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yente Van Doren 0.00% 10000 351 67

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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