Simulation Results: Northern Territory PGA Championship

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Pike	0.90%	111	101		109
Aaron Townsend	0.63%	159	251	0.20%	12	-0.2	PaddyPower: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Adam Brady	0.40%	250	151		84
Aiden Didone	0.29%	345	501	0.10%	31	-0.1	Bet365: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Alex Edge	0.17%	588	401		93
Alexander Simpson	0.36%	278	151		115
Andre Lautee	0.71%	141	201	0.20%	12	-0.2	Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Andrew Kelly	0.94%	106	111		72
Andrew Martin	2.58%	39	29		1
Andrew Richards	0.17%	588			36
Anthony Quayle	3.63%	28	8		8
Ben Carpenter	0.02%	5000	151		72
Ben Eccles	1.20%	83	46		84
Ben Henkel	1.81%	55	41		59
Blaike Perkins	0.22%	455	351		25
Blake Phillips	0.01%	10000	81		17
Blake Proverbs	0.54%	185	176		72
Blake Windred	0.80%	125	91		93
Bradley Kivimets	0.08%	1250	751		115
Brock Healy	0.05%	2000	151		84
Cameron Harlock	0.28%	357	176		54
Charlie Robbins	0.14%	714	301		72
Christopher Fan	0.46%	217	401	0.20%	72	-0.2	Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Christopher Malec	0.11%	909	176		84
Christopher Wood	0.91%	110	91		36
Connor McDade	0.97%	103	67		36
Cooper Eccleston	0.65%	154	351	0.40%	59	-0.4	Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Cory Crawford	2.96%	34	29		20
Daniel Gill	0.63%	159	501	0.40%	98	-0.4	Bet365: 500/1, 5pl, 1/4
Darcy Brereton	1.57%	64	67	0.10%	25	-0.1	Spreadex: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Deyen Lawson	1.51%	66	101	0.50%	72	-0.5	Bet365: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dillon Hart	0.50%	200	401	0.30%	56	-0.3	Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dimitrios Papadatos	0.32%	313			58
Doong Gyu Han	0.21%	476	751	0.10%	118	-0.1	Bet365: 750/1, 5pl, 1/4
Douglas Klein	4.93%	20	26	1.10%	12	-1.1	Skybet: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dylan Gardner	0.54%	185	251	0.10%	17	-0.1	William Hill: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
George Worrall	0.12%	833	276		36
Hamish Murray	0.00%	10000	151		84
Harrison Crowe	2.57%	39	19		25
Harry McMillan	0.02%	5000	401		120
Jack Buchanan	4.87%	21	23	0.50%	25	-0.5	Spreadex: 22/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jack Harrison	0.07%	1429	501		93
Jack Munro	1.33%	75	56		8
Jack Pountney	0.13%	769	351		105
Jack Tanner	0.04%	2500	601		36
Jak Carter	2.59%	39	29		109
Jake Hughes	0.17%	588	251		25
Jake McLeod	4.69%	21	15		3
James Conran	0.76%	132	86		12
James Gibellini	0.63%	159	401	0.40%	59	-0.4	Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
James Goffman	0.00%	10000	176		72
James Hydes	0.42%	238	401	0.20%	93	-0.2	Bet365: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
James Marchesani	2.27%	44	29		59
James Mee	0.16%	625	401		72
James Tauariki	0.17%	588	301		109
Jared Edwards	0.70%	143	126		25
Jarryd Felton	1.11%	90	111	0.20%	31	-0.2	Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jason Hong	1.01%	99	61		4
Jason Norris	1.51%	66	126	0.70%	36	-0.7	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jasper Stubbs	0.91%	110	126	0.10%	17	-0.1	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jay Mackenzie	0.91%	110	176	0.30%	7	-0.3	Skybet: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jayce Hargrove	0.00%	10000	251		59
Jayden Cripps	0.02%	5000	401		84
Jayden Ford	0.29%	345	301		20
Jeffrey Guan	2.71%	37	71	1.30%	98	-1.3	PaddyPower: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jimmy Zheng	0.20%	500	91		59
Joel Mitchell	1.45%	69	351	1.20%	43	-1.2	Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jordan Doull	2.53%	40	26		4
Jose De Sousa	0.01%	10000	601		105
Joseph Owen	0.13%	769	501		68
Josh Armstrong	1.25%	80	56		98
Josh Clarke	0.08%	1250	351		51
Josh Edgar	0.00%	10000	251		109
Josh Younger	0.84%	119	126		36
Joshua Holbrook	0.02%	5000	501		68
Justin Morley	0.00%	10000	601		72
Jye Halls	0.45%	222	67		109
Jye Pickin	0.94%	106	126	0.10%	54	-0.1	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kameron Williams	0.20%	500	276		108
Kayun Mudadana	0.35%	286	81		105
Kerry Mountcastle	1.47%	68	41		72
Kurt Watts	0.00%	10000	1001		119
Lachlan Aylen	0.57%	175	351	0.30%	84	-0.3	Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lachlan Barker	1.88%	53	34		43
Lincoln Tighe	2.08%	48	41		68
Louis Dobbelaar	1.04%	96	56		31
Lucas Higgins	0.41%	244	176		98
Mako Thompson	0.76%	132	141	0.10%	43	-0.1	Bet365: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Matias Sanchez	1.64%	61	56		43
Matt Dowling	0.04%	2500	1001		68
Matthew Cleary	0.02%	5000	401		84
Matthew Stieger	0.21%	476	151		98
Max Charles	0.22%	455	501		20
Max Ford	0.19%	526	401		93
Max Moring	0.48%	208	56		72
Nathan Barbieri	2.43%	41	29		2
Nathan Jordi	0.01%	10000	351		35
Nathan Page	0.78%	128	51		59
Patrick Healy	0.02%	5000	126		4
Peter Cooke	1.09%	92	67		31
Phoenix Campbell	0.41%	244	101		98
Quinnton Croker	2.71%	37	26		53
Sam Rumpff	0.00%	10000	351		109
Samuel Slater	0.25%	400	251		12
Scotty Kennon	0.55%	182	71		8
Shae Wools-Cobb	0.76%	132	126		43
Simon Hawkes	0.75%	133	151	0.10%	98	-0.1	Spreadex: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Souta Fujii	0.11%	909	401		50
Steven Vail	0.00%	10000	751		115
Tim Hart	0.79%	127	36		20
Ty Gingerich	0.04%	2500	301		72
Tyler Griggs	0.00%	10000	401		59
Tyler Wood	1.26%	79	56		8
Viraj Garewal	0.04%	2500	401		57
Wil Daibarra	0.84%	119	161	0.20%	84	-0.2	Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Will Florimo	3.80%	26	21		51
William Bruyeres	0.24%	417	176		43
Zach Ion	0.20%	500	251		20
Zach Murray	1.08%	93	101	0.10%	43	-0.1	William Hill: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Zachary Maxwell	0.04%	2500	401		59

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Pike	2.92%	34
Aaron Townsend	2.24%	45
Adam Brady	1.38%	72
Aiden Didone	1.11%	90
Alex Edge	0.60%	167
Alexander Simpson	1.45%	69
Andre Lautee	2.43%	41
Andrew Kelly	3.02%	33
Andrew Martin	7.22%	14
Andrew Richards	0.63%	159
Anthony Quayle	9.37%	11
Ben Carpenter	0.13%	769
Ben Eccles	3.69%	27
Ben Henkel	5.12%	20
Blaike Perkins	0.86%	116
Blake Phillips	0.04%	2500
Blake Proverbs	1.96%	51
Blake Windred	2.74%	36
Bradley Kivimets	0.36%	278
Brock Healy	0.22%	455
Cameron Harlock	1.04%	96
Charlie Robbins	0.55%	182
Christopher Fan	1.68%	60
Christopher Malec	0.40%	250
Christopher Wood	2.92%	34
Connor McDade	3.03%	33
Cooper Eccleston	2.25%	44
Cory Crawford	7.87%	13
Daniel Gill	2.09%	48
Darcy Brereton	4.62%	22
Deyen Lawson	4.56%	22
Dillon Hart	1.78%	56
Dimitrios Papadatos	1.18%	85
Doong Gyu Han	0.75%	133
Douglas Klein	12.01%	8.3
Dylan Gardner	1.92%	52
George Worrall	0.46%	217
Hamish Murray	0.01%	10000
Harrison Crowe	7.23%	14
Harry McMillan	0.13%	769
Jack Buchanan	11.99%	8.3
Jack Harrison	0.33%	303
Jack Munro	4.09%	24
Jack Pountney	0.52%	192
Jack Tanner	0.17%	588
Jak Carter	7.43%	13
Jake Hughes	0.65%	154
Jake McLeod	11.67%	8.6
James Conran	2.49%	40
James Gibellini	2.11%	47
James Goffman	0.01%	10000
James Hydes	1.65%	61
James Marchesani	6.46%	15
James Mee	0.72%	139
James Tauariki	0.65%	154
Jared Edwards	2.34%	43
Jarryd Felton	3.46%	29
Jason Hong	3.44%	29
Jason Norris	4.44%	23
Jasper Stubbs	2.75%	36
Jay Mackenzie	2.97%	34
Jayce Hargrove	0.02%	5000
Jayden Cripps	0.08%	1250
Jayden Ford	1.10%	91
Jeffrey Guan	7.55%	13
Jimmy Zheng	0.81%	123
Joel Mitchell	4.36%	23
Jordan Doull	7.09%	14
Jose De Sousa	0.08%	1250
Joseph Owen	0.55%	182
Josh Armstrong	3.81%	26
Josh Clarke	0.40%	250
Josh Edgar	0.02%	5000
Josh Younger	2.70%	37
Joshua Holbrook	0.10%	1000
Justin Morley	0.02%	5000
Jye Halls	1.57%	64
Jye Pickin	2.97%	34
Kameron Williams	0.77%	130
Kayun Mudadana	1.32%	76
Kerry Mountcastle	4.49%	22
Kurt Watts	0.02%	5000
Lachlan Aylen	1.96%	51
Lachlan Barker	5.49%	18
Lincoln Tighe	5.82%	17
Louis Dobbelaar	3.35%	30
Lucas Higgins	1.52%	66
Mako Thompson	2.49%	40
Matias Sanchez	4.88%	20
Matt Dowling	0.20%	500
Matthew Cleary	0.10%	1000
Matthew Stieger	0.86%	116
Max Charles	0.88%	114
Max Ford	0.70%	143
Max Moring	1.77%	56
Nathan Barbieri	6.96%	14
Nathan Jordi	0.06%	1667
Nathan Page	2.64%	38
Patrick Healy	0.10%	1000
Peter Cooke	3.51%	28
Phoenix Campbell	1.51%	66
Quinnton Croker	7.59%	13
Sam Rumpff	0.02%	5000
Samuel Slater	1.06%	94
Scotty Kennon	1.92%	52
Shae Wools-Cobb	2.52%	40
Simon Hawkes	2.43%	41
Souta Fujii	0.48%	208
Steven Vail	0.03%	3333
Tim Hart	2.68%	37
Ty Gingerich	0.23%	435
Tyler Griggs	0.02%	5000
Tyler Wood	3.97%	25
Viraj Garewal	0.18%	556
Wil Daibarra	2.76%	36
Will Florimo	9.91%	10
William Bruyeres	1.00%	100
Zach Ion	0.70%	143
Zach Murray	3.38%	30
Zachary Maxwell	0.23%	435

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Pike	5.01%	20
Aaron Townsend	3.87%	26
Adam Brady	2.50%	40
Aiden Didone	2.05%	49
Alex Edge	1.19%	84
Alexander Simpson	2.59%	39
Andre Lautee	4.30%	23
Andrew Kelly	5.19%	19
Andrew Martin	11.49%	8.7
Andrew Richards	1.25%	80
Anthony Quayle	14.26%	7
Ben Carpenter	0.29%	345
Ben Eccles	6.28%	16
Ben Henkel	8.36%	12
Blaike Perkins	1.67%	60
Blake Phillips	0.09%	1111
Blake Proverbs	3.50%	29
Blake Windred	4.75%	21
Bradley Kivimets	0.75%	133
Brock Healy	0.48%	208
Cameron Harlock	1.98%	51
Charlie Robbins	1.08%	93
Christopher Fan	3.11%	32
Christopher Malec	0.83%	120
Christopher Wood	5.13%	19
Connor McDade	5.08%	20
Cooper Eccleston	4.01%	25
Cory Crawford	12.47%	8
Daniel Gill	3.71%	27
Darcy Brereton	7.74%	13
Deyen Lawson	7.57%	13
Dillon Hart	3.20%	31
Dimitrios Papadatos	2.23%	45
Doong Gyu Han	1.43%	70
Douglas Klein	17.95%	5.6
Dylan Gardner	3.36%	30
George Worrall	0.91%	110
Hamish Murray	0.04%	2500
Harrison Crowe	11.28%	8.9
Harry McMillan	0.31%	323
Jack Buchanan	17.89%	5.6
Jack Harrison	0.73%	137
Jack Munro	6.80%	15
Jack Pountney	1.03%	97
Jack Tanner	0.37%	270
Jak Carter	11.66%	8.6
Jake Hughes	1.30%	77
Jake McLeod	17.46%	5.7
James Conran	4.46%	22
James Gibellini	3.78%	26
James Goffman	0.03%	3333
James Hydes	2.93%	34
James Marchesani	10.36%	9.7
James Mee	1.39%	72
James Tauariki	1.33%	75
Jared Edwards	4.10%	24
Jarryd Felton	5.84%	17
Jason Hong	5.75%	17
Jason Norris	7.37%	14
Jasper Stubbs	4.80%	21
Jay Mackenzie	5.19%	19
Jayce Hargrove	0.04%	2500
Jayden Cripps	0.17%	588
Jayden Ford	2.07%	48
Jeffrey Guan	11.71%	8.5
Jimmy Zheng	1.58%	63
Joel Mitchell	7.31%	14
Jordan Doull	11.17%	9
Jose De Sousa	0.17%	588
Joseph Owen	1.14%	88
Josh Armstrong	6.51%	15
Josh Clarke	0.84%	119
Josh Edgar	0.04%	2500
Josh Younger	4.76%	21
Joshua Holbrook	0.24%	417
Justin Morley	0.03%	3333
Jye Halls	2.94%	34
Jye Pickin	5.08%	20
Kameron Williams	1.50%	67
Kayun Mudadana	2.47%	40
Kerry Mountcastle	7.57%	13
Kurt Watts	0.04%	2500
Lachlan Aylen	3.53%	28
Lachlan Barker	8.93%	11
Lincoln Tighe	9.33%	11
Louis Dobbelaar	5.63%	18
Lucas Higgins	2.85%	35
Mako Thompson	4.42%	23
Matias Sanchez	8.07%	12
Matt Dowling	0.42%	238
Matthew Cleary	0.22%	455
Matthew Stieger	1.67%	60
Max Charles	1.69%	59
Max Ford	1.33%	75
Max Moring	3.14%	32
Nathan Barbieri	11.00%	9.1
Nathan Jordi	0.15%	667
Nathan Page	4.65%	22
Patrick Healy	0.23%	435
Peter Cooke	5.88%	17
Phoenix Campbell	2.84%	35
Quinnton Croker	11.96%	8.4
Sam Rumpff	0.03%	3333
Samuel Slater	2.02%	50
Scotty Kennon	3.47%	29
Shae Wools-Cobb	4.43%	23
Simon Hawkes	4.32%	23
Souta Fujii	0.99%	101
Steven Vail	0.08%	1250
Tim Hart	4.78%	21
Ty Gingerich	0.45%	222
Tyler Griggs	0.05%	2000
Tyler Wood	6.66%	15
Viraj Garewal	0.42%	238
Wil Daibarra	4.83%	21
Will Florimo	14.93%	6.7
William Bruyeres	1.92%	52
Zach Ion	1.31%	76
Zach Murray	5.74%	17
Zachary Maxwell	0.48%	208

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Pike	10.45%	9.6
Aaron Townsend	8.35%	12
Adam Brady	5.88%	17
Aiden Didone	4.83%	21
Alex Edge	3.11%	32
Alexander Simpson	5.83%	17
Andre Lautee	9.12%	11
Andrew Kelly	10.78%	9.3
Andrew Martin	20.74%	4.8
Andrew Richards	3.27%	31
Anthony Quayle	24.61%	4.1
Ben Carpenter	0.93%	108
Ben Eccles	12.75%	7.8
Ben Henkel	16.09%	6.2
Blaike Perkins	4.13%	24
Blake Phillips	0.32%	313
Blake Proverbs	7.64%	13
Blake Windred	10.05%	10
Bradley Kivimets	2.03%	49
Brock Healy	1.34%	75
Cameron Harlock	4.66%	21
Charlie Robbins	2.80%	36
Christopher Fan	6.94%	14
Christopher Malec	2.22%	45
Christopher Wood	10.63%	9.4
Connor McDade	10.72%	9.3
Cooper Eccleston	8.77%	11
Cory Crawford	22.27%	4.5
Daniel Gill	8.32%	12
Darcy Brereton	15.06%	6.6
Deyen Lawson	14.82%	6.7
Dillon Hart	7.10%	14
Dimitrios Papadatos	5.38%	19
Doong Gyu Han	3.58%	28
Douglas Klein	29.92%	3.3
Dylan Gardner	7.45%	13
George Worrall	2.51%	40
Hamish Murray	0.13%	769
Harrison Crowe	20.75%	4.8
Harry McMillan	0.93%	108
Jack Buchanan	29.68%	3.4
Jack Harrison	2.01%	50
Jack Munro	13.45%	7.4
Jack Pountney	2.68%	37
Jack Tanner	1.10%	91
Jak Carter	21.10%	4.7
Jake Hughes	3.27%	31
Jake McLeod	29.20%	3.4
James Conran	9.53%	10
James Gibellini	8.32%	12
James Goffman	0.13%	769
James Hydes	6.62%	15
James Marchesani	18.93%	5.3
James Mee	3.61%	28
James Tauariki	3.23%	31
Jared Edwards	8.75%	11
Jarryd Felton	11.97%	8.4
Jason Hong	11.74%	8.5
Jason Norris	14.41%	6.9
Jasper Stubbs	10.21%	9.8
Jay Mackenzie	10.83%	9.2
Jayce Hargrove	0.15%	667
Jayden Cripps	0.48%	208
Jayden Ford	4.96%	20
Jeffrey Guan	21.29%	4.7
Jimmy Zheng	3.89%	26
Joel Mitchell	14.25%	7
Jordan Doull	20.43%	4.9
Jose De Sousa	0.53%	189
Joseph Owen	2.90%	34
Josh Armstrong	13.08%	7.6
Josh Clarke	2.27%	44
Josh Edgar	0.13%	769
Josh Younger	10.08%	9.9
Joshua Holbrook	0.74%	135
Justin Morley	0.14%	714
Jye Halls	6.62%	15
Jye Pickin	10.64%	9.4
Kameron Williams	3.83%	26
Kayun Mudadana	5.84%	17
Kerry Mountcastle	14.79%	6.8
Kurt Watts	0.14%	714
Lachlan Aylen	7.81%	13
Lachlan Barker	16.92%	5.9
Lincoln Tighe	17.52%	5.7
Louis Dobbelaar	11.57%	8.6
Lucas Higgins	6.48%	15
Mako Thompson	9.46%	11
Matias Sanchez	15.73%	6.4
Matt Dowling	1.26%	79
Matthew Cleary	0.69%	145
Matthew Stieger	4.21%	24
Max Charles	4.18%	24
Max Ford	3.35%	30
Max Moring	6.95%	14
Nathan Barbieri	20.14%	5
Nathan Jordi	0.47%	213
Nathan Page	10.02%	10
Patrick Healy	0.71%	141
Peter Cooke	11.98%	8.3
Phoenix Campbell	6.69%	15
Quinnton Croker	21.38%	4.7
Sam Rumpff	0.12%	833
Samuel Slater	4.91%	20
Scotty Kennon	7.60%	13
Shae Wools-Cobb	9.61%	10
Simon Hawkes	9.15%	11
Souta Fujii	2.64%	38
Steven Vail	0.26%	385
Tim Hart	10.10%	9.9
Ty Gingerich	1.36%	74
Tyler Griggs	0.18%	556
Tyler Wood	13.50%	7.4
Viraj Garewal	1.23%	81
Wil Daibarra	9.94%	10
Will Florimo	25.74%	3.9
William Bruyeres	4.54%	22
Zach Ion	3.34%	30
Zach Murray	11.69%	8.6
Zachary Maxwell	1.41%	71

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Pike	21.61%	4.6
Aaron Townsend	18.11%	5.5
Adam Brady	13.91%	7.2
Aiden Didone	11.58%	8.6
Alex Edge	8.29%	12
Alexander Simpson	13.58%	7.4
Andre Lautee	19.21%	5.2
Andrew Kelly	22.04%	4.5
Andrew Martin	36.37%	2.7
Andrew Richards	8.48%	12
Anthony Quayle	41.55%	2.4
Ben Carpenter	3.05%	33
Ben Eccles	25.01%	4
Ben Henkel	30.07%	3.3
Blaike Perkins	10.24%	9.8
Blake Phillips	1.19%	84
Blake Proverbs	16.92%	5.9
Blake Windred	20.93%	4.8
Bradley Kivimets	5.82%	17
Brock Healy	4.09%	24
Cameron Harlock	11.25%	8.9
Charlie Robbins	7.46%	13
Christopher Fan	15.60%	6.4
Christopher Malec	6.20%	16
Christopher Wood	21.77%	4.6
Connor McDade	22.00%	4.5
Cooper Eccleston	18.71%	5.3
Cory Crawford	38.14%	2.6
Daniel Gill	18.15%	5.5
Darcy Brereton	28.63%	3.5
Deyen Lawson	28.05%	3.6
Dillon Hart	16.08%	6.2
Dimitrios Papadatos	12.66%	7.9
Doong Gyu Han	9.37%	11
Douglas Klein	47.47%	2.1
Dylan Gardner	16.50%	6.1
George Worrall	6.77%	15
Hamish Murray	0.59%	169
Harrison Crowe	36.43%	2.7
Harry McMillan	3.01%	33
Jack Buchanan	47.16%	2.1
Jack Harrison	5.59%	18
Jack Munro	26.25%	3.8
Jack Pountney	7.18%	14
Jack Tanner	3.53%	28
Jak Carter	36.91%	2.7
Jake Hughes	8.59%	12
Jake McLeod	46.68%	2.1
James Conran	20.16%	5
James Gibellini	17.80%	5.6
James Goffman	0.55%	182
James Hydes	14.95%	6.7
James Marchesani	34.14%	2.9
James Mee	9.16%	11
James Tauariki	8.50%	12
Jared Edwards	18.53%	5.4
Jarryd Felton	23.85%	4.2
Jason Hong	23.54%	4.2
Jason Norris	27.70%	3.6
Jasper Stubbs	21.03%	4.8
Jay Mackenzie	22.21%	4.5
Jayce Hargrove	0.57%	175
Jayden Cripps	1.73%	58
Jayden Ford	11.86%	8.4
Jeffrey Guan	37.03%	2.7
Jimmy Zheng	9.78%	10
Joel Mitchell	27.15%	3.7
Jordan Doull	35.90%	2.8
Jose De Sousa	1.88%	53
Joseph Owen	7.69%	13
Josh Armstrong	25.50%	3.9
Josh Clarke	6.35%	16
Josh Edgar	0.61%	164
Josh Younger	20.94%	4.8
Joshua Holbrook	2.64%	38
Justin Morley	0.58%	172
Jye Halls	15.06%	6.6
Jye Pickin	21.89%	4.6
Kameron Williams	9.46%	11
Kayun Mudadana	13.57%	7.4
Kerry Mountcastle	28.08%	3.6
Kurt Watts	0.61%	164
Lachlan Aylen	17.25%	5.8
Lachlan Barker	31.31%	3.2
Lincoln Tighe	32.09%	3.1
Louis Dobbelaar	23.33%	4.3
Lucas Higgins	14.54%	6.9
Mako Thompson	20.03%	5
Matias Sanchez	29.47%	3.4
Matt Dowling	3.83%	26
Matthew Cleary	2.44%	41
Matthew Stieger	10.42%	9.6
Max Charles	10.37%	9.6
Max Ford	8.67%	12
Max Moring	15.71%	6.4
Nathan Barbieri	35.67%	2.8
Nathan Jordi	1.68%	60
Nathan Page	20.86%	4.8
Patrick Healy	2.31%	43
Peter Cooke	24.07%	4.2
Phoenix Campbell	15.21%	6.6
Quinnton Croker	37.23%	2.7
Sam Rumpff	0.58%	172
Samuel Slater	11.82%	8.5
Scotty Kennon	16.80%	6
Shae Wools-Cobb	20.08%	5
Simon Hawkes	19.44%	5.1
Souta Fujii	7.18%	14
Steven Vail	0.99%	101
Tim Hart	20.97%	4.8
Ty Gingerich	4.29%	23
Tyler Griggs	0.72%	139
Tyler Wood	26.31%	3.8
Viraj Garewal	3.80%	26
Wil Daibarra	20.74%	4.8
Will Florimo	42.47%	2.4
William Bruyeres	11.11%	9
Zach Ion	8.75%	11
Zach Murray	23.39%	4.3
Zachary Maxwell	4.34%	23

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Pike	32.50%	3.1
Aaron Townsend	28.14%	3.6
Adam Brady	22.67%	4.4
Aiden Didone	19.52%	5.1
Alex Edge	14.77%	6.8
Alexander Simpson	22.31%	4.5
Andre Lautee	29.55%	3.4
Andrew Kelly	33.20%	3
Andrew Martin	49.13%	2
Andrew Richards	15.08%	6.6
Anthony Quayle	54.41%	1.84
Ben Carpenter	6.10%	16
Ben Eccles	36.64%	2.7
Ben Henkel	42.77%	2.3
Blaike Perkins	17.68%	5.7
Blake Phillips	2.75%	36
Blake Proverbs	26.95%	3.7
Blake Windred	31.78%	3.1
Bradley Kivimets	10.82%	9.2
Brock Healy	8.00%	13
Cameron Harlock	19.01%	5.3
Charlie Robbins	13.43%	7.4
Christopher Fan	24.98%	4
Christopher Malec	11.57%	8.6
Christopher Wood	32.91%	3
Connor McDade	32.82%	3
Cooper Eccleston	28.99%	3.4
Cory Crawford	51.28%	1.95
Daniel Gill	28.18%	3.5
Darcy Brereton	40.68%	2.5
Deyen Lawson	40.12%	2.5
Dillon Hart	25.37%	3.9
Dimitrios Papadatos	20.82%	4.8
Doong Gyu Han	16.32%	6.1
Douglas Klein	60.34%	1.66
Dylan Gardner	26.04%	3.8
George Worrall	12.35%	8.1
Hamish Murray	1.43%	70
Harrison Crowe	49.45%	2
Harry McMillan	6.12%	16
Jack Buchanan	60.35%	1.66
Jack Harrison	10.59%	9.4
Jack Munro	38.05%	2.6
Jack Pountney	13.13%	7.6
Jack Tanner	7.08%	14
Jak Carter	49.85%	2
Jake Hughes	15.15%	6.6
Jake McLeod	59.59%	1.68
James Conran	30.63%	3.3
James Gibellini	27.91%	3.6
James Goffman	1.47%	68
James Hydes	24.01%	4.2
James Marchesani	46.68%	2.1
James Mee	16.04%	6.2
James Tauariki	15.05%	6.6
Jared Edwards	28.84%	3.5
Jarryd Felton	35.11%	2.8
Jason Hong	34.94%	2.9
Jason Norris	39.62%	2.5
Jasper Stubbs	31.98%	3.1
Jay Mackenzie	33.29%	3
Jayce Hargrove	1.46%	68
Jayden Cripps	3.87%	26
Jayden Ford	19.87%	5
Jeffrey Guan	49.87%	2
Jimmy Zheng	16.87%	5.9
Joel Mitchell	39.15%	2.6
Jordan Doull	48.85%	2
Jose De Sousa	4.09%	24
Joseph Owen	13.67%	7.3
Josh Armstrong	36.96%	2.7
Josh Clarke	11.69%	8.6
Josh Edgar	1.51%	66
Josh Younger	31.68%	3.2
Joshua Holbrook	5.49%	18
Justin Morley	1.42%	70
Jye Halls	24.02%	4.2
Jye Pickin	32.80%	3
Kameron Williams	16.37%	6.1
Kayun Mudadana	22.21%	4.5
Kerry Mountcastle	40.21%	2.5
Kurt Watts	1.48%	68
Lachlan Aylen	27.27%	3.7
Lachlan Barker	43.71%	2.3
Lincoln Tighe	44.52%	2.2
Louis Dobbelaar	34.58%	2.9
Lucas Higgins	23.61%	4.2
Mako Thompson	30.50%	3.3
Matias Sanchez	41.77%	2.4
Matt Dowling	7.65%	13
Matthew Cleary	5.19%	19
Matthew Stieger	17.83%	5.6
Max Charles	17.65%	5.7
Max Ford	15.17%	6.6
Max Moring	25.27%	4
Nathan Barbieri	48.50%	2.1
Nathan Jordi	3.70%	27
Nathan Page	31.76%	3.1
Patrick Healy	4.96%	20
Peter Cooke	35.49%	2.8
Phoenix Campbell	24.41%	4.1
Quinnton Croker	50.18%	1.99
Sam Rumpff	1.49%	67
Samuel Slater	19.95%	5
Scotty Kennon	26.44%	3.8
Shae Wools-Cobb	30.78%	3.2
Simon Hawkes	30.04%	3.3
Souta Fujii	12.95%	7.7
Steven Vail	2.32%	43
Tim Hart	31.67%	3.2
Ty Gingerich	8.49%	12
Tyler Griggs	1.78%	56
Tyler Wood	38.06%	2.6
Viraj Garewal	7.49%	13
Wil Daibarra	31.66%	3.2
Will Florimo	55.56%	1.8
William Bruyeres	19.10%	5.2
Zach Ion	15.53%	6.4
Zach Murray	34.73%	2.9
Zachary Maxwell	8.48%	12

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Pike	42.93%	2.3
Aaron Townsend	38.21%	2.6
Adam Brady	32.07%	3.1
Aiden Didone	28.23%	3.5
Alex Edge	22.27%	4.5
Alexander Simpson	31.55%	3.2
Andre Lautee	40.00%	2.5
Andrew Kelly	43.95%	2.3
Andrew Martin	59.88%	1.67
Andrew Richards	22.68%	4.4
Anthony Quayle	65.05%	1.54
Ben Carpenter	10.36%	9.7
Ben Eccles	47.66%	2.1
Ben Henkel	53.75%	1.86
Blaike Perkins	25.91%	3.9
Blake Phillips	5.08%	20
Blake Proverbs	36.99%	2.7
Blake Windred	42.33%	2.4
Bradley Kivimets	16.90%	5.9
Brock Healy	13.08%	7.6
Cameron Harlock	27.51%	3.6
Charlie Robbins	20.50%	4.9
Christopher Fan	34.68%	2.9
Christopher Malec	18.06%	5.5
Christopher Wood	43.49%	2.3
Connor McDade	43.61%	2.3
Cooper Eccleston	39.27%	2.5
Cory Crawford	61.99%	1.61
Daniel Gill	38.34%	2.6
Darcy Brereton	51.69%	1.93
Deyen Lawson	51.01%	1.96
Dillon Hart	35.23%	2.8
Dimitrios Papadatos	29.77%	3.4
Doong Gyu Han	24.11%	4.1
Douglas Klein	70.25%	1.42
Dylan Gardner	35.96%	2.8
George Worrall	19.25%	5.2
Hamish Murray	2.84%	35
Harrison Crowe	60.31%	1.66
Harry McMillan	10.43%	9.6
Jack Buchanan	70.28%	1.42
Jack Harrison	16.65%	6
Jack Munro	48.92%	2
Jack Pountney	20.21%	4.9
Jack Tanner	11.86%	8.4
Jak Carter	60.75%	1.65
Jake Hughes	22.73%	4.4
Jake McLeod	69.82%	1.43
James Conran	41.17%	2.4
James Gibellini	37.96%	2.6
James Goffman	2.86%	35
James Hydes	33.56%	3
James Marchesani	57.88%	1.73
James Mee	23.83%	4.2
James Tauariki	22.77%	4.4
Jared Edwards	39.06%	2.6
Jarryd Felton	45.79%	2.2
Jason Hong	45.58%	2.2
Jason Norris	50.46%	1.98
Jasper Stubbs	42.50%	2.4
Jay Mackenzie	44.12%	2.3
Jayce Hargrove	2.95%	34
Jayden Cripps	6.97%	14
Jayden Ford	28.65%	3.5
Jeffrey Guan	60.88%	1.64
Jimmy Zheng	24.83%	4
Joel Mitchell	50.11%	2
Jordan Doull	59.74%	1.67
Jose De Sousa	7.48%	13
Joseph Owen	20.98%	4.8
Josh Armstrong	47.82%	2.1
Josh Clarke	18.09%	5.5
Josh Edgar	2.95%	34
Josh Younger	42.04%	2.4
Joshua Holbrook	9.60%	10
Justin Morley	2.81%	36
Jye Halls	33.56%	3
Jye Pickin	43.28%	2.3
Kameron Williams	24.23%	4.1
Kayun Mudadana	31.32%	3.2
Kerry Mountcastle	51.21%	1.95
Kurt Watts	2.87%	35
Lachlan Aylen	37.21%	2.7
Lachlan Barker	54.86%	1.82
Lincoln Tighe	55.42%	1.8
Louis Dobbelaar	45.17%	2.2
Lucas Higgins	32.92%	3
Mako Thompson	40.85%	2.4
Matias Sanchez	52.80%	1.89
Matt Dowling	12.60%	7.9
Matthew Cleary	9.02%	11
Matthew Stieger	26.05%	3.8
Max Charles	25.80%	3.9
Max Ford	22.81%	4.4
Max Moring	35.01%	2.9
Nathan Barbieri	59.22%	1.69
Nathan Jordi	6.70%	15
Nathan Page	42.19%	2.4
Patrick Healy	8.64%	12
Peter Cooke	46.34%	2.2
Phoenix Campbell	33.97%	2.9
Quinnton Croker	61.08%	1.64
Sam Rumpff	2.86%	35
Samuel Slater	28.79%	3.5
Scotty Kennon	36.40%	2.7
Shae Wools-Cobb	41.07%	2.4
Simon Hawkes	40.30%	2.5
Souta Fujii	20.03%	5
Steven Vail	4.41%	23
Tim Hart	42.17%	2.4
Ty Gingerich	13.72%	7.3
Tyler Griggs	3.49%	29
Tyler Wood	49.03%	2
Viraj Garewal	12.35%	8.1
Wil Daibarra	42.33%	2.4
Will Florimo	66.03%	1.51
William Bruyeres	27.77%	3.6
Zach Ion	23.07%	4.3
Zach Murray	45.53%	2.2
Zachary Maxwell	13.74%	7.3

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aaron Pike	42.14%	2.4
Aaron Townsend	46.79%	2.1
Adam Brady	53.43%	1.87
Aiden Didone	57.85%	1.73
Alex Edge	64.91%	1.54
Alexander Simpson	53.80%	1.86
Andre Lautee	44.97%	2.2
Andrew Kelly	41.03%	2.4
Andrew Martin	26.76%	3.7
Andrew Richards	64.27%	1.56
Anthony Quayle	22.67%	4.4
Ben Carpenter	81.07%	1.23
Ben Eccles	37.68%	2.7
Ben Henkel	32.14%	3.1
Blaike Perkins	60.32%	1.66
Blake Phillips	89.52%	1.12
Blake Proverbs	48.30%	2.1
Blake Windred	42.74%	2.3
Bradley Kivimets	71.73%	1.39
Brock Healy	76.92%	1.3
Cameron Harlock	58.51%	1.71
Charlie Robbins	67.14%	1.49
Christopher Fan	50.53%	1.98
Christopher Malec	70.28%	1.42
Christopher Wood	41.45%	2.4
Connor McDade	41.61%	2.4
Cooper Eccleston	45.94%	2.2
Cory Crawford	24.78%	4
Daniel Gill	46.87%	2.1
Darcy Brereton	33.91%	2.9
Deyen Lawson	34.44%	2.9
Dillon Hart	50.13%	1.99
Dimitrios Papadatos	55.87%	1.79
Doong Gyu Han	62.45%	1.6
Douglas Klein	18.36%	5.4
Dylan Gardner	49.09%	2
George Worrall	68.72%	1.46
Hamish Murray	93.45%	1.07
Harrison Crowe	26.37%	3.8
Harry McMillan	81.01%	1.23
Jack Buchanan	18.24%	5.5
Jack Harrison	72.05%	1.39
Jack Munro	36.51%	2.7
Jack Pountney	67.50%	1.48
Jack Tanner	78.64%	1.27
Jak Carter	26.04%	3.8
Jake Hughes	64.23%	1.56
Jake McLeod	18.75%	5.3
James Conran	44.01%	2.3
James Gibellini	47.39%	2.1
James Goffman	93.50%	1.07
James Hydes	51.86%	1.93
James Marchesani	28.32%	3.5
James Mee	63.07%	1.59
James Tauariki	64.11%	1.56
Jared Edwards	45.93%	2.2
Jarryd Felton	39.23%	2.5
Jason Hong	39.57%	2.5
Jason Norris	35.18%	2.8
Jasper Stubbs	42.64%	2.3
Jay Mackenzie	40.97%	2.4
Jayce Hargrove	93.41%	1.07
Jayden Cripps	86.33%	1.16
Jayden Ford	57.14%	1.75
Jeffrey Guan	25.76%	3.9
Jimmy Zheng	61.84%	1.62
Joel Mitchell	35.36%	2.8
Jordan Doull	26.78%	3.7
Jose De Sousa	85.38%	1.17
Joseph Owen	66.48%	1.5
Josh Armstrong	37.29%	2.7
Josh Clarke	70.10%	1.43
Josh Edgar	93.36%	1.07
Josh Younger	43.14%	2.3
Joshua Holbrook	82.20%	1.22
Justin Morley	93.48%	1.07
Jye Halls	51.82%	1.93
Jye Pickin	41.80%	2.4
Kameron Williams	62.44%	1.6
Kayun Mudadana	54.42%	1.84
Kerry Mountcastle	34.14%	2.9
Kurt Watts	93.60%	1.07
Lachlan Aylen	48.05%	2.1
Lachlan Barker	31.24%	3.2
Lincoln Tighe	30.57%	3.3
Louis Dobbelaar	40.16%	2.5
Lucas Higgins	52.71%	1.9
Mako Thompson	44.05%	2.3
Matias Sanchez	32.71%	3.1
Matt Dowling	77.72%	1.29
Matthew Cleary	83.07%	1.2
Matthew Stieger	60.17%	1.66
Max Charles	60.28%	1.66
Max Ford	64.06%	1.56
Max Moring	50.38%	1.98
Nathan Barbieri	27.23%	3.7
Nathan Jordi	86.82%	1.15
Nathan Page	42.94%	2.3
Patrick Healy	83.69%	1.19
Peter Cooke	38.78%	2.6
Phoenix Campbell	51.29%	1.95
Quinnton Croker	25.71%	3.9
Sam Rumpff	93.58%	1.07
Samuel Slater	57.27%	1.75
Scotty Kennon	48.54%	2.1
Shae Wools-Cobb	44.16%	2.3
Simon Hawkes	44.70%	2.2
Souta Fujii	67.81%	1.47
Steven Vail	90.54%	1.1
Tim Hart	42.91%	2.3
Ty Gingerich	76.17%	1.31
Tyler Griggs	92.27%	1.08
Tyler Wood	36.28%	2.8
Viraj Garewal	78.05%	1.28
Wil Daibarra	42.81%	2.3
Will Florimo	21.75%	4.6
William Bruyeres	58.30%	1.72
Zach Ion	63.64%	1.57
Zach Murray	39.73%	2.5
Zachary Maxwell	76.03%	1.32

					Result	P/L	E/W Play

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Jeffrey Guan	2.71%	37	71	1.30%	98	-2	PaddyPower: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Joel Mitchell	1.45%	69	351	1.20%	43	-2	Bet365: 350/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Douglas Klein	4.93%	20	26	1.10%	12	-2	Skybet: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.