Simulation Results: Yeangder Tournament Players Championship

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aaron Wilkin 0.20% 500 501 90
Ahmad Baig 0.18% 556 251 13
Ajeetesh Sandhu 0.91% 110 86 7
Atiruj Winaicharoenchai 0.56% 179 91 110
Austen Truslow 2.08% 48 61 0.40% 20 -0.4 QuinnBet: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Berry Henson 0.27% 370 401 69
Bjorn Hellgren 3.03% 33 51 1.10% 90 -1.1 Star Sports: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Brett Rankin 0.11% 909 401 15
Carlos Pigem 0.27% 370 201 110
Chao-Hsin Hung 0.02% 5000 601 78
Chao-Hua Lee 0.00% 10000 1001 117
Chapchai Nirat 1.12% 89 86 46
Charles Porter 0.73% 137 126 2
Charlie Lindh 1.91% 52 71 0.50% 129 -0.5 Star Sports: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Charng-Tai Sudsom 0.29% 345 201 24
Chase Koepka 0.71% 141 151 34
Cheng-Hsiang Wen 0.01% 10000 751 110
Cheng-Wei Hsieh 0.02% 5000 401 7
Chi Huang 0.03% 3333 751 73
Chia-Yin Yeh 0.04% 2500 90
Chieh-Po Lee 3.97% 25 12 34
Chien-Yao Hung 0.72% 139 51 90
Chih-Kai Hsu 0.00% 10000 1001 142
Chi-Hsien Hsieh 0.36% 278 126 80
Ching-Hung Su 0.50% 200 56 129
Chin-Hung He 0.03% 3333 351 74
Chin-Yang Tsai 0.03% 3333 136
Chonlatit Chuenboonngam 0.60% 167 151 12
Christian Banke 0.21% 476 226 90
Christopher Hickman 0.02% 5000 751 74
Chuan-Wei Fang 0.00% 10000 601 122
Danthai Boonma 2.76% 36 29 24
Denzel Ieremia 0.26% 385 91 143
Dodge Kemmer 0.16% 625 401 34
Dominic Foos 0.59% 169 176 15
Eduard Rousaud 0.12% 833 251 80
Ekpharit Wu 0.58% 172 101 90
Ervin Chang 0.13% 769 401 51
Fu-Tung Tseng 0.03% 3333 501 136
Gabriele De Barba 0.01% 10000 351 117
George Kneiser 0.07% 1429 351 74
Gunn Charoenkul 0.75% 133 126 143
Hsi-An Wang 0.03% 3333 751 90
Hsiao-Che Yang 0.06% 1667 401 90
Ian Snyman 1.38% 72 81 0.10% 24 -0.1 Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Itthipat Buranatanyarat 0.45% 222 176 110
Jack Thompson 0.16% 625 201 136
Jaco Ahlers 0.92% 109 91 18
Jaewoong Eom 0.52% 192 111 65
Jakkanat Inmee 0.33% 303 226 79
Jazz Janewattananond 1.03% 97 67 34
Jbe Kruger 0.40% 250 301 0.10% 69 -0.1 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jeunghun Wang 1.43% 70 29 34
Joel Stalter 0.28% 357 226 117
John Catlin 4.32% 23 13 34
John Lyras 0.81% 123 111 69
Jonathan Wijono 0.31% 323 251 90
Jose Toledo 0.45% 222 301 0.10% 54 -0.1 Bet365: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jui-Shen Lee 0.00% 10000 129
Justin Quiban 0.90% 111 101 60
K.P. Lin 0.03% 3333 401 90
Kazuki Higa 6.51% 15 14 1
Kelvin Si 0.40% 250 201 117
Keng-Wei Lin 0.01% 10000 751 110
Kevin Yuan 1.45% 69 29 20
Ko-Yen Chien Chang 0.00% 10000 80
Lawry Flynn 0.03% 3333 501 60
Lu-Sen Lien 0.00% 10000 751 117
M.J. Maguire 1.11% 90 56 51
Manav Shah 0.14% 714 251 65
Marcus Fraser 0.01% 10000 1001 80
Matthew Cheung 0.51% 196 226 0.10% 13 -0.1 Bet365: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Maverick Antcliff 0.99% 101 86 90
Micah Lauren Shin 2.00% 50 71 0.60% 32 -0.6 Bresbet: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Miguel Carballo 0.23% 435 351 24
Miguel Tabuena 3.14% 32 29 5
Min-Hsuan Hsieh 0.00% 10000 129
Naoki Sekito 0.09% 1111 201 41
Naoyuki Kaneda 0.04% 2500 751 136
Nick Voke 1.64% 61 41 46
Nitithorn Thippong 0.20% 500 151 80
Pavit Tangkamolprasert 2.07% 48 46 20
Pawin Ingkhapradit 0.23% 435 251 65
Poom Saksansin 1.93% 52 36 15
Poosit Supupramai 0.55% 182 141 110
Prom Meesawat 0.39% 256 226 41
Rahil Gangjee 0.11% 909 401 80
Rashid Khan 0.55% 182 251 0.20% 122 -0.2 Bet365: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Rattanon Wannasrichan 2.18% 46 41 2
Roberto Lebrija 0.33% 303 176 34
Ryan Peake 0.35% 286 151 90
S.S.P. Chawrasia 0.15% 667 401 90
Sampson Zheng 1.71% 58 41
Sarit Suwannarut 2.75% 36 34 46
Scott Hend 0.81% 123 71 141
Sean Ramos 0.11% 909 301 46
Settee Prakongvech 0.71% 141 151 20
Shahriffuddin Ariffin 0.70% 143 81 80
Shang-Kai Tsai 0.01% 10000 301 122
Shawn Lu 0.17% 588 176 60
Shih-Chang Chan 1.09% 92 111 0.20% 65 -0.2 Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Shinichi Mizuno 0.04% 2500 251 90
Shotaro Ban 0.33% 303 251 5
Sihwan Kim 0.36% 278 301 24
Steve Lewton 1.26% 79 81 54
Sung-Po Yu 0.08% 1250 301 90
Sun-Yi Lu 0.10% 1000 301 122
Suradit Yongcharoenchai 0.48% 208 60
Suteepat Prateeptienchai 3.59% 28 31 0.40% 7 -0.4 Bet365: 30/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taichi Kho 3.19% 31 21 54
Takumi Murakami 0.10% 1000 501 46
Tanapat Pichaikool 0.66% 152 126 90
Tawit Polthai 0.27% 370 91 18
Teng Kao 0.06% 1667 601 122
Ting-Wei Hsieh 0.01% 10000 151 90
Todd Sinnott 0.36% 278 151 90
Tomoyo Ikemura 3.05% 33 31 32
Travis Smyth 5.70% 18 15 7
Tse-Yu Chang 0.02% 5000 401 54
Tsung-Yu Tsai 0.04% 2500 751 129
Varanyu Rattanaphiboonkij 0.25% 400 301 41
Viraj Madappa 0.13% 769 151 7
Wade Ormsby 0.70% 143 151 74
Warun Ieamgaew 0.24% 417 151 51
Wei-Cheng Shen 0.04% 2500 201 90
Wei-Chih Lu 0.24% 417 60
Wei-Hsuan Wang 1.09% 92 26 2
Wei-Lun Chang 0.82% 122 101 24
Wei-Sheng Chen 0.01% 10000 201 80
Witchayapat Sinsrang 0.13% 769 601 24
Yanwei Liu 0.41% 244 111 41
Yao-Wei Wu 0.01% 10000 501 110
Yen-Hung Liu 0.02% 5000 301 54
Yikeun Chang 0.02% 5000 351 69
Yi-Tong Chen 0.02% 5000 401 54
Yi-Tseng Huang 0.05% 2000 176 80
Yu-Chen Yeh 0.07% 1429 401 129
Yu-Jui Liu 0.01% 10000 351 90
Yung-Hua Liu 0.70% 143 101 140
Yung-Lung Lin 0.01% 10000 1001 122
Yuta Yoshikuwa 0.04% 2500 501 128
Yu-Te Cho 0.00% 10000 129
Yuvraj Sandhu 1.55% 65 41 24
Zhengkai Bai 0.20% 500 151 80

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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