Simulation Results: Taiwan Masters

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aaron Wilkin 0.16% 625 751 57
Ahmad Baig 0.41% 244 176 13
Ajeetesh Sandhu 1.77% 56 41 100
Atiruj Winaicharoenchai 0.72% 139 91 4
Austen Truslow 1.96% 51 41 23
Bjorn Hellgren 1.71% 58 46 18
Bowen Xiao 0.57% 175 126 77
Brett Rankin 0.37% 270 276 100
Chao-Hsin Hung 0.02% 5000 1001 9
Chapchai Nirat 0.66% 152 141 43
Charles Porter 1.68% 60 61
Charlie Lindh 0.92% 109 81 57
Charng-Tai Sudsom 0.48% 208 151 33
Chase Koepka 1.19% 84 111 0.30% 94 -0.3 Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Cheng-Wei Hsieh 1.27% 79 301 0.90% 106 -0.9 Boyle Sports: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Chi Huang 0.05% 2000 501 70
Chia-Yin Yeh 0.06% 1667 601 57
Chieh-Po Lee 2.22% 45 15 57
Chien-Yao Hung 0.56% 179 111 29
Chih-Kai Hsu 0.00% 10000 1001 113
Chi-Hsien Hsieh 0.46% 217 201 48
Ching-Hung Su 0.37% 270 201 48
Chin-Hung He 0.07% 1429 401 86
Chonlatit Chuenboonngam 1.86% 54 46 33
Christopher Hickman 0.02% 5000 501 37
Danthai Boonma 4.27% 23 17 43
Denzel Ieremia 0.28% 357 201 94
Dodge Kemmer 0.36% 278 251 94
Dominic Foos 1.47% 68 71 0.10% 57 -0.1 Bet365: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Eduard Rousaud 0.15% 667 351 23
Ekpharit Wu 0.54% 185 161 51
Ervin Chang 0.19% 526 351 39
Gabriele De Barba 0.02% 5000 501 37
George Kneiser 0.08% 1250 351 39
Gunn Charoenkul 0.86% 116 101 23
Hsi-An Wang 0.04% 2500 1001 99
Hsiang-Hao Huang 0.01% 10000 1001 77
Hsin-Yu Lin 0.00% 10000 1001 119
Itthipat Buranatanyarat 0.54% 185 151 43
Jack Thompson 0.14% 714 201 57
Jaco Ahlers 2.24% 45 41 18
Jaewoong Eom 0.67% 149 126 100
Jakkanat Inmee 0.21% 476 201 111
Jazz Janewattananond 1.63% 61 51 4
Jbe Kruger 0.38% 263 126 29
Jediah Morgan 0.98% 102 67 86
Jeunghun Wang 2.05% 49 23 9
Jiu-You Lin 0.00% 10000 501 70
Joel Stalter 0.24% 417 276 51
Jonathan Wijono 0.31% 323 276 56
Jose Toledo 0.29% 345 201 23
Joseph Miau 0.00% 10000 1001 120
Justin Quiban 0.68% 147 101 51
K.P. Lin 0.05% 2000 501 86
Kelvin Si 0.36% 278 201 107
Kevin Yuan 1.93% 52 26 13
Lawry Flynn 0.06% 1667 501 117
M.J. Maguire 1.64% 61 61 23
Mako Shapiyate 0.00% 10000 501 111
Manav Shah 0.16% 625 201 57
Matthew Cheung 0.72% 139 126 86
Maverick Antcliff 1.87% 53 71 0.50% 13 -0.5 Bet365: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Micah Lauren Shin 1.70% 59 61 0.10% 18 -0.1 Unibet: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Miguel Carballo 0.51% 196 151 70
Miguel Tabuena 4.95% 20 17 77
Nathaniel Lee 0.00% 10000 1001 109
Nick Voke 1.81% 55 41 54
Nitithorn Thippong 0.33% 303 126 23
Pavit Tangkamolprasert 2.76% 36 34 77
Pawin Ingkhapradit 0.17% 588 251
Poom Saksansin 2.37% 42 34 7
Poosit Supupramai 0.44% 227 151 13
Prom Meesawat 0.55% 182 176 57
Rahil Gangjee 0.15% 667 351 94
Rashid Khan 0.67% 149 201 0.20% 109 -0.2 BetMGM: 200/1, 6pl, 1/5
Rattanon Wannasrichan 3.73% 27 26 1
Roberto Lebrija 0.34% 294 176 77
Ryan Peake 0.33% 303 151 29
S.S.P. Chawrasia 0.29% 345 301 94
Sampson Zheng 1.90% 53 121
Sarit Suwannarut 3.26% 31 29 9
Scott Hend 0.87% 115 101 9
Sean Ramos 0.20% 500 251 77
Settee Prakongvech 0.76% 132 111 86
Shang-Kai Tsai 0.03% 3333 501 33
Shih-Chang Chan 1.00% 100 181 0.50% 121 -0.5 Unibet: 180/1, 5pl, 1/4
Shinichi Mizuno 0.07% 1429 501 57
Shiv Kapur 0.30% 333 501 0.10% 86 -0.1 BetMGM: 500/1, 6pl, 1/5
Shotaro Ban 0.43% 233 141 70
Shunichiro Morioka 0.01% 10000 501 43
Sihwan Kim 0.55% 182 201 0.10% 57 -0.1 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Steve Lewton 1.23% 81 81 57
Sung-Po Yu 0.08% 1250 501 100
Sun-Yi Lu 0.07% 1429 351 113
Suradit Yongcharoenchai 0.79% 127 151 0.10% 2 1.45 BetMGM: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Suteepat Prateeptienchai 5.17% 19 19 4
Takumi Murakami 0.12% 833 501 54
Tanapat Pichaikool 0.56% 179 151
Tawit Polthai 0.64% 156 71 70
Teng Kao 0.06% 1667 601 70
Ting-Wei Hsieh 0.02% 5000 401 33
Ting-Yi Liao 0.00% 10000 1001 107
Ting-Yu Chen 0.00% 10000 1001 100
Todd Sinnott 0.63% 159 126 77
Travis Smyth 6.20% 16 11 18
Tse-Yu Chang 0.04% 2500 501 113
Tsung-Yu Tsai 0.02% 5000 1001 48
Tung-Hung Hsieh 0.03% 3333 1001 100
Tzu-Hao Tseng 0.01% 10000 1001 57
Varanyu Rattanaphiboonkij 0.19% 526 251 121
Viraj Madappa 0.39% 256 81 70
Warun Ieamgaew 0.31% 323 201 29
Wei-Cheng Shen 0.08% 1250 351 86
Wei-Chih Lu 0.34% 294 251 57
Wei-Hsuan Wang 2.21% 45 23 3
Wei-Lun Chang 1.15% 87 67 77
Yen-Hung Liu 0.11% 909 351 77
Yi-Tong Chen 0.04% 2500 501 13
Yi-Tseng Huang 0.05% 2000 351 18
Yu-Chen Yeh 0.14% 714 351
Yu-Cheng Ho 0.13% 769 251 39
Yu-Jui Liu 0.02% 5000 501 42
Yung-Cheng Lo 0.00% 10000 501 117
Yung-Hua Liu 0.56% 179 251 0.20% 7 -0.2 BetMGM: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Yung-Lung Lin 0.01% 10000 1001 86
Yuta Yoshikuwa 0.03% 3333 501 121
Yuvraj Sandhu 2.88% 35 29 43
Zhengkai Bai 0.31% 323 151 116

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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