Simulation Results: Singapore Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aaron Wilkin 0.00% 10000 501 89
Ahmad Baig 0.02% 5000 251 37
Aidric Chan 0.00% 10000 401 113
Ajeetesh Sandhu 0.10% 1000 226 37
Angelo Que 0.01% 10000 251 59
Anthony Kim 0.01% 10000 401 43
Atiruj Winaicharoenchai 0.10% 1000 176 57
Austen Truslow 2.44% 41 51 0.50% 24 -0.5 Ladbrokes: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ben Campbell 1.46% 68 51 80
Berry Henson 0.00% 10000 301 69
Bio Kim 0.11% 909 101 5
Bjorn Hellgren 0.57% 175 126 103
Bowen Xiao 0.04% 2500 251 69
Brayden Lee 0.06% 1667 251 50
Brett Coletta 0.00% 10000 501 95
Brett Rankin 0.07% 1429 351 118
Caleb Surratt 4.00% 25 21 65
Carlos Pigem 0.00% 10000 251 113
Changwoo Lee 0.00% 10000 501
Chanmin Jung 0.00% 10000 501 46
Chapchai Nirat 0.01% 10000 251 55
Charles Porter 0.32% 313 111 46
Charlie Lindh 0.07% 1429 201 69
Charng-Tai Sudsom 0.01% 10000 251 11
Chase Koepka 0.21% 476 161 43
Chieh-Po Lee 1.03% 97 67 95
Chien-Yao Hung 0.02% 5000 351 37
Chonlatit Chuenboonngam 0.14% 714 151 141
Christian Banke 0.03% 3333 351 89
Danthai Boonma 0.49% 204 81 30
Dengshan Koh 0.00% 10000 1001 118
Denzel Ieremia 0.01% 10000 351 50
Dodge Kemmer 0.00% 10000 351 50
Dominic Foos 0.34% 294 301 24
Eduard Rousaud 0.00% 10000 501 133
Ekpharit Wu 0.02% 5000 251 141
Ervin Chang 0.08% 1250 251 103
Faisal Salhab 0.00% 10000 1001 136
Gaganjeet Bhullar 1.02% 98 67 69
George Kneiser 0.00% 10000 301 67
Gregory Foo 0.00% 10000 351 128
Gunn Charoenkul 0.11% 909 151 37
Guntaek Koh 0.04% 2500 226 55
Gustav Frimodt 0.00% 10000 301 69
Guxin Chen 0.00% 10000 501 118
Harry Takis 0.01% 10000 151 30
Ian Snyman 0.55% 182 101 11
Inhoi Hur 0.00% 10000 501 140
Itthipat Buranatanyarat 0.01% 10000 501 95
Jaco Ahlers 0.42% 238 151 6
Jaewoong Eom 0.01% 10000 251 69
Jakkanat Inmee 0.00% 10000 501 118
James Leow 0.00% 10000 251 89
James Piot 0.85% 118 111 18
Jazz Janewattananond 1.54% 65 41 6
Jbe Kruger 0.00% 10000 351 103
Jediah Morgan 0.02% 5000 251 80
Jeunghun Wang 0.57% 175 67 2
John Catlin 2.17% 46 46 18
John Lyras 0.01% 10000 501 118
Jonathan Wijono 0.00% 10000 501 95
Jose Toledo 0.03% 3333 351 89
Joshua Yap 0.00% 10000 1001 133
Justin Kuk 0.00% 10000 501 130
Justin Quiban 0.05% 2000 251 95
Kazuki Higa 6.33% 16 21 1.60% 89 -1.6 Spreadex: 20/1, 6pl, 1/5
Kelvin Si 0.00% 10000 351 80
Kevin Yuan 0.51% 196 111 6
Khaled Attieh 0.00% 10000 1001 133
Kieran Vincent 2.04% 49 46 18
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 2.65% 38 36 30
Kosuke Hamamoto 0.03% 3333 401 113
Kyle Stanley 0.00% 10000 751 110
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 1.20% 83 67 110
Lawry Flynn 0.00% 10000 1001 118
Luke Kwon 0.00% 10000 401 130
M.J. Maguire 0.67% 149 61 89
Manav Shah 0.00% 10000 401 118
Marc Ong 0.00% 10000 501 136
Marcus Fraser 0.00% 10000 1001 57
Mardan Mamat 0.00% 10000 1001 136
Matthew Cheung 0.06% 1667 201 43
Maverick Antcliff 0.30% 333 161 80
Maximilian Rottluff 1.74% 57 67 0.30% 11 -0.3 BetMGM: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Micah Lauren Shin 1.85% 54 61 0.20% 18 -0.2 Boyle Sports: 60/1, 6pl, 1/5
Miguel Carballo 0.00% 10000 501 11
Miguel Tabuena 5.08% 20 26 1.30% 18 -1.3 Spreadex: 25/1, 6pl, 1/5
Newport Laparojkit 0.00% 10000 301 103
Nick Voke 0.15% 667 201 95
Nitithorn Thippong 0.00% 10000 401 24
Ollie Schniederjans 0.08% 1250 201 11
Panuphol Pittayarat 0.03% 3333 151 67
Paul Casey 4.54% 22 17 46
Pavit Tangkamolprasert 0.81% 123 81 18
Pawin Ingkhapradit 0.00% 10000 501 80
Poom Saksansin 3.78% 26 41 1.40% 80 -1.4 BetVictor: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Poosit Supupramai 0.01% 10000 401 37
Prom Meesawat 0.01% 10000 351 80
Qi Wen Wong 0.00% 10000 751 136
Rattanon Wannasrichan 1.02% 98 71 3
Roberto Lebrija 0.00% 10000 351 50
Ryan Ang 0.01% 10000 351 118
Ryan Peake 0.01% 10000 351 118
S. Chikkarangappa 0.00% 10000 401 113
S.S.P. Chawrasia 0.00% 10000 501 118
Sampson Zheng 1.22% 82 69
Santiago De la Fuente 0.23% 435 111 113
Sarit Suwannarut 2.35% 43 41 30
Sarut Vongchaisit 0.17% 588 151 24
Scott Hend 0.23% 435 101 11
Scott Vincent 11.20% 8.9 21 6.80% 69 -6.8 BetVictor: 20/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sean Ramos 0.03% 3333 251 95
Seonghyeon Kim 4.63% 22 26 0.80% 11 -0.8 Betway: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
Settee Prakongvech 0.03% 3333 251 30
Seungsu Han 0.01% 10000 751 24
Shahriffuddin Ariffin 0.01% 10000 251 128
Shih-Chang Chan 0.00% 10000 351 9
Shiv Kapur 0.01% 10000 401 110
Siddikur Rahman 0.01% 10000 251 103
Sihwan Kim 0.00% 10000 751 46
Soomin Lee 0.12% 833 141 3
Stefano Mazzoli 2.91% 34 34 30
Steve Lewton 0.61% 164 111 50
Suradit Yongcharoenchai 0.04% 2500 226 63
Suteepat Prateeptienchai 3.37% 30 36 0.60% 80 -0.6 Spreadex: 35/1, 6pl, 1/5
Takumi Murakami 0.00% 10000 301 141
Talor Gooch 3.59% 28 17 24
Tanapat Pichaikool 0.01% 10000 401 65
Thomas Pieters 8.95% 11 17 3.30% 9 -3.3 Betfred: 16/1, 5pl, 1/4
Todd Sinnott 0.01% 10000 351 80
Tomoyo Ikemura 1.01% 99 71 30
Travis Smyth 5.19% 19 34 2.30% 59 -2.3 Bet365: 33/1, 5pl, 1/4
Troy Storm 0.00% 10000 401 63
Viraj Madappa 0.00% 10000 201 69
Wade Ormsby 0.10% 1000 151 69
Wei-Hsuan Wang 1.35% 74 51 37
Wei-Lun Chang 0.18% 556 151 59
Wocheng Ye 0.00% 10000 501 130
Wooyoung Cho 0.03% 3333 276 103
Yanwei Liu 0.01% 10000 351 103
Yosuke Asaji 0.24% 417 176 1
Yung-Hua Liu 0.02% 5000 251 69
Zhengkai Bai 0.01% 10000 201 95
Zihao Jin 0.03% 3333 351 59

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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