Simulation Results: Shinhan Donghae Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aaron Wilkin 0.00% 10000 601 116
Aguri Iwasaki 0.10% 1000 91 54
Atiruj Winaicharoenchai 0.03% 3333 351 64
Austen Truslow 0.08% 1250 126 12
Baekjun Kim 0.14% 714 81 37
Beomjun Choi 0.00% 10000 601 130
Bjorn Hellgren 0.27% 370 141 12
Chanmin Jung 0.00% 10000 401 83
Chan-Woo Kim 0.03% 3333 125
Charlie Lindh 0.09% 1111 141 34
Chonlatit Chuenboonngam 0.17% 588 111 111
Daihan Lee 0.07% 1429 176 30
Danthai Boonma 0.54% 185 71 4
Dongkyu Jang 0.00% 10000 1001 69
Dongmin Kim 0.14% 714 226 42
Dongmin Lee 0.01% 10000 501 116
Dongwoo Wee 0.00% 10000 1001 121
Doyeob Mun 2.16% 46 41 54
Eunshin Park 0.41% 244 176 74
Galam Jeon 0.02% 5000 301 65
Gunn Charoenkul 0.20% 500 126 125
Guntaek Koh 0.43% 233 126 37
Gyumin Lee 0.02% 5000 301 60
Hanmil Jung 0.19% 526 201 100
Heemin Chang 0.07% 1429 401 83
Hideto Tanihara 0.01% 10000 351 8
Hiroshi Iwata 0.37% 270 71 74
Hongtaek Kim 0.23% 435 126 83
Hyungjoon Lee 0.03% 3333 141 18
Hyun-Woo Ryu 0.16% 625 126 18
Ian Snyman 0.30% 333 126 48
Inhoi Hur 0.03% 3333 151 125
Jaco Ahlers 0.10% 1000 81 125
Jaewoong Eom 0.05% 2000 111 92
Jazz Janewattananond 0.26% 385 71 111
Jbe Kruger 0.02% 5000 301 121
Jeongwoo Ham 0.46% 217 161 60
Jeunghun Wang 0.87% 115 51 42
Jiho Yang 0.01% 10000 251 92
Jin-Ho Choi 1.09% 92 51 18
Jinjae Byun 0.01% 10000 401 108
Junggon Hwang 0.17% 588 111 116
Junghwan Lee 0.75% 133 81 34
Junseok Lee 0.00% 10000 601 92
K.T. Kim 0.00% 10000 501 92
Kazuki Higa 5.20% 19 41 2.80% 1 70 Bet365: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kieran Vincent 1.36% 74 41 100
Koshiro Maeda 0.42% 238 151 37
Kosuke Suzuki 0.60% 167 151 111
Kota Kaneko 3.79% 26 29 0.40% 111 -0.4 Star Sports: 28/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kyongjun Moon 0.06% 1667 151 37
Kyungnam Kang 0.39% 256 126 18
M.J. Maguire 0.36% 278 67 65
Maverick Antcliff 0.41% 244 111 100
Miguel Tabuena 1.29% 78 51 48
Mikiya Akutsu 0.79% 127 67 11
Mikumu Horikawa 4.16% 24 29 0.70% Bet365: 28/1, 5pl, 1/4
Mingyu Cho 0.14% 714 176 65
Minhyeok Yu 0.01% 10000 126 92
Minhyuk Song 0.77% 130 36 18
Minkyu Kim 0.31% 323 126 12
Minsu Kim 0.01% 10000 201
Naoyuki Kataoka 0.33% 303 101 74
Nick Voke 0.43% 233 81 12
Nitithorn Thippong 0.01% 10000 351 72
Pavit Tangkamolprasert 0.27% 370 101 55
Poom Saksansin 0.36% 278 101 42
Poosit Supupramai 0.05% 2000 176 83
Rattanon Wannasrichan 0.85% 118 56 92
Richard T. Lee 3.37% 30 34 0.40% 2 1.12 Boyle Sports: 33/1, 6pl, 1/5
Riki Kawamoto 2.55% 39 26 18
Ryo Ishikawa 1.37% 73 56 83
Ryo Katsumata 0.20% 500 176 7
Ryosuke Kinoshita 0.88% 114 41 37
Ryuichi Oiwa 0.32% 313 91 132
Ryutaro Nagano 0.72% 139 71 18
Sadom Kaewkanjana 4.23% 24 26 0.40% 12 -0.4 Star Sports: 25/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sampson Zheng 0.57% 175 54
Sanghee Lee 0.27% 370 111 12
Sanghyun Park 1.03% 97 71 65
Sangmoon Bae 0.14% 714 176 48
Sang-Yeop Lee 0.00% 10000 1251 83
Sarit Suwannarut 0.74% 135 86 30
Satoshi Kodaira 0.33% 303 86 83
Scott Hend 0.22% 455 151 74
Scott Vincent 11.96% 8.4 19 7.10% 2 12.425 Star Sports: 18/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sejung Hiramoto 0.00% 10000 401 83
Seonghun Kwon 0.00% 10000 501 69
Seonghyeon Kim 2.44% 41 26 6
Seuk-Hyun Baek 0.00% 10000 2001 125
Seungbin Choi 0.04% 2500 161 111
Seunghyuk Kim 0.09% 1111 251 48
Seungsu Han 0.31% 323 126 108
Shih-Chang Chan 0.01% 10000 201 100
Shugo Imahira 2.93% 34 41 0.50% 18 -0.5 Star Sports: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Shunya Takeyasu 0.20% 500 301 18
Sihwan Kim 0.01% 10000 251 131
Soomin Lee 0.03% 3333 351 100
Steve Lewton 0.19% 526 151 42
Sukwoan Ko 0.00% 10000 1001 74
Suteepat Prateeptienchai 2.34% 43 81 1.10% 42 -1.1 Star Sports: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taehee Lee 0.11% 909 176 62
Taehoon Kim 0.01% 10000 351 57
Taehoon Ok 0.57% 175 29 18
Taichi Kho 1.55% 65 51 4
Taichi Nabetani 0.20% 500 126 71
Taiga Nagano 0.56% 179 71 116
Taihei Sato 0.07% 1429 176 74
Taiki Yoshida 0.25% 400 126 8
Taisei Shimizu 0.41% 244 81 92
Takanori Konishi 0.23% 435 201 116
Takashi Ogiso 1.45% 69 91 0.40% 100 -0.4 Spreadex: 90/1, 6pl, 1/5
Tatsunori Shogenji 3.44% 29 29 30
Terumichi Kakazu 0.03% 3333 301 100
Tomoharu Otsuki 1.02% 98 91 18
Tomohiro Ishizaka 0.46% 217 86 132
Tomoyo Ikemura 1.28% 78 46 132
Travis Smyth 3.63% 28 34 0.70% 8 -0.7 Bet365: 33/1, 5pl, 1/4
Wade Ormsby 0.20% 500 141 83
Wei-Lun Chang 0.04% 2500 226 92
Woo-Hyun Kim 0.01% 10000 121
Wooyoung Cho 1.40% 71 67 48
Yeonggyu Park 0.00% 10000 751 42
Yeongsu Kim 0.39% 256 201 48
Yetaek Lim 0.02% 5000 251 57
Yonggu Shin 0.10% 1000 71 74
Yongjun Bae 1.47% 68 51 18
Yosuke Asaji 0.04% 2500 301 121
Yosuke Tsukada 0.16% 625 251 132
Young-Han Song 4.64% 22 41 2.30% 30 -2.3 Star Sports: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yujiro Ohori 0.66% 152 151 108
Yuki Inamori 0.20% 500 111 132
Yunseok Kang 0.02% 5000 401 74
Yusaku Hosono 0.87% 115 71 34
Yusuke Sakamoto 0.45% 222 126 62
Yuta Kinoshita 0.00% 10000 601
Yuta Sugiura 3.44% 29 41 1.00% 57 -1 Star Sports: 40/1, 5pl, 1/4
Yuwa Kosaihira 0.73% 137 61 74

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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