Simulation Results: International Series Morocco

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Ahmad Baig 0.50% 200 141 146
Ahmad Skaik 0.00% 10000 1001 149
Aidric Chan 0.20% 500 51 105
Ajeetesh Sandhu 0.45% 222 201 46
Alejandro Canizares 0.03% 3333 751 134
Aman Raj 0.04% 2500 501 144
Amine El Kharraz 0.00% 10000 154
Andy Ogletree 0.66% 152 101 33
Atiruj Winaicharoenchai 0.38% 263 201 70
Austen Truslow 0.32% 313 351 6
Ayoub Lguirati 0.04% 2500 401 141
Baekjun Kim 1.10% 91 36 115
Ben Campbell 5.44% 18 19 0.20% 22 -0.2 William Hill: 18/1, 6pl, 1/5
Ben Jones 0.06% 1667 501 149
Berry Henson 0.11% 909 501 71
Bjorn Hellgren 0.73% 137 126 22
Bowen Xiao 0.22% 455 251 73
Brett Coletta 0.05% 2000 301 122
Brett Rankin 0.06% 1667 601 64
Carl Jano Corpus 0.17% 588 81 105
Carlos Bustos 0.02% 5000 751 72
Carlos Pigem 0.27% 370 251 122
Chanat Sakulpolphaisan 0.09% 1111 501 83
Charl Schwartzel 4.24% 24 17 10
Charles Porter 0.17% 588 201 40
Charlie Lindh 0.88% 114 101 33
Charng-Tai Sudsom 0.23% 435 251 115
Chase Koepka 1.02% 98 141 0.30% 73 -0.3 Bet365: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chonlatit Chuenboonngam 0.40% 250 126 56
Christian Banke 0.11% 909 401 115
Christopher Hickman 0.00% 10000 1001 122
Danthai Boonma 0.21% 476 176 2
Dengshan Koh 0.00% 10000 1001 137
Denwit David Boriboonsub 0.35% 286 201 92
Denzel Ieremia 0.13% 769 251 3
Dodge Kemmer 0.03% 3333 1001 83
Dominic Foos 0.32% 313 201 40
Eduard Rousaud 0.10% 1000 301 141
Ekpharit Wu 0.14% 714 601 14
Ervin Chang 0.15% 667 501 105
Faisal Salhab 0.00% 10000 1501 126
Gaganjeet Bhullar 0.96% 104 81 14
Galven Green 0.00% 10000 1001 134
Gary Stal 0.03% 3333 1001 155
George Kneiser 0.03% 3333 751 115
Gregory Foo 0.01% 10000 351 56
Gunn Charoenkul 1.40% 71 81 0.20% 46 -0.2 Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Guntaek Koh 0.27% 370 176 51
Guxin Chen 0.12% 833 301 22
Hongtaek Kim 0.87% 115 81 83
Hugo Mazen Trommetter 0.01% 10000 251 137
Ian Snyman 1.12% 89 111 0.20% 22 -0.2 PaddyPower: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Itthipat Buranatanyarat 0.08% 1250 301 92
Jack Buchanan 0.06% 1667 201 8
Jack Thompson 0.14% 714 301 141
Jaco Ahlers 1.14% 88 81 14
Jakkanat Inmee 0.01% 10000 1001 46
James Piot 0.73% 137 161 0.10% 51 -0.1 Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jazz Janewattananond 1.27% 79 41 73
Jbe Kruger 0.10% 1000 401 105
Jeunghun Wang 2.16% 46 34 64
Joel Stalter 0.21% 476 351 56
John Catlin 5.24% 19 17 14
John Lyras 0.07% 1429 501 8
Jonathan Broomhead 1.18% 85 26 64
Jonathan Wijono 0.13% 769 351 54
Jose Toledo 1.03% 97 251 0.60% 83 -0.6 PaddyPower: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Julien Quesne 0.45% 222 201 46
Julien Sale 0.69% 145 276 0.30% 22 -0.3 PaddyPower: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Justin Quiban 0.56% 179 151 40
Karandeep Kochhar 0.19% 526 301 144
Kazuki Higa 4.29% 23 21 33
Kelvin Si 0.79% 127 126 56
Kevin Yuan 0.74% 135 111 10
Khaled Attieh 0.00% 10000 1501 146
Khalin H. Joshi 0.18% 556 251 73
Kieran Vincent 4.21% 24 21 126
Kosuke Hamamoto 0.19% 526 351 73
Lawry Flynn 0.04% 2500 1001 83
Leon D'Souza 0.01% 10000 1001 105
Lloyd Jefferson Go 0.06% 1667 401 73
Luis Carrera 1.01% 99 41 92
M.J. Maguire 0.20% 500 201 14
Manav Shah 0.05% 2000 501 14
Marcus Lim 0.05% 2000 126
Matthew Cheung 0.65% 154 161 105
Maverick Antcliff 0.50% 200 201 3
Maximilian Rottluff 1.13% 88 91 73
Mehdi Fakori 0.01% 10000 1001 126
Micah Lauren Shin 0.78% 128 201 0.30% 38 -0.3 QuinnBet: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Miguel Carballo 0.04% 2500 501 14
Miguel Tabuena 2.79% 36 29 56
Mito Pereira 0.70% 143 161 0.10% 56 -0.1 Bet365: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Natipong Srithong 0.20% 500 351 92
Newport Laparojkit 0.02% 5000 751 54
Nick Voke 1.42% 70 51
Nitithorn Thippong 0.07% 1429 501 67
Nopparat Panichphol 0.02% 5000 751 126
Ollie Schniederjans 0.80% 125 81 73
Othman Almulla 0.00% 10000 1501 153
Othman Raouzi 0.00% 10000 1251 151
Pavit Tangkamolprasert 0.73% 137 201 0.20% 22 -0.2 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Peter Gunawan 0.00% 10000 1001 137
Peter Uihlein 2.85% 35 34 3
Phachara Khongwatmai 1.33% 75 81 0.10% 105 -0.1 Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Pierre-Henri Soero 0.01% 10000 1001 155
Poom Saksansin 1.25% 80 71 115
Poosit Supupramai 0.20% 500 751 0.10% 134 -0.1 Spreadex: 750/1, 6pl, 1/5
Rahil Gangjee 0.05% 2000 501 92
Rashid Khan 0.16% 625 501 83
Rattanon Wannasrichan 0.73% 137 101 40
Reda El Hali 0.01% 10000 146
Roberto Lebrija 0.02% 5000 1001 115
Ryan Peake 0.09% 1111 201 33
S. Chikkarangappa 0.02% 5000 1001 92
S.S.P. Chawrasia 0.07% 1429 1001 92
Sadom Kaewkanjana 3.87% 26 21 92
Sampson Zheng 1.07% 93 10
Santiago De La Fuente 0.81% 123 126 56
Sarit Suwannarut 0.44% 227 151 67
Sarut Vongchaisit 0.14% 714 351 92
Scott Vincent 7.89% 13 11 1
Sean Ramos 0.05% 2000 501 22
Settee Prakongvech 0.34% 294 251 7
Shih-Chang Chan 0.48% 208 201 126
Siddikur Rahman 0.07% 1429 501 40
Sihwan Kim 0.38% 263 251 105
Soufiane Dahmane 0.00% 10000 1001 92
Stefano Mazzoli 2.00% 50 67 0.50% 22 -0.5 Unibet: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Steve Lewton 0.62% 161 251 0.20% 73 -0.2 Spreadex: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Suradit Yongcharoenchai 0.14% 714 401 83
Suteepat Prateeptienchai 0.87% 115 201 0.40% 38 -0.4 Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taichi Kho 2.33% 43 41 10
Takumi Murakami 0.02% 5000 751 40
Tanapat Pichaikool 0.10% 1000 351 105
Tatsunori Shogenji 2.42% 41 23 51
Todd Sinnott 0.55% 182 151 73
Tomoyo Ikemura 0.77% 130 101 56
Travis Smyth 1.82% 55 34 22
Tsung-Yu Tsai 0.00% 10000 1001 105
Varanyu Rattanaphiboonkij 0.02% 5000 501 83
Varun Chopra 0.13% 769 501 122
Viraj Madappa 0.06% 1667 501 126
Wei-Chih Lu 0.03% 3333 751 83
Wei-Hsuan Wang 0.21% 476 401 46
Wei-Lun Chang 0.36% 278 301 67
Wooyoung Cho 0.55% 182 101 92
Yanwei Liu 0.27% 370 351 22
Yosuke Asaji 0.72% 139 101 22
Youssef El Hali 0.00% 10000 115
Yu-Cheng Ho 0.05% 2000 351 126
Yung-Hua Liu 0.22% 455 501 92
Yuta Sugiura 1.97% 51 34 33
Yuvraj Sandhu 0.13% 769 351 92
Zac Jones 0.01% 10000 751 137
Zhengkai Bai 0.00% 10000 251 14

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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