Simulation Results: Maekyung Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aaron Wilkin 0.16% 625 251 127
Atiruj Winaicharoenchai 0.48% 208 201 132
Austen Truslow 0.48% 208 151 82
Baekjun Kim 0.90% 111 81 2
Bio Kim 0.76% 132 81 12
Bjorn Hellgren 0.50% 200 126 20
Bon-Hyuk Koo 0.01% 10000 1501 95
Chaewook Im 0.00% 10000 69
Changwoo Lee 0.23% 435 301 95
Chanmin Jung 0.14% 714 251 40
Chan-Woo Kim 0.14% 714 51
Charlie Lindh 1.16% 86 101 0.20% 69 -0.2 Skybet: 100/1, 6pl, 1/5
Chien-Yao Hung 0.36% 278 151 115
Chonlatit Chuenboonngam 1.87% 53 51 82
Daehyun Kim 0.01% 10000 1501 82
Daewoong Bae 0.00% 10000 115
Daihan Lee 0.50% 200 201 142
Danthai Boonma 0.87% 115 67 24
Denwit David Boriboonsub 0.38% 263 101 40
Donghwan Lee 0.13% 769 301 82
Dongkyu Jang 0.34% 294 201 132
Dongmin Kim 0.36% 278 301 95
Dongmin Lee 0.47% 213 751 0.30% 49 -0.3 Star Sports: 750/1, 6pl, 1/5
Dong-Seop Maeng 0.17% 588 401 128
Doyeob Mun 0.72% 139 76 1
Doyeon Hwang 0.19% 526 401 6
Eunshin Park 1.12% 89 81 73
Gaganjeet Bhullar 1.53% 65 51 54
Galam Jeon 0.12% 833 351 66
Gunn Charoenkul 0.99% 101 67 12
Guntaek Koh 1.33% 75 41 10
Gyumin Lee 0.69% 145 126 12
Hanmil Jung 1.25% 80 71 73
Heemin Chang 0.15% 667 201 40
Hongtaek Kim 0.68% 147 151 132
Hyungjoon Lee 0.52% 192 126 12
Hyunuk Kim 0.15% 667 501 95
Ian Snyman 0.80% 125 51 73
Inchoon Hwang 0.15% 667 1001 0.10% 95 -0.1 Bet365: 1000/1, 5pl, 1/4
Insung Ko 0.02% 5000 501 51
Jaco Ahlers 1.88% 53 51 40
Jaeho Kim 0.09% 1111 501 10
Jaehyun Chung 0.16% 625 251 82
Jaehyun Jung 0.02% 5000 751 95
Jaemin Hwang 859 0.10% 1000 501 40
Jae-Won Lee 0.00% 10000 1001 122
Jaewoong Eom 0.17% 588 176 24
Jangho Choi 0.01% 10000 1001 122
Jazz Janewattananond 2.14% 47 51 0.20% 2 0.9 Skybet: 50/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jediah Morgan 0.36% 278 151 30
Jeonghyeob Hyun 0.12% 833 601 109
Jeongmin Park 0.08% 1250 1001 82
Jeongwoo Ham 1.77% 56 46 82
Jeunghun Wang 0.67% 149 81 95
Jibaek Hur 0.02% 5000 751 141
Jiho Yang 0.35% 286 251 95
Jimin Park 0.09% 1111 501 66
Jin-Ho Choi 0.21% 476 111 30
Jinjae Byun 0.34% 294 226 82
Jiro Minamizaki 0.00% 10000 1001 139
Jonghark Kim 0.04% 2500 751 82
Joonhyeong Jeon 0.09% 1111 351 122
Julien Sale 0.67% 149 101 61
Junggon Hwang 2.54% 39 51 0.60% 30 -0.6 Skybet: 50/1, 6pl, 1/5
Junghwan Lee 1.74% 57 41 2
Junhee Choi 0.09% 1111 401 115
Junhyoung Lim 0.00% 10000 501 54
Junseok Lee 0.06% 1667 501 82
Justin Quiban 0.30% 333 176 115
Kieran Vincent 3.26% 31 23 109
Kyongjun Moon 0.60% 167 126 73
Kyungnam Kang 2.26% 44 34 24
Kyungnam Park 0.12% 833 501 7
M.J. Maguire 0.69% 145 61 122
Maverick Antcliff 1.05% 95 81 58
Micah Lauren Shin 0.20% 500 201 30
Miguel Tabuena 3.90% 26 21 73
Minchel Choi 0.16% 625 351 54
Mingyu Cho 0.46% 217 201 82
Minhyeok Yu 0.43% 233 276 0.10% 61 -0.1 Bet365: 275/1, 5pl, 1/4
Minhyuk Song 1.47% 68 29 40
Minjun Kim 0.26% 385 301 71
Minsu Kim 0.24% 417 301 40
Nick Voke 1.24% 81 34 30
Nitithorn Thippong 0.73% 137 151 0.10% 135 -0.1 Skybet: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Pavit Tangkamolprasert 0.44% 227 126 109
Phachara Khongwatmai 1.70% 59 51 142
Poom Saksansin 0.81% 123 101 142
Poosit Supupramai 0.15% 667 301 95
Rattanon Wannasrichan 0.55% 182 101 58
Richard T. Lee 6.68% 15 15 58
Ryan Peake 0.16% 625 201 82
Sadom Kaewkanjana 2.47% 40 21 19
Sampson Zheng 0.56% 179 20
Sanghee Lee 2.74% 36 23 7
Sang-Hyun Kim 0.04% 2500 61
Sanghyun Park 2.02% 50 61 0.40% 30 -0.4 Bet365: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sang-Yeop Lee 0.02% 5000 1001 140
Sarit Suwannarut 0.86% 116 126 0.10% 30 -0.1 Skybet: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Scott Hend 0.62% 161 126 61
Scott Vincent 3.08% 32 17 12
Seonghyeon An 0.03% 3333 501 66
Seonghyeon Jeon 0.70% 143 151 73
Seongmin Moon 0.00% 10000 501 109
Seuk-Hyun Baek 0.04% 2500 1001 135
Seunggu Kang 0.09% 1111 751 95
Seunghyuk Kim 0.81% 123 1001 0.70% 40 -0.7 Boyle Sports: 1000/1, 6pl, 1/5
Seunghyun Pi 0.01% 10000 751 24
Seungmin Kim 0.03% 3333 1001 137
Seungsu Han 0.49% 204 251 0.10% 12 -0.1 QuinnBet: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Seungtaek Oh 0.28% 357 201 122
Shih-Chang Chan 0.28% 357 251 30
Sihwan Kim 0.47% 213 151 54
Songgyu Yoo 0.04% 2500 751 73
Soomin Lee 1.21% 83 67 95
Stefano Mazzoli 1.75% 57 34 61
Steve Lewton 1.38% 72 101 0.40% 73 -0.4 Spreadex: 100/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sukwoan Ko 0.12% 833 251 109
Sungjin Yeo 0.05% 2000 501 95
Sungkug Park 0.14% 714 1001 128
Sungyeol Kwon 0.17% 588 751 128
Sunil Richard Jung 0.23% 435 301 109
Suteepat Prateeptienchai 1.15% 87 81 82
Taehee Lee 0.55% 182 251 0.20% 49 -0.2 QuinnBet: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taehoon Kim 0.04% 2500 751 95
Taehoon Ok 2.98% 34 26 30
Taewan Park 0.02% 5000 1001 20
Taeyoung Kang 0.35% 286 201 30
Taichi Kho 2.52% 40 23 51
Travis Smyth 3.02% 33 21 24
Wei-Lun Chang 0.48% 208 151 115
Wonjoon Lee 0.14% 714 1001 95
Woo-Hyun Kim 0.18% 556 7
Wooyoung Cho 2.13% 47 23 5
Yeonggyu Park 0.00% 10000 501 72
Yeongsu Kim 0.97% 103 126 0.20% 20 -0.2 Skybet: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Yetaek Lim 0.20% 500 251 24
Yeunsub Kim 0.04% 2500 751 73
Yonggu Shin 0.51% 196 201 12
Yongjun Bae 1.12% 89 51 40
Yongtae Kim 0.01% 10000 501 128
Yoon Chung 0.04% 2500 1501 137
Yunseok Kang 0.37% 270 251 115

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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