Simulation Results: International Series Macau

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
Aaron Wilkin 0.31% 323 401 0.10% 53 -0.1 Unibet: 400/1, 5pl, 1/4
Alex Ching 0.00% 10000 1001 76
Aman Raj 0.04% 2500 751 76
Andi Xu 0.28% 357 161 76
Anshul Kabthiyal 0.13% 769 501 135
Arjun Sharma 0.10% 1000 501 128
Atiruj Winaicharoenchai 1.10% 91 81 111
Austen Truslow 1.57% 64 67 0.10% 10 -0.1 Unibet: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Berry Henson 0.40% 250 251 49
Bjorn Hellgren 2.65% 38 51 0.70% 25 -0.7 Unibet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Bowen Xiao 0.36% 278 276 28
Brett Rankin 0.40% 250 301 0.10% 5 1.8 Unibet: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Brian O'Donovan 0.02% 5000 751 120
Carlos Pigem 0.19% 526 251 59
Chak-Hou Tang 0.00% 10000 1501 138
Chanat Sakulpolphaisan 0.24% 417 401 89
Chapchai Nirat 0.57% 175 126 128
Charlie Lindh 0.95% 105 101 59
Charng-Tai Sudsom 0.50% 200 151 57
Chase Koepka 0.75% 133 251 0.40% 18 -0.4 Spreadex: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Chenyou Nan 0.00% 10000 1001 141
Chi Che Hung 0.00% 10000 1251 140
Chi Huang 0.04% 2500 1001 102
Chien-Yao Hung 0.71% 141 101 28
Ching-Hung Su 0.27% 370 251 67
Chonlatit Chuenboonngam 1.15% 87 67 56
Christopher Hickman 0.03% 3333 751 102
Chumu Xia 0.00% 10000 751 111
Darcy Brereton 0.30% 333 226 67
David Gleeson 0.00% 10000 1501 133
Dengshan Koh 0.01% 10000 601 124
Denzel Ieremia 0.29% 345 226 28
Dodge Kemmer 0.50% 200 201 40
Dominic Foos 1.14% 88 126 0.30% 1 23.4375 Unibet: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Dongchan Oh 0.01% 10000 1251 120
Eduard Rousaud 0.20% 500 501 116
Ekpharit Wu 0.33% 303 226 76
Ervin Chang 0.34% 294 251 10
Filip Lundell 0.01% 10000 1001 76
Gabriel Hansel Hari 0.07% 1429 1501 102
Gabriel Hernandez 0.00% 10000 1251 137
Galven Green 0.08% 1250 751 111
Gunn Charoenkul 1.35% 74 76 44
Guxin Chen 0.25% 400 401 34
Han Xue 0.02% 5000 1001 116
Haotong Li 2.49% 40 13 40
Haoyi Wang 0.05% 2000 351 102
Ian Snyman 1.86% 54 56 0.10% 18 -0.1 Unibet: 55/1, 5pl, 1/4
Itthipat Buranatanyarat 0.40% 250 251 44
Jack Buchanan 0.29% 345 226 39
Jack Thompson 0.21% 476 251 10
Jaco Ahlers 2.07% 48 51 0.10% 25 -0.1 BetMGM: 50/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jaewoong Eom 0.57% 175 226 0.10% 49 -0.1 Spreadex: 225/1, 6pl, 1/5
Jakkanat Inmee 0.21% 476 351 102
Jbe Kruger 0.43% 233 226 76
Jeunghun Wang 1.77% 56 31 18
Joel Stalter 0.25% 400 351 67
John Catlin 4.26% 23 17 10
John Lyras 0.42% 238 226 96
Jonathan Wijono 0.19% 526 501 34
Jose Toledo 0.77% 130 101 57
Joseph Dent 0.00% 10000 751 89
Joshua Grenville-Wood 0.19% 526 251 116
Jun Tian 0.00% 10000 351 128
Jungsoo Yang 0.00% 10000 1251 128
Justin Quiban 0.45% 222 126 44
K.P. Lin 0.04% 2500 751 120
Kaijun Ma 0.00% 10000 1001 67
Kammalas Namuangruk 0.10% 1000 351 96
Kelvin Si 0.23% 435 351 76
Khaled Attieh 0.01% 10000 1501 64
Kosuke Hamamoto 0.64% 156 161 76
Kun Lei 0.00% 10000 135
Lawry Flynn 0.06% 1667 751 28
Lee Westwood 1.40% 71 26 89
Lianwei Zhang 0.00% 10000 1001 102
M.J. Maguire 0.96% 104 56 18
Manav Shah 0.30% 333 226 40
Matthew Cheung 0.73% 137 161 0.10% 34 -0.1 Unibet: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Micah Lauren Shin 1.77% 56 67 0.30% 7 -0.3 Unibet: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Miguel Carballo 0.23% 435 251 28
Miguel Tabuena 5.71% 18 16 141
Mingyuan Yang 0.00% 10000 1251 138
Natipong Srithong 0.67% 149 151 89
Newport Laparojkit 0.17% 588 501 59
Nicklaus Chiam 0.07% 1429 501 89
Nitithorn Thippong 0.24% 417 226 96
Oliver Roberts 0.00% 10000 751 67
Panuphol Pittayarat 0.93% 108 81 44
Parathakorn Suyasri 0.08% 1250 601 116
Pavit Tangkamolprasert 2.57% 39 34 44
Pawin Ingkhapradit 0.16% 625 501 67
Peter Gunawan 0.00% 10000 1251 102
Pierre-Henri Soero 0.01% 10000 1001 67
Poom Saksansin 3.94% 25 21 10
Poosit Supupramai 0.74% 135 126 67
Prom Meesawat 0.57% 175 141 76
Pui In Hun 0.00% 10000 111
Pukhraj Singh Gill 0.21% 476 351 49
Rattanon Wannasrichan 3.19% 31 21 34
Richard Dou 0.01% 10000 1251 76
Roberto Lebrija 0.47% 213 251 0.10% 67 -0.1 BetMGM: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
S.S.P. Chawrasia 0.17% 588 501 66
Sam Brazel 0.08% 1250 176 96
Sam Westwood 0.00% 10000 1251 120
Sampson Zheng 2.20% 45 28
Santiago De la Fuente 1.17% 85 56 10
Sarit Suwannarut 2.20% 45 34 4
Sarut Vongchaisit 0.88% 114 101 5
Sean Ramos 0.36% 278 226 7
Settee Prakongvech 0.52% 192 201 40
Shahriffuddin Ariffin 0.59% 169 251 0.20% 34 -0.2 Unibet: 250/1, 5pl, 1/4
Shih-Chang Chan 0.46% 217 301 0.10% 59 -0.1 Spreadex: 300/1, 6pl, 1/5
Siddikur Rahman 0.47% 213 151 18
Sihwan Kim 0.35% 286 326 102
Sungjae Im 9.34% 11 8 7
Suradit Yongcharoenchai 0.54% 185 151 49
Suteepat Prateeptienchai 4.32% 23 16 18
Taichi Kho 3.20% 31 19 10
Taiga Sugihara 0.44% 227 201 76
Takumi Murakami 0.06% 1667 601 76
Tanapat Pichaikool 0.92% 109 141 0.20% 141 -0.2 Unibet: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Todd Sinnott 0.83% 120 161 0.20% 53 -0.2 Unibet: 160/1, 5pl, 1/4
Tsung-Yu Tsai 0.02% 5000 1001
Varanyu Rattanaphiboonkij 0.17% 588 501 96
Viraj Madappa 0.42% 238 251 53
Wei-Chih Lu 0.16% 625 601 89
Wei-Hsuan Wang 2.71% 37 21 2
Wei-Lun Chang 1.12% 89 81 18
Wen-Chong Liang 0.01% 10000 1001 111
Wenyi Ding 3.13% 32 29 3
William Harrold 0.11% 909 501 63
Witchayapat Sinsrang 0.21% 476 1001 0.10% 76 -0.1 Spreadex: 1000/1, 6pl, 1/5
Wocheng Ye 0.04% 2500 501 10
Yen-Hung Liu 0.04% 2500 751 89
Yi-Long Chen 0.02% 5000 1001 124
Yin-Ho Yue 0.09% 1111 601 124
Yu-Chen Yeh 0.03% 3333 601 102
Yu-Cheng Ho 0.19% 526 601 124
Yung-Hua Liu 1.04% 96 61 96
Zhengkai Bai 0.38% 263 176 25
Zhi Li 0.00% 10000 1251 128
Zihao Jin 0.32% 313 161 64
Zi-Hong Zhang 0.00% 10000 1001 134

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


© Copyright 1999-2025 Tour-Tips.com.
All rights reserved.

This Week's Updates