Simulation Results: Indonesia Open

Player Win % TT Odds Best Odds Kelly Result P/L E/W Play
A. Asugann 0.00% 10000 128
Abdul Aziz Naufal 0.00% 10000 1001 142
Ahmad Baig 0.23% 435 151 71
Ajeetesh Sandhu 1.63% 61 71 0.20% 79 -0.2 Star Sports: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Akbar Maulana 0.00% 10000 1001 135
Aldwin Kendarwan 0.00% 10000 1001 135
Alejandro Canizares 0.03% 3333 501 116
Alfred Sitohang 0.00% 10000 1501 94
Almay Rayhan Yagutah 0.00% 10000 1501 139
Amadeus Susanto 0.01% 10000 251 70
Aman Raj 0.09% 1111 601 102
Angelo Que 0.29% 345 226 79
Asa Najib Bhakti 0.10% 1000 1001 144
Asep Saefulloh 0.00% 10000 1501 129
Atiruj Winaicharoenchai 0.84% 119 111 94
Austen Truslow 2.08% 48 81 0.90% 43 -0.9 Priced Up: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Ayoub Lguirati 0.11% 909 501 64
Bowen Xiao 0.44% 227 111 37
Brett Rankin 0.25% 400 301 147
Chanat Sakulpolphaisan 0.43% 233 251 52
Chapchai Nirat 0.52% 192 126 60
Charles Porter 0.78% 128 81 14
Charng-Tai Sudsom 0.52% 192 111 56
Chi Huang 0.04% 2500 601 118
Chien-Yao Hung 0.53% 189 151 43
Ching-Hung Su 0.25% 400 126 79
Chonlatit Chuenboonngam 1.54% 65 41 27
Christianto Sinuhaji 0.00% 10000 114
Christopher Hickman 0.03% 3333 501 109
Danthai Boonma 3.63% 28 17 66
Dengshan Koh 0.02% 5000 751 79
Dodge Kemmer 0.19% 526 601 43
Dominic Foos 1.17% 85 111 0.30% 71 -0.3 Priced Up: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Eduard Rousaud 0.18% 556 251 52
Ekpharit Wu 0.53% 189 176 20
Elki Kow 0.05% 2000 1501 142
Ervin Chang 0.38% 263 276 48
Fadhli R. Soetarso 0.00% 10000 1501 123
Faisal Salhab 0.01% 10000 1001 118
Gabriel Hansel Hari 0.13% 769 301 64
Galih Wiratno 0.00% 10000 1001 123
Galven Green 0.03% 3333 751 118
Gary Stal 0.09% 1111 601 147
George Gandranata 0.04% 2500 751 109
Gunn Charoenkul 1.91% 52 41 79
Guxin Chen 0.46% 217 101 20
Ian Snyman 2.84% 35 67 1.40% 27 -1.4 Boyle Sports: 66/1, 6pl, 1/5
Indra Hermawan 0.00% 10000 1001 147
Itthipat Buranatanyarat 1.03% 97 81 20
Jack Thompson 0.28% 357 151 102
Jakkanat Inmee 0.19% 526 201 14
James Leow 0.17% 588 176 94
Jayawardana Dornan 0.00% 10000 1001 79
Jazz Janewattananond 2.27% 44 23 71
Jediah Morgan 0.84% 119 51 14
Jeunghun Wang 1.37% 73 29 27
Joel Stalter 0.49% 204 126 71
John Lyras 2.99% 33 81 1.80% 43 -1.8 Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jonathan Wijono 0.34% 294 201 79
Jose Toledo 0.21% 476 251 27
Joshua Andrew Wirawan 0.00% 10000 1001 139
Justin Quiban 0.80% 125 111 37
Kammalas Namuangruk 0.24% 417 301 109
Karandeep Kochhar 0.84% 119 126 14
Kelvin Si 1.36% 74 91 0.30% 60 -0.3 Spreadex: 90/1, 6pl, 1/5
Kenneth Sutianto 0.00% 10000 251 123
Kevin Akbar 0.11% 909 601 7
Kevin Yuan 2.36% 42 29 3
Khalin H. Joshi 0.99% 101 111 0.10% 27 -0.1 Star Sports: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Kosuke Hamamoto 1.68% 60 81 0.50% 71 -0.5 Priced Up: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Lawry Flynn 0.20% 500 351 132
M.J. Maguire 1.99% 50 34 7
Manav Shah 0.31% 323 176 68
Marcus Fraser 0.04% 2500 751 109
Marcus Lim 0.20% 500 201 52
Mardan Mamat 0.02% 5000 751 123
Matthew Cheung 0.40% 250 126 79
Matthew Lumbantoruan 0.00% 10000 1001 132
Maverick Antcliff 3.29% 30 51 1.40% 27 -1.4 Star Sports: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Micah Lauren Shin 1.84% 54 81 0.60% 14 -0.6 Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Michael Tran 0.14% 714 301 102
Miguel Carballo 0.74% 135 251 0.30% 79 -0.3 Spreadex: 250/1, 6pl, 1/5
Miguel Tabuena 3.05% 33 23 37
N. Nurdana 0.00% 10000 1501 139
Naraajie E. Ramadhanputra 0.10% 1000 201 20
Natipong Srithong 1.82% 55 81 0.60% 79 -0.6 Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
Newport Laparojkit 0.23% 435 501 94
Nicholas Fung 0.19% 526 501 94
Nikola Nugraha 0.00% 10000 1001 145
Nitithorn Thippong 0.50% 200 101 56
Nopparat Panichphol 0.32% 313 226 60
Panuphol Pittayarat 1.05% 95 71 7
Paul San 0.13% 769 251 102
Pavit Tangkamolprasert 2.16% 46 51 0.20% 7 -0.2 Unibet: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Pawin Ingkhapradit 0.16% 625 601 5
Peter Gunawan 0.01% 10000 751 129
Phachara Khongwatmai 1.73% 58 61 0.10% Priced Up: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Poom Saksansin 2.21% 45 31 27
Poosit Supupramai 0.89% 112 81 56
Prakasa Alfa Rizqi 0.00% 10000 1001 135
Prom Meesawat 0.51% 196 151 56
Rahil Gangjee 0.15% 667 501 48
Randy Abernata Bintang 0.01% 10000 101 71
Ratchanon Chantananuwat 0.77% 130 51 27
Rattanon Wannasrichan 2.45% 41 29 7
Roberto Lebrija 0.19% 526 401 27
Roby Sugara 0.00% 10000 1501 79
Rory Hie 0.13% 769 501 116
Ryan Peake 0.49% 204 56 37
S. Chikkarangappa 0.24% 417 601 0.10% 69 -0.1 Spreadex: 600/1, 6pl, 1/5
S. Syukrizal 0.01% 10000 751 118
S.S.P. Chawrasia 0.30% 333 226 94
Sampson Zheng 1.67% 60 14
Sandro Bernad 0.00% 10000 129
Sarit Suwannarut 3.03% 33 29 20
Sarut Vongchaisit 0.26% 385 151 7
Sean Ramos 0.26% 385 151 102
Settee Prakongvech 0.99% 101 81 71
Shahriffuddin Ariffin 0.70% 143 81 5
Shih-Chang Chan 0.52% 192 67 94
Siddikur Rahman 0.80% 125 151 0.10% 48 -0.1 Spreadex: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Sihwan Kim 0.84% 119 111 79
Steve Lewton 2.58% 39 51 0.60% 27 -0.6 Priced Up: 50/1, 5pl, 1/4
Suradit Yongcharoenchai 0.74% 135 151 0.10% 102 -0.1 Spreadex: 150/1, 6pl, 1/5
Suteepat Prateeptienchai 1.89% 53 71 0.50% 1 21.875 Priced Up: 70/1, 5pl, 1/4
Taichi Kho 2.72% 37 29 2
Takumi Murakami 0.16% 625 351 71
Tanapat Pichaikool 0.48% 208 111 7
Taufik Sosilo 0.00% 10000 1501 138
Todd Sinnott 0.41% 244 101 20
Travis Smyth 3.27% 31 21 3
Tsung-Yu Tsai 0.02% 5000 751 147
Vanchai Luangnitikul 0.10% 1000 601 67
Varanyu Rattanaphiboonkij 0.14% 714 201 37
Viraj Madappa 0.13% 769 151 43
Wahyu Tamtama 0.00% 10000 251 146
Wei-Chih Lu 0.18% 556 751 37
Wei-Hsuan Wang 1.12% 89 126 0.30% 20 -0.3 Boyle Sports: 125/1, 6pl, 1/5
Wei-Lun Chang 1.40% 71 81 0.20% 48 -0.2 Bet365: 80/1, 5pl, 1/4
William Wijaya 0.00% 10000 351 122
Witchayapat Sinsrang 0.07% 1429 751 79
Wocheng Ye 0.07% 1429 401 60
Yanwei Liu 0.88% 114 111 79
Yen-Hung Liu 0.12% 833 251 132
Yikeun Chang 0.01% 10000 401 79
Yu-Cheng Ho 0.35% 286 201 102
Yung-Hua Liu 0.54% 185 201 114
Yutaka Toyoshima 0.00% 10000 1001 123
Yuvraj Sandhu 2.66% 38 34 52
Zhengkai Bai 1.01% 99 67 109

The data in the above table is as follows:

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e2, where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.

Odds
This week's odds

Betfair: PGA Tour

Betfair: DP World Tour


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