Simulation Results: Bharath Classic

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
Aadil Bedi	0.02%	5000	1001		120
Abderrahmane Fakori	0.02%	5000	1001		79
Ahmad Baig	1.72%	58	34		41
Ahmad Skaik	0.00%	10000	1501		97
Aidric Chan	0.20%	500	501
Alessio Graziani	0.01%	10000	1251		135
Aman Raj	0.08%	1250	401		56
Amine El Omari	0.01%	10000	1501		138
Andi Xu	1.22%	82			21
Arjun Bhati	0.01%	10000	1251		127
Arjun Sharma	0.11%	909	1001		109
Aryan Roopa Anand	0.06%	1667	1001		79
Atiruj Winaicharoenchai	0.68%	147	111		21
Austen Truslow	3.58%	28	15		27
Ayoub Id Omar	0.01%	10000	1001		120
Ayoub Lguirati	0.10%	1000	751		13
Ben Carpenter	0.02%	5000	751		59
Berry Henson	0.66%	152	176	0.10%	63	-0.1	Spreadex: 175/1, 5pl, 1/4
Brett Rankin	0.33%	303	301		89
C. Muniyappa	0.01%	10000	1251		105
Carl Jano Corpus	0.64%	156	201	0.10%	71	-0.1	Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Chapchai Nirat	0.80%	125	126		69
Charles Porter	0.76%	132	81		2
Charlie Lindh	2.03%	49	41		1
Chieh-Po Lee	2.98%	34	26		89
Chonlatit Chuenboonngam	1.14%	88	56		21
Danish Verma	0.07%	1429	1001		120
Danthai Boonma	1.51%	66	41		39
Denzel Ieremia	0.31%	323	251		139
Digraj Singh Gill	0.00%	10000	1501		114
Dipankar Kaushal	0.00%	10000	1501		97
Dominic Foos	1.54%	65	41		67
Ekpharit Wu	1.21%	83	36		11
El Mehdi Fakori	0.07%	1429	1001		50
Ervin Chang	0.78%	128	126		52
Faisal Salhab	0.01%	10000	1501		59
Finlay Mason	0.13%	769	1001		52
Gaganjeet Bhullar	1.88%	53	46		27
Gunn Charoenkul	0.48%	208	176		41
Harendra Gupta	0.02%	5000	751		109
Harrison Crowe	0.44%	227	176		21
Harshjeet Singh Sethie	0.03%	3333	1001		139
Henry Chung	0.59%	169	176		9
Henry Lee	0.96%	104	151	0.30%	41	-0.3	Bet365: 150/1, 5pl, 1/4
Hugo Mazen Trommetter	0.01%	10000	301		127
I.L. Aalaap	0.01%	10000	751		97
Ian Snyman	4.56%	22	11		15
Issam Nakrou	0.00%	10000	1501		114
Itthipat Buranatanyarat	0.81%	123	141	0.10%	97	-0.1	Spreadex: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Jack Thompson	1.43%	70	51		114
Jaco Ahlers	2.68%	37	36		27
Jai Bahl	0.00%	10000	501		67
Jaibir Singh	0.00%	10000	1501		127
James Leow	1.71%	58	51		52
Jazz Janewattananond	2.29%	44	17		35
Jbe Kruger	0.74%	135	111		109
Jed Morgan	1.00%	100	51		35
Jose Toledo	0.71%	141	81		79
Justin Harding	1.16%	86	51		21
Justin Quiban	0.29%	345	226		79
Justin Warren	0.22%	455	251		27
Kanav Chauhan	0.00%	10000	601		134
Kapil Kumar	0.02%	5000	1501		139
Karandeep Kochhar	0.57%	175	91		9
Kartik Sharma	0.23%	435	401		120
Kartik Singh	0.91%	110	111		41
Kevin Yuan	1.21%	83	91	0.10%	56	-0.1	Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Khalid Attieh	0.02%	5000	1001		131
Khalin H. Joshi	0.48%	208	301	0.10%	97	-0.1	Spreadex: 300/1, 5pl, 1/4
Khavish Varadan	1.16%	86			27
Lloyd Jefferson Go	0.52%	192	126		13
M. Dharma	0.03%	3333	501		71
M.J. Maguire	1.24%	81	51		15
Manav Shah	0.20%	500	501
Marc Sabria	0.01%	10000	751
Marcus Plunkett	2.25%	44	61	0.60%	6	-0.6	Betway: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
Matt Killen	1.34%	75	51		35
Matthew Cheung	1.67%	60	67	0.20%	15	-0.2	Bet365: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Maverick Antcliff	1.20%	83	81		114
Micah Shin	1.43%	70	111	0.50%	69	-0.5	Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
Michele Ortolani	1.19%	84	81		27
Milind Soni	0.04%	2500	1001		71
Minchan Kim	0.00%	10000	1501		120
Mohamed Baouhamou	0.00%	10000	751		105
Mohamed Nizar Bourehim	0.03%	3333	401		71
Mohammad Skaik	0.00%	10000	1501		71
Naraajie E. Ramadhanputra	0.11%	909	1001		89
Nick Voke	2.17%	46	17		21
Niklas Regner	0.18%	556	251		15
Nopparat Panichphol	1.25%	80	126	0.50%	59	-0.5	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
Othman Almulla	0.01%	10000	1251		89
Othman Raouzi	0.00%	10000	1501		89
Pavit Tangkamolprasert	1.89%	53	29		64
Poom Saksansin	3.59%	28	29	0.10%	6	-0.1	Spreadex: 28/1, 5pl, 1/4
Poosit Supupramai	0.60%	167	91		41
Pukhraj Singh Gill	0.78%	128	141	0.10%	59	-0.1	Spreadex: 140/1, 5pl, 1/4
Raghav Chugh	0.15%	667	551		64
Ranjit Singh	0.00%	10000	1501		139
Rashid Khan	0.38%	263	151		41
Rattanon Wannasrichan	1.70%	59	67	0.20%	79	-0.2	Bet365: 66/1, 5pl, 1/4
Reda El Hali	0.00%	10000	1501		114
Roberto Lebrija	0.64%	156	201	0.10%	15	-0.1	Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Rohit Baisoya	0.00%	10000	1501		139
Runchanapong Youprayong	3.62%	28	17		6
S.S.P. Chawrasia	0.09%	1111	301		71
Saarthak Chhibber	0.07%	1429	501		127
Sachin Baisoya	0.21%	476	401		41
Sam Broadhurst	0.57%	175	201	0.10%	4	2.45	Bet365: 200/1, 5pl, 1/4
Samarth Dwivedi	0.03%	3333	601		137
Santiago De la Fuente	1.42%	70	41		27
Sarit Suwannarut	1.78%	56	51		4
Sarut Vongchaisit	1.35%	74	91	0.30%	79	-0.3	Bet365: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Sawai Hememdra Singh Bhati	0.02%	5000	751		105
Settee Prakongvech	0.38%	263	226		2
Shat Mishra	0.00%	10000	1501		97
Shaurya Bhattacharya	0.94%	106	226	0.50%	52	-0.5	Bet365: 225/1, 5pl, 1/4
Shaurya Binu	0.01%	10000			89
Shubham Jaglan	0.14%	714	451		136
Siddikur Rahman	1.77%	56	51		41
Steve Lewton	1.25%	80	71		11
Sudhir Sharma	0.07%	1429	601		131
Suradit Yongcharoenchai	1.18%	85	91	0.10%	97	-0.1	Spreadex: 90/1, 5pl, 1/4
Suteepat Prateeptienchai	1.50%	67	36		89
Syed Saqib Ahmed	0.08%	1250	501		97
Tanapat Pichaikool	1.02%	98	61		56
Tawit Polthai	0.56%	179	151		114
Thanpisit Omsin	0.17%	588	326		39
Trishul Chinnappa	0.08%	1250	601		120
Tushar Pannu	0.02%	5000	1251		120
Udayan Mane	0.24%	417	401		64
Varun Chopra	0.29%	345	351		59
Varun Parikh	0.08%	1250	1001		79
Vasu Sehgal	0.03%	3333	1001		109
Veer Ganapathy	0.00%	10000	1001		109
Vihaan Reddy	0.00%	10000	1501		139
Wade Ormsby	1.89%	53	26
Wei-Hsuan Wang	1.44%	69	51		89
Wei-Lun Chang	1.46%	68	56		35
Will Florimo	0.40%	250	141		15
Yashas Chandra	0.01%	10000	1251		27
Youssef El Hali	0.01%	10000	1251		79
Yung-Hua Liu	0.56%	179	161		105
Yuxin Lin	0.98%	102	101		50
Zhengkai Bai	0.30%	333	201		131

					Result	P/L	E/W Play

Player	Win %	TT Odds	Best Odds	Kelly	Result	P/L	E/W Play
WIN: Marcus Plunkett	2.25%	44	61	0.60%	6	-2	Betway: 60/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Micah Shin	1.43%	70	111	0.50%	69	-2	Bet365: 110/1, 5pl, 1/4
WIN: Nopparat Panichphol	1.25%	80	126	0.50%	59	-2	Bet365: 125/1, 5pl, 1/4
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:
FRL:

The data in the above table is as follows:

• Player - the players in the field at the time of the latest update
• TT Win - our estimated probability of the player winning this market
• TT Odds - The TT Win value expressed in decimal odds format
• Best Odds - the best odds available on the player to win this market as indicated on Oddschecker
• Kelly - The Kelly criterion as a measure of the 'edge' in each player's odds - the Kelly criterion calculates the optimal percentage of bankroll to bet on a player
• Result - The player's finishing position - this is added when this simulation is archived
• P/L - The profit on the advised play (see 'E/W Play' column) - this is added when this simulation is archived
• E/W Play - The advised each-way play at the Kelly stakes

The Top3 Plays table highlights the three advised each-way plays in the win and FRL markets. Each play is of equal stake with a total of 6pts in both the win and FRL markets.

The TT Win Probabilities displayed above are the result of a Monte Carlo simulation of each round of a tournament, using individual player inputs and a probability distribution. This method is particularly useful in golf given the number of players in a tournament and the complex process within modelling player scores.

To determine the number of replications R, this is typically set at 10 / e², where e is the relative error in the bias assessment (precision measure). With 100,000 replications, e falls to less than 1%, which is the target relative error.

This table will be populated with the simulation results as soon as there are sufficient win odds available to advise plays. The FRL probabilities and advised plays will not appear publication of tee-times for events with split rd1 tee-times.

While TT Win Probabilities will be provided for all markets available via the buttons above the table, each-way plays will only be advised for win and FRL markets.

TT Win Probabilities (including results) are available for all past events via the 'Archives' here.

Full P/L breakdown per market and per event since 2024 is available here.