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Betfair Picks - European Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair (external)

 

Odds: Betfair Summary

DP World Tour Championship
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The tipping notation is: BACK/LAY, followed by the price, followed in paratheses by the max/min price at which to BACK/LAY, respectively, followed by the BACK 'to win' and LAY 'liability' points at the stated prices, which is the number of ticks between the available price and the max/min price, up to a maximum of 10pts.

For the in-running tips ... any tip posted before rd3 or rd4 is in addition to those already posted in the event at 'BACK to win' or LAY liabilities that cumulatively sum a maximum of 10pts. For example, if a pre-tournament tip is LAY at 5pts liability and is followed by a pre-rd3 tip at LAY at 9pts liability, the pre-rd3 bet should be laid at 5pts (i.e. a maximum liability of 10pts) if the pre-tournament tip was laid and laid at 9pts if no previously liability had been taken on that player.
 

Rory McIlroy
Pre-tournament
LAY 9.8 (11.5) [4pts]
Pre-rd3
LAY 6.4 (7.2) [4pts] 
 
Jon Rahm
Pre-tournament
LAY 12.0 (18.0) [10pts]
Pre-rd3
LAY 11.5 (15.5) [8pts] 
 
Tommy Fleetwood
Pre-tournament
BACK 15.0 (13.5) [3pts]
Pre-rd3
BACK 9.6 (8.4) [6pts] 
 
Sergio Garcia
Pre-tournament
LAY 20 (21) [1pt]
Pre-rd3
BACK 70 (44) [7pts] 
 
Tyrrell Hatton
Pre-tournament
BACK 21 (14.5) [10pts]
Pre-rd3
BACK 810 (600) [10pts] 
 
Xander Schauffele
Pre-tournament
LAY 24 (42) [10pts]
Pre-rd3
No play 
 
Francesco Molinari
Pre-tournament 
BACK 25 (17) [10pts]
Pre-rd3
BACK 240 (120) [10pts] 
 
Thorbjorn Olesen
Pre-tournament
LAY 26 (35) [6pts]
Pre-rd3
No play 
 
Hao-Tong Li
Pre-tournament
LAY 27 (50) [10pts]
Pre-rd3
LAY 240 (350) [10pts 
 
Patrick Reed
Pre-tournament
BACK 27 (21) [6pts]
Pre-rd3
BACK 8.4 (7.4) [5pts]
 


TIPS AND STAKES

Unlike fixed odds markets, liquidity is an issue in exchange markets - there is little value in providing tips for players at odds for which there are very small amounts available. So, in order to provide tips that utilise the maximum amount of liquidity within the Betfair exchange market, there are two things to note:

  1. Tips will normally be provided the evening before the market goes in-play;

  2. Tips will focus only on those players near the top of the market.

    There is plenty of value in backing players at very large odds in the exchange markets, but once that price has gone, the next-best price can be many ticks lower, so there is little value in providing tips for these odds.

Betfair tips for the European Tour will only be provided in-running - there will be none before the tournament starts.



Odds of 2.0 or higher

All BACK plays will be to win 10pts and all LAY plays will with a liability of 10pts.

So a BACK play at odds of 9 will mean that the stake is 10/(9-1) = 1.25pts. Similarly, a LAY play at odds of 9 will mean 10pts are staked to win 1.25pts.

Odds of less than 2.0

All BACK plays will have a liability of 10pts and all LAY plays will be to win 10pts

 

The numbers in brackets indicate the minimum advised odds to take for BACK plays and the maximum advised odds to take for LAY plays.