Latest Updates en-us 2018-01-20T09:21:09+01:00 Latest Updates PGA_18h_matches.htm PGA_betfair.htm Pre-tournament plays:BACK to win 20ptsJon Rahm 11.0Rahm's price was a full point lower yesterday, but is worth backing now at the higher price. He is a class above the rest of the field in this event - Webb Simpson is 2nd in the market and he ranks 38th in the World Rankings compared to Rahm who is 3rd - and these generous fairways and courses set up for attacking golf should suit his style of play. Needless to say, when the gulf in class with the rest of the field is so large, easy courses tend to be a leveller, but he showed two weeks ago that he was close to his best after some clear signs of rustiness in the early rounds. That is the difference between this year and last year when he finished 34th on his debut - on that occasion, it was his first start of the year and he was an up-and-coming, but largely raw talent. He has made huge steps forward in the last 12 months and he is certainly the player to beat this week.  LAY 20pts liabilityBrian Harman 23There's no denying Harman's form - his last six finishes read 5th-8th-4th-3rd-3rd-4th - but he has held the 36-hole lead in each of the last two weeks on Tour and gone backwards in each round thereafter. He does have a good history in this event - 11th and 3rd in the last two years - but he still looks like a player for whom victory will be presented. It will be exhausting to have been in that position over the last two weekends and while he will have confidence in his game, it will surely have diminished in his ability to convert his chances.Patrick Reed 26Reed is a former winner (2014) and also finished 12th last year, but when he won in 2014, he had already finished 16th at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and when he played well last year, he had already finished 6th in the earlier event. This week he is making his first start of the year so I am willing to oppose him at this stage of the event.Phil Mickelson 29It is also Mickelson's first start of the year and he is also a former winner of this event (2002 and 2004), but that is a very long time ago and he can count just one top-5 finish in a strokeplay event in the last 18 months. He is tournament ambassador, but I wouldn't price him as one of the faouvrites to win this event.Jason Dufner 32Dufner did finish in the top-20 in both the previous weeks and did win this event two years ago, so he is an obvious candidate for odds such as this and, to be fair, I only price him four points higher, but I still think that he is one of the favourites worth opposing. He played poorly when in contention in the final round two weeks ago and his top-20 finish last week was off-the-pace after finishing the 1st round in 65th position. The last 12 months have seen him record 13 top-20 finishes, but only two inside the top-10. A good player for match bets, but I'll continue to oppose him in pre-tournament markets. No further plays until after the 3rd round and the course rotation is complete. PGA_matchups.htm  Kevin Kisner already has the benefit of two outings this month, and he rates a value outsider in his match with Phil Mickelson. Kisner failed to really threaten the top of the leaderboard on each start, but he's had a sighter round this Stadium venue last year and though Mickelson is clearly a class act, he usually appeals as one to take on in this market as he can take his foot off the gas once out of contention.  5pts Kevin Kisner to beat Phil Mickelson at Evs dnb with FiveDime. PGA_outright.htm 1pt e.w. Jason Dufner at 33/1 (Coral 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)Won on this rotation in 2016 and added a top 25 when defending in 2017. T11 and T18 in the two Hawaii events so current form suggests another challenge. 1pt e.w. Webb Simpson at 25/1 (Coral 1/5, 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)Poured in 14 birdies on the weekend (63-65) when T4 on Bermuda greens at the Sony Open last week. T7 in this event in 2015. 0.5pts e.w. Luke List at 125/1 (Coral, 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)List finished 9th in Birdie Or Better Percentage last year and that ability to keep rolling them in helped him take T6 here in 2016. He missed the cut last week but shot a Friday 68. PGA_spreads.htm european_18h_matches.htm european_betfair.htm The European Tour is much harder to predict ante-post than the PGA Tour and I am not confident of posting on a consistently profitable basis for this market, so there will be no pre-tournament Betfair tips this season.All Betfair tips for the European Tour (including co-sanctioned events) will be available after the 2nd and 3rd rounds only. No pre-rd3 plays, european_matchups.htm european_outright.htm 1pt ew Casey 20/1 Betfair 1/5 1-71pt ew Cabrera-Bello 35/1 1/5 1-6Casey is a two time winner here who has a great record in the desert. He had a great year lat year and will have taken the rust off last week. Cabrera-Bello is another that loves desert golf.  He finished off 2017 with a 2nd place in Hong Kong and has played well here previously. european_spreads.htm champions_18h_matches.htm champions_betfair.htm champions_matchups.htm champions_outright.htm  0.3pt Ew Joe Durant @ 50/1 Skybet / Coral / Ladbrokes (45/1 Stan James) A small amount of value here as I make him around a 37/1.  Although there is more value in the place part.  Durant is one of the few players who played in the Diamond Resorts Invitational so there is no question mark over him regarding the close season break. champions_spreads.htm LPGA_18h_matches.htm LPGA_betfair.htm LPGA_matchups.htm LPGA_outright.htm LPGA_spreads.htm WGC_18h_matches.htm WGC_betfair.htm WGC_matchups.htm WGC_outright.htm WGC_spreads.htm Australasian_18h_matches.htm Australasian_betfair.htm Australasian_matchups.htm Australasian_outright.htm Australasian_spreads.htm Nationwide_18h_matches.htm Nationwide_betfair.htm Nationwide_matchups.htm Nationwide_outright.htm Nationwide_spreads.htm SouthernAfrica_18h_matches.htm SouthernAfrica_betfair.htm SouthernAfrica_matchups.htm SouthernAfrica_outright.htm SouthernAfrica_spreads.htm AsianPGA_18h_matches.htm AsianPGA_betfair.htm AsianPGA_matchups.htm AsianPGA_outright.htm AsianPGA_spreads.htm Japan_18h_matches.htm Japan_betfair.htm Japan_matchups.htm Japan_outright.htm Japan_spreads.htm ECT_18h_matches.htm ECT_betfair.htm ECT_matchups.htm ECT_outright.htm ECT_spreads.htm EST_18h_matches.htm EST_betfair.htm EST_matchups.htm EST_outright.htm EST_spreads.htm LET_18h_matches.htm LET_betfair.htm LET_matchups.htm LET_outright.htm LET_spreads.htm