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Outright Picks - PGA Tour |
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Booz Allen Classic |
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FINAL RESULT: 1-1; +3.94pts Van Pelt
dns
O'Hern 2nd
Jacobson mc Impressive effort by O'Hern to finish five shots behind Ben Curtis
after trailing him by twelve after the first round! Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts) Bo Van Pelt to win 25/1
e.w. available generally * UPDATE: Van Pelt has now withdrawn *
A poor field for a poor event that may not even be on the PGA Tour schedule next
year. Even the defending champion, Sergio Garcia, has withdrawn. So while these
may be short odds on Van Pelt for a normal Tour event, this is different. He has
been playing very solidly again this season even though he has been struggling
in the final round when in contention and comes off a decent showing in the U.S.
Open (40th) without ever being under pressure from being in contention. And it
is the proximity of this event to the U.S. Open that makes the deciding angle on
this play. He had played in the U.S. Open only once previously, finishing 31st
in 2004 and then finished 4th the following week on this course. That equalled
his bets performance on the PGA Tour at the time and it should bring back good
memories for this week. Nick O'Hern to win 33/1 e.w. @
Stan James,
Victor Chandler,
William Hill and
BetDirect
By contrast, neither of the two remaining selections have played this course
previously, but that is not such a problem with such a weak field and given that
this course was last used in 2004. O'Hern has shown that he can compete on the
PGA Tour and given the success of so many other Australians on this Tour, it is
no surprise that he is now playing here full time. He is certainly on a par with
the likes of Ogilvy, Allenby, Appleby, Pampling and so on and he should win on
this Tour within the next couple of years. In the last couple of months, he has
finished 19th in the Masters, 12th at the Colonial and 6th at the U.S. Open last
week. Despite his lack of course form, he is simply too good a player relative
to this field for these odds. Fredrik Jacobson to win 40/1 e.w. @
SkyBet,
BetDirect and
Boyle Sports
The same can be said for Jacobson, though he is rather more erratic. However, he
recorded his second top-5 finish at the Barclays Classic two weeks ago, was in
contention throughout and held the lead during the 3rd round. And he has shot 62
around Colonial last month, so he is clearly playing well enough to contend even
though he does miss rather a lot of cuts. But he also has an advantage from not
playing at Winged Foot last week. That rest at this stage of the season should
be very beneficial. |