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Back Simon Dyson - 2 points @ 38 (Betfair) Back Brooks Koepka - 4 points @ 18.5 (betfair) Set Lay for both players - 10 points @ 6 (Betfair) Simon Dyson - Top 10 - 4 points @ 15-8 (SJ) Should either hit the lay target, there is a profit of 4 points plus 20+ points green
With the mercurial but excitable Pablo Larrazabal playing alongside unproven and unreliable Romain Wattel, this is a chance to get with some closers today. Following up a low round is never easy and the Spaniard has history of letting it slip immediately afterwards. His putting this week has been excellent but it is only that that seperates him from players five or six behind. The individual prices about the selections are tempting but pale into nothing when compared to current Betfair prices and whilst there is the top-10 saver, both in-form players have to be backed at current exchange prices and are expected to close from the 11-1 combined. Dyson's form here needs no highlighting, the two wins add to the victory at Hilvershum and the third last year should have been, in his words, 'a play-off place'. Dyce has had a very consistent season after personal issues and returned to form with a 7th in Italy last time out. His long game is just fine and it is the flat stick that is causing problems, stats that are outside his regular showing. Take Pablo's brilliant round away and Dyce is right there in the mix and he is expected to show that course knowledge is an advantage round here. 33-1 looks big each-way but 38 is huge, taking the top-10 as a saver. Koepka will win soon, he has to. A brilliant Challenge Tour recruit, his form this year has been above what was expected with the highlights being 4th in the US Open and 15th at Valhalla. 3rd at unsuitable Crans last time out, he is another for whom the putter isn't working thus far this week. Nevertheless, he has recent Sunday rounds of 67/64/67 and looks pretty much nerveless when in contention, is a far better putter and is expected to get right there over the weekend. Both players simply need to keep with their regular tee-to-green game, improve a tad with the putter and the challenge will come!
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