72 Hole Matchbet (via My Matchmakers) with Sporting Index Buy Ernie Els / Alvaro Quiros at 0.55 for 0.4pts * Both players have form at the course - Quiros won in 2011 while Els had been the model of consistency (3-1-2-3-1-2-2-3-MC) prior to a missed cut on his last visit in 2009 * Els leads the head-to-head during the previous twelve months 4-2-0 * Based on my models, Els should be roughly a two shot favourites over Quiros R1 (10+3s) with Spreadex Sell Thorbjorn Olesen / Jose Maria Olazabal at 9 for 0.2pts * Despite being at different ends of their respective careers, Olesen is overvalued against the Spaniard here * Both players have course form - Olesen was third last year while Olazabal has finished top-20 twice in the last three years * In the last twelve months, Olazabal actually leads the first round head-to-head 6-5-2 * I would have made Olesen no more than a 6 point favourite for this match-up 0-2-0 -4.62 |