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18-Hole Match Picks - European Tour |
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1-3; -4.32pts (system plays: 6-6-1) Round 1 play (2pts): Ryan Moore to beat Matteo Manassero -116 @ Bet365 LOST by 3 Looking for yet another fast start from Moore - he ranks 2nd in Round 1 Scoring Average, which is hardly a surprise given that he has finished rd1 inside the top-20 in 17 of his last 21 starts. In good form (7th and 5th in his last two starts) with six top-10 finishes and win already this season, he could certainly repeat last year's performance when he was in 5th place heading into the final round. Manassero has made just one cut in three starts in this event, whereas Moore has missed the cut just once in four starts, and even though Manassero did finish 4th last week, it was only his second top-10 finish in over a year. So, without the form or the links experience to match the American, Manassero should struggle in this matchup over more than just the first round. [unofficial rd1 system plays: Johnson D tb Donald -110 (W); Moore tb Molinari F -106 (L); Moore tb Gallacher -105 (T); Mahan tb Walker -105 (L)] Round 2 play (2pts): Jim Furyk to beat Rickie Fowler +100 @ ToteSport LOST by 2 Admittedly, he was playing in the easier conditions today, but Furyk did everything right in his quest to, at least, match his 4th place finish when the Open was last at Royal Liverpool: he ranked 2nd in fairways hit and 4th in greens in regulation in today's round en route to finishing 3rd on the leaderboard. That puts him one shot ahead of Fowler who has shown some form in his last two events, but this is still a matchup dominated by Furyk, particularly in the first two rounds where he leads Fowler 18-5-5 h2h over the last 12 months. Playing in the tougher conditions tomorrow, Furyk's experience and patience should give him a bigger edge in rd2. [unofficial rd2 system plays: Cink tb Grace -105 (L); Snedeker tb DeLaet +102 (W); Haas tb Dufner +100 (W); Bradley tb Lowry +115 (W)] Round 3 play (2pts): Ryan Moore to beat Francesco Molinari -105 @ Bet365 [also available @ 5Dimes and Pinnacle] WON by 2 Backing Moore again. He has played well in both rounds so far and fully deserves his current top-3 position - he ranks 2nd in fairways hit and 1st in greens in regulation over the first 36 holes. While Molinari ranks 6th in fairways hit, he ranks 30th in greens in regulation over the first two days, so his ball-striking is clearly inferior and so his position inside the top-3 looks less secure than Moore's. With Moore in much better form anyway, he should be the favourite in this matchup. [unofficial rd3 system plays: Haas tb Dubuisson -105 (L); Haas tb Bjorn -125 (W); Snedeker tb Na -119 (L); Stadler tb Clarke -149 (L)] Round 4 play (2pts): Kevin Streelman to beat Louis Oosthuizen +150 @ BetVictor, ToteSport, Boyle Sports and BetFred [available generally] LOST by 3 Two players moving in different directions today so I don't see why Streelman should be such be such a large underdog - Streelman shot 69 to jump 22 places to 34th; Oosthuizen fell from 3rd to 31st. The South African has struggled off the tee this week and even though he is a former winner (2010), the value should be with the American at these odds and at 14+ shots off the lead. [unofficial rd4 system play: Oda tb Gibson +100 (W)]
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