72 Hole Matchbet (via My Matchmakers) at Sporting Index Buy Bernd Wiesberger / Paul Casey at 0.75 for 0.4pts * Many of the Casey quotes this week are based on his two wins in the event - despite them being in 2009 and 2007 * More recent Casey form has been uninspiring and taking out his third round, he scored poorly last week * Wiesberger, in contrast, ended last season in decent form with six top-20s from his last ten events * In terms of the head-to-head, Wiesberger led Casey 8-5-0 last season and won the matchup at Abu Dhabi * Based on my models, I make Wiesberger more than a two shot favourite here R1 (10+3s) at Sporting Index Buy Sergio Garcia / Martin Kaymer at 4 for 0.2pts * Two leading lights of world golf who have excellent records in this part of the world * Siding with Garcia who finished 2013 with seven successive top-20 finishes including a win in Thailand * From a model perspective, I would price Garcia supremacy at 5.5 R1 (10+3s) at Sporting Index Sell Thomas Aiken / Garth Mulroy at 0 for 0.2pts * In tournament H2H's, there was little to choose between these two last year - however Mulroy won the R1 duels 13-4-3 * Mulroy played this event for the first time last year, finishing ahead af Aiken and winning the R1 battle in the process * From a model perspective, I would make Mulroy almost a two point favourite in this matchup 0-3-0 -15.3pts |