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Spread Picks - European Tour

Tipster: Gareth

Odds:Spreads

 
 
Abu Dhabi Golf Championship
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Staking will be based on a maximum potential loss of approx 12 Points if the result Makes Up at the worst possible result.

 

72 Hole Matchbet (via My Matchmakers) at Sporting Index
Buy Bernd Wiesberger / Paul Casey at 0.75 for 0.4pts
* Many of the Casey quotes this week are based on his two wins in the event - despite them being in 2009 and 2007
* More recent Casey form has been uninspiring and taking out his third round, he scored poorly last week
* Wiesberger, in contrast, ended last season in decent form with six top-20s from his last ten events
* In terms of the head-to-head, Wiesberger led Casey 8-5-0 last season and won the matchup at Abu Dhabi
* Based on my models, I make Wiesberger more than a two shot favourite here

R1 (10+3s) at Sporting Index
Buy Sergio Garcia / Martin Kaymer at 4 for 0.2pts
* Two leading lights of world golf who have excellent records in this part of the world
* Siding with Garcia who finished 2013 with seven successive top-20 finishes including a win in Thailand
* From a model perspective, I would price Garcia supremacy at 5.5

R1 (10+3s) at Sporting Index
Sell Thomas Aiken / Garth Mulroy at 0 for 0.2pts
* In tournament H2H's, there was little to choose between these two last year - however Mulroy won the R1 duels 13-4-3
* Mulroy played this event for the first time last year, finishing ahead af Aiken and winning the R1 battle in the process
* From a model perspective, I would make Mulroy almost a two point favourite in this matchup

0-3-0  -15.3pts