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18-Hole Match Picks - European Tour |
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3-0; +8.20pts Round 1 plays (4pts unless stated): Mark Foster to beat Soren Kjeldsen -105 @ Bet365 WON by 3 Kjeldsen is a winner on this course, but that was a decade ago. In the last five years, he has played in this event just three times and missed the cut every time. Such recent course form doesn't compare too well with Foster who in 2010 was 4th at the cut, in 2011 was 1st or 2nd after every round and lost out in a 5-man playoff for the title, and in 2012 he was 1st at the cut. On the back of a top-5 finish last time out, he appears to be in good form to continue his impressive form on this course. Thongchai Jaidee to beat Peter Uihlein +110 @ William Hill [2pts] WON by 7 Opposing Uihlein who is making his debut on this course and has missed his last two cuts in the U.S. Jaidee finished ahead of him in the PGA Championship and has made the cut in both his previous two starts on this course. With a 5-1-0 rd1 h2h record in Jaidee's favour this year, there should be value in these odds. No round 2 plays. Round 3 play (2pts): Emiliano Grillo to beat Craig Lee +100 @ 5Dimes WON by 2 Lee may be a local player from Stirling who finished 14th on this course last year, but I'll take these odds to oppose him. He had very little form coming into this event - his last five finishes have been mc-mc-mc-68th-mc - and even though he starts the weekend inside the top-10, he has hit far fewer greens in regulaton than Grillo who missed just one yesterday. Lee has looked particularly vulnerable from this position at the start of rd4 before now, but given their respective plays up to this week and on the Gleneagles course, I think he will struggle to match Grillo over both weekend rounds. No round 4 plays.
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