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Result 1-5, -1.69 BACK Tiger Woods to win 35pts @11 (i.e. stake 3.5pts) The last time The Open was played in very dry conditions was 2006 at Royal Liverpool, where Tiger was victorious. He seems to be relishing the challenge of the course and the conditions this week and if it means he leaves the driver in the bag most of the time that can probably only be a good thing. In 2002 it was only the one bad round largely due to some terrible weather that stopped him winning here. The time seems right for him to resume his pursuit of Nicklaus. Lots of liquidity and a very generous overround on the place market this week so will go for a number of plays BACK Adam Scott for top 5 to win 5pts @7.4 (i.e. stake 0.78pts) BACK Sergio Garcia for top 5 to win 5pts @9.2 (i.e. stake 0.61pts) BACK Brandt Snedeker for top 5 to win 10pts @12.5 (i.e. stake 0.87pts) BACK Billy Horschel for top 5 to win 20pts @26 (i.e. stake 0.8pts) BACK Bubba Watson for top 5 to win 20pts @23 (i.e. stake 0.91pts) Scott had a poor US Open but he is still the top major performer of the past couple of years and he should of course really be coming here as defending champion. Garcia has an excellent record in this event and while he may never get over the mental hurdle of actually winning a major I'm happy to take these odds for a place. Snedeker was one of the chasing pack behind Scott in last year's open and a fast running coastal course should really be right up his street. Horschel did well in the 2007 Walker Cup (getting the better of one Rory McIlroy) and lists the venue for that event, Royal County Down, as his favourite course. A breakthrough season so far including his first win. Hard to know what Bubba will produce - on the one hand his big hitting probably isn't of any use here, but on the other hand he is one of the best shot makers in the game and he has been steadily improving with every Open he plays - missing the cut on his first two visits but managing 30th and then 23rd last year.
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