Summary: 2 Bets, 2 Wins. Profit 5.2 Pts.
Bet 1. 18H MB at IG Sport. Sell Marc Warren over Simon Dyson at -1.5. Stake 0.2 Pts. M/U -16, Profit 2.9 Pts
Warren is definitely the form man in golf at the moment with 4 Top 5's in his last 8 starts but in the weeks he hasn't placed in the top 5 his results are quite poor, never getting higher than 28th in the other 4 events. He comes up against a man, in Dyson, with far greater experience of the region. Dyson was a tour member a few years back and had a fair amount of success and he has continued to return when co-sanctioned events have been played. He has played 24 Asian events in the last 4 years and his results include a win, three Top 5's and 2 further Top 10's. Head to head's sees a 4-2 lead on this tour for Dyson and a 2006 record on all tours of 14-5 both in events and R1 scoring. This is priced at "1.5 Choice" purely on Warren's recent scoring and although it is evident that Warren is fairly likely to replace Monty as the No. 1 Scottish player in time to come all the information to hand at the moment suggests Dyson should still be priced as a clear favourite in match-ups for now.
Bet 2. 18H MB at IG Sport. Sell Soren Hansen over Kevin Na at -1.5. Stake 0.2 Pts M/U -13, Profit 2.3 Pts
South Korean, Na, has played in the US now for three full seasons and he is back playing after a hand injury forced him out of action in April. He returned in September playing an event in his home country then he won an event on the Nationwide Tour on his first start back in America. Since then he has started two further events on the PGA Tour with a missed cut and a 24th place at the Frys.com Open. On this tour his average FP in 16 starts over 5 years is 22 which includes a win and 7 further Top 10's. His opponent, Hansen, has played 18 times in the same period, with an average FP of 32 and only 3 Top 10's in that time. All these stats point to Na being the obvious favourite so he is value giving up only 1.5pts at IG.