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Spread Betting - An
Introduction
Spread betting is different from normal betting as it is not about
winning and losing but by how much the player/team wins or loses by. On
this site on a weekly basis we will advise trades on golf tournaments
when we believe the price is wrong. Please note though, with Spread
betting the more you are right the more you win, but equally the same
applies the other way. Therefore, as important as the tips themselves is
the ability to understand "money management". All trades will be advised
to a certain stake and this is done to absorb the volatility this
concept has.
In golf, the firms normally price up certain types of markets on a
weekly basis, they are listed in detail below. Occasionally special bets
will be available on any number of situations, for example how the field
will perform on a certain famous hole like the 12th at Augusta.
All bets will have two options, you can either "sell" / "go low" or you
can "buy" / "go high". In most spread betting markets you sell if you
feel the player/team will do worse than the firms believe and buy when
you want to support them to do well. The firms realise though that most
punters want to support, i.e. would you rather cheer on goals in
football or runs in cricket, or want a 0-0 or a low runs score. As the
prices are set with the intention of accepting an equal amount on both
sides of the spread, the price will undoubtedly be set a little higher
than what the true price should be. If you traded on cricket runs at say
250-260 runs per inning, the most you could lose by buying is 260 if,
albeit nearly impossible, the team is out for zero. If you sell though
at 250, the team could score any number of runs. Spread firms
essentially make their money by taking the spread as their profit, (the
10 points in the example being their profit no matter what happens).
Therefore i am sure with this quick explanation you will realise that
most punters buy markets for both the support of action and the fact
they know how much they can lose. It is the firms' best interests though
to make sure that those majority of buyers do so at a poor price.
Spread Betting on Golf: The Markets
Finishing positions.
We have spoken above about selling to oppose and buying to support.
However, and this is where it gets complicated to the novice, in
Finishing Position markets only, you do the opposite. The reason is that
the Finishing Position is where the player finishes in the field so 1st
is 1 and so on upwards. Please note that in these bets the firms usually
put a ceiling of 50 on the highest position the player can finish so it
does not become too volatile. A player will normally be quoted around
the late 20s, early 30s (except Tiger, of course) and if you think the
player will contend you sell, if you think he will have a poor week, you
buy. If a player misses the cut he automatically makes up (Finishes) at
50. This also applies to any disqualified or withdrawn players.
Index
Bets.
These are "tournament within a tournament" bets. In that, only 7 or 10
players are quoted and the winner is the player who shoots the lowest
score of those quoted. 50 points is generally given to the winner, going
down to 30, 20 and 10. The bottom 6 (in a 10 man field) score 0. Once
again, you can buy or sell, depending on how you think that player will
perform. In 7 man fields only the top 3 score, receiving 50, 25 and 10
72
Hole Match Bets.
The simplest to explain. The firms will give a price on how many strokes
one player is expected to finish above another. There is a ceiling of 25
strokes here with the only other important rule being that if one (or
both) players miss the cut, scores are doubled to give a four round
total.
18
Hole Match Bets.
Similar to above in that it is 1 player against another but as the
scores will not be that far apart generally, the scoring is changed to
10pts for the winner, and 3pts per stroke won by.
Hotshots.
The firms will allocate a spread to a choice of 4 players. They will
score 25pts for being in the top 10, and get a further 25pts if they win
the tournament. there are scoring deviations to this over different
firms but this will be pointed out as and when we advise a trade.
Leaderboard Index.
This is a market like the index bets above, but includes the whole
field. At the start only well known players will be quoted but as lesser
known players come up the leaderboard they will be quoted between
rounds. Usually this market is updated between rounds but in the really
big events, like The Open, it can be traded as they play. Usually firms
pay down to 8th place with the winner getting 60 points.
That
is the markets, but who are the firms. Unlike normal betting where there
are hundreds of bookmakers vying for your business. in Spread Betting,
there are only 5, four of which are in the UK:
Sporting Index /
Bet HiLo,
IG Sport,
Spreadex and
Cantor Sport,
also in Ireland there is
SportsSpread . If you are going
to spread bet then it is almost necessary you have accounts with all 5
firms.
Update:
18th May, 2004: Today, SportsSpread closed my account as i was "winning
too much". It is a compliment i suppose but this site always backs the
advices given on here and we can therefore no longer advise plays at
this bookmaker. It is of course not advisable to promote a firm that
will close down winning accounts so for these reasons we will no longer
advise any plays from them. (andy)
Further Update: 10th November, 2004. In July Cantor Sport opened up the
worlds first Spread Betting Exchange, called Cantor SpreadFair.. As of now we
have not advised plays there purely because we felt that there was no
guarantee that the advice advised here would be sufficiently available.
However, as Cantor SpreadFair has taken off, and in the hope that it becomes a
success we shall look at the price offered on SF and if it compares
favourably with the best price with the conventional firms, and has
sufficient liquidity, we will trade there. Like Betfair and other exchanges they take a commission on winning bets only.
We will settle the week's results on Cantor SpreadFair bets based on the net
result with 5% taken off, even if in the future Cantor SpreadFair start to
allow discounts for regular customers.
What we aim to do at Tour-Tips is to highlight bets on a weekly basis
that we feel is value. Spread betting is about having a knowledge of
what you are betting on but also requires a good understanding of the
mechanics of spread betting itself. Throughout the season we will
research the prices on a weekly basis not only advising trades before
the event but picking up on what we believe are over (and under)
reactions to where a player is at any given point between rounds.
Therefore please look back regularly for any updated bets, the home page
will show if the spreads (or the fixed/exchange bets for that matter)
have been updated.
European Tour plays should be on the site by around 1300 UK Time on a
Wednesday, further round plays though are affected by where the event is
being played. The European Tour now takes in basically the rest of the
world without the PGA tour in the US. When it gets to the mainland
though you will find that only the firms offering online trading will be
able to provide ongoing trades that night as the offices will be shut,
therefore it is best that as well as having an account with these firms
you set up the online trading option as well.
PGA
Tour plays will be more regular, advised at around 1300 UK time on
Thursdays and at similar times throughout the weekend as the tournament
progresses. The only deviance being where in the US the particular event
is. In east coast events, like the Masters, tee times will start before
1300 UK time and we will react accordingly.
Hopefully the above
is a good guide to those unsure of how Spread Betting works and works as
a refresher to those with a little knowledge. If anyone is unsure of any
bet advised or just wish to ask a general question on the spreads feel
free to email me on
andy@tour-tips.com.
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