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Betfair Picks - European Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds:Betfair (external)

 

Odds: Betfair Summary

British Masters
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9-0; +6.92pts 

Pre-tournament plays:

LAY 20pts liability

Tom Lewis 270  mc
Marc Warren 85  22nd
Eddie Pepperell 320  22nd
A course that has not been used for ten years so there is not help at this stage of the event other than to oppose those in poor form or struggling to retain their Tour Card - Lewis is one of those with just one top-25 finish in 2016 and he languishes in 170th place on the Race to Dubai
A 5th place finish last week has Warren significantly, but he still only ranks 70th in the Race to Dubai - the top-60 qualify for the DP World Tour Championship - and he has very rarely looked like winning his first Tour event for over nine years
Pepperell is opposed for the second week in a row and with good reason - his last six finishes read: mc-mc-mc-mc-wd-mc

 

Pre-rd3 plays:

LAY 20pts liability

Tommy Fleetwood 11  4th
Ross Fisher 130  67th
Chris Wood 13.5  22nd
Alexander Levy 65  4th
Soren Kjeldsen 80  28th
The odds on Fleetwood look rather short for a player in 4th place and who hasn't won a Tour event since 2013 or even finished in the top-5 in any event since Spring 2015
Fisher has been in good form recently - 2nd in his last two starts - but he is seven shots off the pace and in 27th place so he is too far back to continue that run of high finishes
Wood has shown little form recently and had little opportunity to show any in the Ryder Cup so it is a little surprising to see him in 7th place, but hasn't shown the form to suggest that he will stay there
Five shots off the pace, in 14th place and ranking only 40th in greens in regulation over the first two days suggests that Levy is not likely to close the gap on the leader
Kjeldsen is a shot further back and has also struggled with his ball-striking this week, ranking 114th in driving distance, 32nd in driving accuracy and 51st in greens in regulation so far this week.

 

Pre-rd4 plays:

LAY 20pts liability

Bernd Wiesberger 10  2nd
Noren is a perfect 4-for-4 when holding at least a two-shot lead at the start of the 4th round and this time he has a three-shot lead over Bland in 2nd place and four-shot lead over Wiesberger and three others in third place. I'm surprised that Wiesberger is available at these odds, so he looks set for another high finish but without the title.