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SBC Championship
Outright plays (2 units):
Tom Watson to win 10/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
or SkyBet
Watson returns to the course where he won the inaugural Tour Championship in
1987. It is a long time since that victory and a long time since his last
victory on this Tour (Senior PGA Championship, May 2001), but after having had
four 2nd places this year, he will surely win soon though the each-way option is
probably the safe play at the moment.
Gil Morgan to win 25/1 e.w. @ Five
Dimes (1 unit to win & 1 unit to finish in
top-5)
Dr. Gil is not as competitive as he was last year, but he has won once this
season (BellSouth Senior Classic) and has been very consistent over the past few
months - 2nd on his last appearance and five top-10 finishes in his last six
starts. With a good history on this course from his PGA Tour days - top-5 in his
last two visits - and in this event at its previous location, he looks a good
candidate for a top-5 finish. Larry
Nelson to win 25/1 e.w. @ Paddy Power
Nelson will be rueing the change of venue. At the Dominion he had finished 4th,
2nd and 1st in three starts in this event. Hopefully he can bring some of that
form to Oak Hills. He hasn't played since disappointing in the SAS Championship
last month, but had been in good form previously. He had finished in the top-15
in his previous eight Senior Tour starts and looks another who should go close
to a top-5 finish.
 Matchup plays (2
units): Bruce Fleisher to beat Bob Gilder -125 @ Five
Dimes
Siding with Fleisher who has been the more consistent player this season - 20
top-10 finishes this season to Gilder's 10 and seven in his last eight starts -
plus he has beaten Gilder in three of the last four tournaments.
Tom Watson to beat Bruce Fleisher -111 @ BetandWin
Just see Watson as a potential winner this week and while Fleisher is very
consistent, just don't see him winning. Ray Floyd to beat
Walter Hall -111 @ BetandWin
Shame this event has moved from the Dominion where Floyd is the horse for the
course. He has played in this eight times and has finished 5th, 2nd, 6th, 3rd,
10th, 18th, 7th and 5th. Hoping some of that sentiment for this event will be
carried over to Oak Hills this week. Having finished just once this season (10
events) outside the top-30, he should have another week in the SBC Championship.
Final update: Matchups: 1-2-0; -2.72 units
Fleisher/Gilder LOST by 11
Watson/Fleisher WON by 8
Floyd/Hall LOST by 1 Outrights: 2-1; +3.50 units
Watson 4th
Morgan 5th
Nelson 38th A break-even week. Floyd led Hall all week until he
bogeyed the last hole, but Watson and Morgan were always off the pace and top-5
finishes were decent results in the end.
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