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0-2; -9.72pts (system plays: 12-4-1) No round 1 plays. Round 2 play (4pts): Scott Stallings to beat Harris English -110 @ 5Dimes LOST by 4
Backing Stallings to win this day two matchup. He finished a creditable 22nd in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions on his course debut and so he will have been expected to perform well in his second week in Hawaii - the Greenbrier Classic champion opened with a 3-under-par 67 with just one bogey to lie 17th alongside English who had a more adventurous round: he surged to the top of the leaderboard, but then his attacking style caught up with him on the 14th & 15th where he dropped three shots. He clearly has a very good future in this game, but he learned what the PGA Tour was about yesterday and I think he may find it a little more difficult again on his second day on this Tour. [unofficial rd2 system plays: Stricker tb Bradley K -165 (L); O'Hair tb Noh -120 (W); Simpson tb Bradley K -120 (L); O'Hair tb Love -118 (W)] Round 3 play (2pts): Bud Cauley to beat Carl Pettersson +100 @ Paddy Power [also available @ Bet365] TIED
Pettersson has two top-10 finishes in seven starts at Waialae, so this isn't really a play against him, rather one in favour of Cauley who lies shots shots further back in 7th place. Apart from the U.S. Open, each of his eight third-round scores last year were 70 or less, so his 'moving day' record is particularly good. To get plus-odds on such a promising player is a bonus and the indications are that his odds are likely to be much shorter in the coming months against a player like Pettersson. [unofficial rd3 system plays: English tb Stroud +100 (L); De Jonge tb Pettersson +120 (W); Maggert tb McGirt +120 (W)] Round 4 play (4pts): Steve Stricker to beat Charles Howell -133 @ Bet365 [also available @ SkyBet] LOST by 5
Two players with very good histories on this course - Howell has four top-10 finishes in the last eight years; Stricker has four top-10 finishes here in the last five years - so it is not surprising to find them both in the top-10 with one round to go. Howell lies two shots ahead of Stricker in 3rd place, but this is just the third time in the last 32 months that he has entered the final round in the top-5 - on the two previous occasions he has shot 72, 73 on the Sunday to fall outside the top-5. It shows that he is better in the final round from further back and so is worth opposing with the World #5 in this situation. [unofficial rd4 system plays: Thompson M tb Blanks -125 (W); Thompson M tb Mayfair -110 (W); Stricker tb Bradley K -157 (L); Wagner tb Waldorf -150 (W); Wagner tb De Jonge -120 (W); Piercy tb Waldorf -138 (W); Points tb De Jonge -108 (W); O'Hair tb Gay +100 (T); O'Hair tb Levin +105 (W); Senden tb Blanks -120 (W)] |
