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Buy Charley Hoffman FP at 44 with Sporting Index for 0.5 Pts M/U 22.5, Loss 10.75 Pts Hoffman's Florida form is fairly poor and it was surprising to see him finish 13th last week at Doral as it was his best Florida finish in 14 starts and in a field stronger than most in that 14 event sample. His form here reads cut/27/cut and he seems a bit low at Sporting's 44. Current form is the reasoning behind the quote with finishes of 19/2/7/14/30 in the 5 west coast events prior to last week but if you believe current form can be stripped away when moving from the East to the West then all the other factors suggesting he should be opposed are stronger than one week's state form. Sell Chris DiMarco over Tom Lehman 18H R1 MB at 4 with Sporting Index for 0.5 Pts M/U -28, Profit 16 Pts H2Hs showing a 7-5-1 lead for Lehman although worryingly DiMarco has won 9 of the R1 matches between them. Had the price been lower then that may have been enough to put me off the trade but 4 is just too high. On stats, like average FP, scoring average, cut miss % there is virtually nothing between them, nor is there with course form, DiMarco is 33/19/cut, whereas Lehman is 35/69/43. However with current form, DiMarco has been making cuts whereas Lehman hasn't, hence the quote, but it's not enough to put me off at 4. 1-1-0 +5.25 Pts |
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