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Spread Picks - PGA Tour |
Tipster: Andy |
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Sell Andres Romero over Joe Ogilvie 18H R1 MB at 0 with Sporting Index for 0.5 Pts M/U -16, Profit 8 Pts
H2Hs sees Ogilvie win the last 4 events they have both contested so current form is with the underdog here. This is an event where accuracy off the tee is probably more important than any other event in the year. Where most allow you to spray it anywhere, this course rewards accuracy, and on our stats Ogilvie ranks 74 in this field to Romero's last place of 142nd (3 players do not have tour stats). Last year on this course both players missed the cut, which those accuracy stats would suggest they would but Ogilvie shot 3 shots better in R1 and 2 better in R2.
Sell Soren Kjeldsen over Steve Elkington 18H R1 MB at 1 with Extrabet for 0.5 Pts M/U 19, Loss 9 Pts
This is very much a horses for courses venue and Elkington does have some good recent form here, something he fails to have elsewhere. He has finishes of 26/6/12/32 the last 4 years and has playing rights having won back in 1997. Kjeldsen is a debutant and in only 6 US starts in the last few years he has failed to better 71 in 10 rounds in 4 majors but strangely has excellent form in the CA Championship in Miami, finishing 7th and 11th in two starts. This Florida form may be the reason for his favouritism here but the course form does take on more importance with so many players performing well here year after year, and therefore, Elk shouldn't be a 1-4 underdog.
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