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6-2; +8.55pts Round 1 plays (1pt): Tim Petrovic to beat Rickie Fowler -110 @ Five Dimes LOST by 6
Justin Rose to beta Rickie Fowler -110 @ Five Dimes WON by 1
Opposing Fowler despite (though really because of) all the hype surrounding his 7th and 2nd (playoff loss) finishes in the last two events. Those weren't his first two events as a professional - he had missed the cut and finished 31st in two Nationwide Tour events previously for those and it is not as though he was a new revelation - he had played nine previous PGA & Nationwide Tour events and had missed the cut four times. He may have had an impressive amateur career, but the difference between those two PGA Tour events and this week is pressure. Now he knows that a top-10 finish this week will earn him a Tour Card for next year and avoid a trip to Q-School. That makes this event a completely proposition for Fowler, so there should be better value in opposing him. That can be done with two players who will be free of thoughts about Q-School as their 2010 Tour Card is already secure and have played well recently and in this event: Rose has finished in the top-15 in three of his last four starts and has a record of 24th, 3rd and 4th in three starts here, while Petrovic has finished in the top-15 in each of his last three starts and was a top-10 finisher here last year. Round 2 plays (2pts): Mathias Gronberg to beat Kris Blanks -105 @ Five Dimes WON by 1 Jamie Lovemark to beat Rickie Fowler +170 @ SkyBet [tie loses] [available generally] WON by 2 D.A. Points to beat Greg Owen +105 @ Five Dimes WON by 1 Round 3 plays (1pt): Ben Crane to beat Rickie Fowler -110 @ Five Dimes WON by 2 Nicholas Thompson to beat Jeff Klauk +115 @ Five Dimes WON by 6 Round 4 plays (1pt): George McNeill to beat Nick O'Hern +108 @ Pinnacle [also available @ Extrabet and The Greek] TIED Greg Owen to beat Jonathan Byrd +135 @ Extrabet [tie loses] [also available @ The Greek] LOST by 2
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NOTES
Plays will typically be 1pt and cover only '2-ball'
matches rather than '3-balls' matches. Note that '1pt' represents 'to win
1pt' if the player is odds-on (negative in moneyline terms or less than 2.0 in decimal odds) and represents
'1pt staked' if the player is odds-against (positive in moneyline terms or at least 2.0 in decimal odds). If ties lose, this will be indicated.
Reasons will be given for round 1 plays, but thereafter the plays will be listed only - there is less time for handicapping between rounds, plus if I detail too many intra-round angles during the course of the season, the odds will surely be adjusted in future if the angles are profitable.
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