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Bet 1 - Sell Padraig Harrington over Jason Dufner R1 18H MB at 8 with Sporting Index for 0.5 Pts M/U 28, Loss 10 Pts Harrington is back in form, but although poor play in the early part of the year contributes to a 6-5 Dufner H2H lead, it has to be accepted as well that Dufner finished this last weekend T2 to Stricker, one ahead of the Irishman. 8 is far too high, with 5-8 being a better estimation of this matchup Bet 2 - Sell Anthony Kim over Rory Sabbatini R1 18H MB at 4 with Sporting Index for 0.5 Pts M/U -19, Profit 11.5 Pts This is a trickier one because Sabbatini has not been playing well since his Texas win in May. Kim has won the last 6 common events but in those events he has only won by more than a stroke in R1 in one event and it does seem that Kim is a slow starter. Bet 3 - Sell Bryce Molder over Bob Estes R1 18H MB at 1 with Spreadex for 0.5 Pts M/U 31, Loss 15 Pts H2Hs show a 6-5 Estes lead in events, and 5-4-2 in R1 matches. Estes's 1 year and 8 week form shows a slightly better scoring average than Molder's and Estes had a 10 from 11 cuts made record on this course (96-06) when it was the Western Open (Molder finished 78th in one appearance). Everything therefore would point to Estes being approximately a 0-3 favourite, or the 1.5 choice that he is elsewhere. 1-2-0 -13.5 Pts |
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