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Stake 3.5pts Sabbatini to beat Curtis +154 @ Unibet Sabbatini has had a very poor year compared to his performances of last year. Looking at his stats for the season it is primarily his putting that has been letting him down (ranked 25th for putting last season, ranked 152nd this season). However, in his last two starts his putting has improved considerably. He also finishes 6th here last season. If he can return to something remotely close to last seasons form (he beat Curtis 12-4 in h2h's in 2007) then he will make a mockery of this price. And even if he doesn't, Curtis is vastly over-estimated here. He may be in excellent form but can we really be confident of that continuing and from three previous starts here he has yet to make the cut.
Stake 3pts Glover to beat Mediate -115 @ The Greek Glover is still too erratic to be a confident matchup selection but his form of late has been good, his stats showing up very well and he has decent finishes here on his last two visits. It is looking like the season is beginning to catch up with Mediate after his heroics in the US Open and then his strong display in the Open Championship. In his last three touranments his performances have slowly deteriorated and most importantly so has his short game, which has been so solid throughout his good run. I make Glover a -130 shot here.
Further Plays
Stake 3.5pts Allenby to beat Curtis -120 @ The Greek Allenby continues in fine form with another decent finish and a good set of stats. He has an excellent long game which will be beneficial this week and has good previous form here with finishes of 19th, 15th, 4th and 8th from his four previous starts. Despite his good recent form Curtis again looks over-estimated at this price given that Allenby holds a 9-3 h2h lead over Curtis this season and has conditions in his favour.
Stake 2.5pts Baddeley to beat Leonard -110 @ Bet365 Stake 2.5pts Ogilvy to beat Leonard -110 @ Paddy Power, BetFred Baddeley has been in good form of late despite recent missed cuts at the Open Championship (he always misses the cut there) and at The Barclays (missed cut by one shot). He has a solid long game and has top ten finishes on his last two appearances here. Ogilvy has been slightly disappointing of late but his recent stats are still pretty strong and he has two top ten finishes from three previous starts here. He performed well in the Fedex last season and with conditions here to suit him I expect him to go well again this week. Leonard has performed well this year but his from is beginning to taper of a bit. He is rather short off the tee and doesn't have great form from his previous expereince here.
Stake 3pts Haas to beat Snedeker +100 @ FiveDimes Despite being rather inconsistent this season Haas is fancied to do well this week. His recent stats have been decent and he has a good long game. In his two previous starts here he has finished 15th and 9th and he has won four out of the last five h2h's with Snedeker. Snedeker has generally been disappointing this season despite some excellent performances in majors. His recent stats are poor and on his only previous start here he finished an average 47th.
