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Matchup Picks - PGA Tour

Tipster: Stanley

Odds: Matchups

FBR Open

FINAL RESULT: 3-3-0; -3.26pts

Ames/Kaye WON by 4
Maruyama/Kaye WON by 1
Lehman/Choi LOST by 7
Langer/Parnevik LOST by 8
Magee/Daly WON (Daly wd)
Lehman/Kaye LOST by 1

Langer's troubled weekend was doubly costly as a 15-shot swing in his match went the wrong and while the close matches were Kaye were split, it was pity that it was the double-play that lost. Not a good event at all.

 

Further matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):

Andrew Magee to beat John Daly -135 @ Five Dimes
With two top-10 finishes in two starts in 2005, Magee seems to be making full use of his medical extensinon. He is certainly playing better than Daly who has finished 72nd and 75th in his last two starts and having made the last 11 cuts at Scottsdale, he could yet extend his run of top-10 finishes.

Tom Lehman to beat Jonathan Kaye -133 @ Centrebet [3pts]
Adding a third and final play against Kaye. Despite Kaye being the defending champion, Lehman has the far better record at Scottsdale and it has been many years since he has played this well. Still rather suspect for the outrights market, particularly at this week's odds, but a player to side with in matchups at the moment.

 

Matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):

Stephen Ames to beat Jonathan Kaye +102 @ Pinnacle
Opposing the defending champion at good odds considering that Ames has finished ahead of him in 13 of their last 15 common events!
(also available at Olympic and Five Dimes)

Shigeki Maruyama to beat Jonathan Kaye -110 @ Ladbrokes and BetFred
Will also oppose him with one of the outright selections. Maruyama finished a long way behind Kaye last year, but it was the only time that he had done so in the four times that they have both played in this event together. So with Kaye having last finished ahead of Maruyama in June 2004, there is good reason to expect Maruyama to win this match.

Tom Lehman to beat K.J. Choi -148 @ Pinnacle
Total mismatch and would bet more if the odds had been better. Lehman has a great history in this event, including a win in 2000, while Choi has never made the cut in three attempts. Even without Lehman's incredible run of high finishes at the moment, this is a solid play despite the odds.
(also available at Olympic and Five Dimes)

Bernhard Langer to beat Jesper Parnevik -105 @ Pinnacle
Parnevik is another former winner (1998), but he continues to struggle with his game and is missing a lot of cuts. That just doesn't compare well with Langer who has finished ahead of Parnevik in each of the last two weeks.
(also available at Expekt, Sportingbet, Sporting Odds, Olympic and Five Dimes)