Outright Picks - PGA Tour |
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Deutsche Bank Championship
FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts
Johnson mc
Rose 27th
Palmer mc
Two poor performances and a poor performance from Rose when it mattered. Within
two shots of a top-5 place, he three-putted on the 15th hole in the last round
and then hit his next tee-shot in the water to record a double-bogey. Very poor.
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts) Zach
Johnson to win 40/1 e.w. @
Ladbrokes
He may have played poorly over the weekend, but his 2nd round 63 that included a
double-bogey was enough evidence that he is capable of prolonging the form that
had resulted in finishes of 2nd, 17th and 9th in his previous three tournaments.
A repeat of last year's top-15 finish should be in order this week. Justin
Rose to finish in the top-five 8/1 @
Expekt
[w/o Woods & Singh market]
Woods & Singh finished in the first two positions last year and with Woods
having finished in the top-5 every time since missing the cut in the Byron
Nelson Championship in May, it very hard to see Woods out of the top-5 and
defending champion, Singh, should have a better than evens chance of continuing
his record of finishing in the top-5 on this course every time. So that means
with only three of five places likely to be available in the standard
place-betting markets, this market is certainly of note. There is a very good
chance that a top-7 finish will result in a payout, which is good news with Rose
who still has difficulty closing out events. He showed that last week, but he
doesn't need to do that in a place-only market. In good form and with a 3rd
place finish in 2003 on this course, he should be able to attain a top-7 finish.
Ryan Palmer to finish in the top-five 10/1 @
Expekt
[w/o Woods & Singh market]
Palmer held the first-round lead last year and though he slipped down the
leaderboard after each round thereafter, it was his 3rd-best finish in 27 starts
to date last year and was the springboard to a runners-up finish and then a win
the following month. Finally, he is showing some of that form again with a 2nd
place finish in the B.C. Open and, again a very much stronger field, a 3rd place
finish in the NEC Invitational in his last start. With the knowledge that he can
play well on this course - it does particularly suit long-hitters like Palmer
and Rose - he should be confident of a similar strong showing this week. | 
