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Southern Farm Bureau Classic
From Shaker:
Sell Jonathan Byrd/Loren Roberts 72H MB at -0.75 for 0.5 pts with
Sporting Index
Hard to do this after the run Byrd gave me
on the outright bet last week (especially after I spoke about how his
form seems to improve once we hit September) but that was a speculative
bet at 159/1 and this is a completely different scenario. His figures
just do not compare with Roberts', not when we are talking about
consistency. Roberts does not seem to win any more but he does churn out
the top-25s (7 from his last 10 events) whereas Byrd can win and
challenge the leaders but he is far more erratic with his performances.
There is nothing in it on course form (1 event each, both with a high
finish) and if they both play to their best I could see Byrd just about
edging this match, but the reason for this bet is the far greater chance
that Byrd will have a below-average or poor week. After all, his win in
July was followed by T62-MC-MC, and last year his finishes following his
five top tens were T50-T31-T56-T16-MC.
Result: MU
-2, Profit = 0.63 pts (Roberts played excellently but it's hard to
make much when you're taking on a player who shoots just 3 bogeys in 72
holes)
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