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Tipster:
Stanley
Honda Classic
Outright plays (1.5pts):
David Toms to win 12/1 e.w. @
Stan James,
BetInternet,
BlueSq,
UKBetting
and
Totalbet
The event switches to the Sunrise course at Mirasol this year so there
is no course form, but two players look particularly overpriced and one
does have a good record on Tom Fazio courses. Toms won the inaugural
Wachovia Championship in North Carolina last year on a course that Fazio
substantially redesigned and with this being a typical Fazio
"second-shot golf course", it should suit Toms in particular. Having now
almost completely recovered from his hand problems earlier in the year,
he has shown very good form in the last two weeks and justifies his
price.
Chris DiMarco to win 28/1 e.w. @
Victor
Chandler
This is a standout price as he is generally available for much less
elsewhere (as low as 16/1). He has a good all-round game and is distance
off the tee is not going to be too much of a factor this week, he will
be competitive as it on the green where he is amongst the best in the
game. He had a top-10 finish on the Sunset course last year, finished
11th last week at Doral and 2nd in the FBR Open last month, so there is
good reason to expect him to be competitive in this field.
Steve Flesch to win 66/1 e.w. @
Victor
Chandler
Flesch's recent record in Florida may not been particularly impressive,
but this is a much larger price than expected for a player of his
calibre in such a weak field. He may not be the best player when in
contention, but at least he finally ditched the title of the 'PGA Tour
player who has won the most money without winning a title' when he won
the HP Classic of New Orleans last year. His record in this event before
2002 is also supportive: 7th, 19th and 15th. So in a fairly open event
with a weak field, these odds look good for a player who does tend to
get himself into contention rather a lot.
Final update: 0-3; -4.50pts
Toms 25th
DiMarco 30th
Flesch 30th
Seems a long time since Flesch was 3rd after the 1st
round -
he normally fades much later in the
week! All three finished within six
shots of the places, but never
looked like closing the gap over the weekend.
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