Outright Picks - PGA Tour
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Bank of America Colonial (1.5pts):
Davis Love to win 12/1 e.w. @
Bet365,
Stan James,
Sportingbet,
Sporting Odds
and
BetInternet
Assuming that his niggling back injury has cleared, Love looks to be far
better value at 12/1 than Mickelson at 7/1. He has finished in the top-5
in three of his last five visits and started this season in similar form
to last season's career-best year. His performances have since tailed
off a little with his injury concerns, but these should be clear by now.
There are few players his equal in this field.
Stewart Cink to win 40/1 e.w. @
Sportingbet,
Sporting Odds,
UKBetting
and
Totalbet
Surprised to see Cink at such a high price after he won on his
penultimate start. His record around Colonial is not really worthy of
laying - he has played in each of the last seven Colonials, having a
worst finish of 41st (1998) and a best finish of 2nd (2000). He has been
in very good form this season and he does represent value at these odds,
particularly if coming off the pace again in the final round.
Stephen Ames to win 50/1 e.w. @
Sportingbet,
Sporting Odds
and
BetInternet
Ames completes a trio of selections who tend to frustrate punters far
more than reward them. But again, the odds are high enough to argue that
there is value here. His course form is fairly average, making his last
two cuts here, but he has never approached this event in this type of
form. After a promising start to the year, he has moved up a level in
the past two months to finish no worse than 13th in his last five starts
and each of these has been against very strong fields. There is
comparatively little value in the top-5 markets (8/1), so will just have
to hope that he finally breaks his Tour duck. But at these odds, just
another place finish would return a decent profit.
Final update: 1-2; +5.63pts
Love 35th
Cink 14th
Ames 3rd
Another finish performance from Ames and at one stage -
before he hit his tee-shot into the water on the 13th hole - it looked
like he might emulate Cink and win from well off the pace. In the end he
finished two shy of Flesch, but still a decent return on the week's
outrights as a result.
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