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Bank of America Colonial (1.5pts):
Stephen Ames to beat Geoff Ogilvy -120 @
William Hill
Ogilvy has certainly had a good season on the PGA Tour, but he still
trails Ames 1-8-0 h2h this season. Add in two missed cuts in the last
two years and a failure to finish ahead of Ames on this course on any
occasion and this should be a straightforward win for Ames, even though
Ogilvy should take him to the last round.
Kirk Triplett to beat Dudley Hart -114 @
Expekt
Having watched Shaker's 349/1 selection, Dudley Hart, completely fluff
his playoff chance last week, I am very much against Hart this week. He
must suffer a reaction from the way in which he hauled himself into
contention and then blew it. Even without that pressure, there is plenty
in Triplett's favour. He has finished ahead of Hart in every common
tournament this year, even beating him in every round bar one. It is
also remarkable that Triplett has beaten Hart in every 1st round they
have both completed since the start of the 2003 season! Certainly can't
see a fast start from Hart this week.
Zach Johnson to beat Todd Hamilton -111 @
BetandWin
Siding with the up-and-coming player against one whose win was simply a
freak result. Hamilton has missed three of eight cuts since that win
with a best finish of 21st; Johnson has a best finish of 11th and juts
one missed cut since his win.
Adding (1.5pts):
Mike Weir to beat David Toms -111 @
BetandWin
Toms has great course form, but it still very easy to oppose someone who
has missed five of their last six cuts. Weir may not be in the best of
form, but should need to make the cut to beat Toms, who appears to be
still hampered by his injured hand.
Final update: 3-1-0; +2.84pts
Ames/Ogilvy WON by 16
Triplett/Hart WON by 5
Johnson/Hamilton WON by 6
Weir/Toms LOST by 3
Nice profit on the plays with Weir coming close to ensuring the
sweep. Relieved that none of the other three were overturned after the
opponent in every match made the cut by a single shot.
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