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Tour Championship
Outright plays (1 unit): Tiger
Woods to win 2/1 @ WSEX
There are only two par-fives on this course and the argument is that it should
not favour Tiger. But with Mickelson and Tiger 1-2 the last time this course was
used, it can hardly be described as a course that favoured accuracy off the tee.
They ranked 1-2 in driving distance in the 2000 event and both were in the top-4
in greens in regulation. Woods was top-4 in scoring on the par-3s and the par-4s
in 2000. His game is more than just about par-fives. That said, even though 2/1
is an attractive price for the world's best player in such a small field, it is
not a double-play. It is at the very least a safety play because the other two
selections do not have a good record of winning events when Tiger is in the
field. David Toms to win 16/1 e.w. @ Tote
or
Stan James
This is Toms' last chance to secure a win in the 2002 season. He has become an
extremely consistent player and is currently on a run of five consecutive top-15
finishes and would have surely won last week but for an unbelievable burst of
low-scoring by Jonathan Byrd. Will be wanting to atone for losing the tournament
last year when he three-putted the penultimate and hopefully a return to
Atlanta, the scene of his 2001 PGA Championship, will bring a return of his
winning ways. Nick Price to win 50/1 e.w. @
William Hill or
SportsInteraction
Big price for a player who has become as consistent as Toms, but looked much
less likely to win even though he has on PGA Tour victory this season. In all
competitions since his opening event this year, he has finished outside the
top-20 on just three occasions. With a 3rd place finish in 2000 on a course that
doesn't penalise his lack of length, he looks a big price at 50/1 or rather
12.5/1 to gain a top-4 finish.
 Matchup plays (1
unit unless stated): Kenny Perry to beat Rich Beem
-137 @ Sporting Odds [2 units]
Loren Roberts to beat Rich Beem -118 @ Expekt
Nick Price to beat Rich Beem -138 @ Pinnacle
[2 units]
Nick Price to beat Bob Estes -125 @ Expekt
Nick Price to beat Chris Riley -105 @ GameDay
Final update: Matchups:
3-2-0; +1.57 units Perry/Beem WON by 3
Roberts/Beem LOST by 6
Price/Beem WON by 2
Price/Estes LOST by 3
Price/Riley WON by 2 Outrights: 1-2; -0.50 units Woods 7th
Toms 3rd
Price 22nd Small profit on the event. Price won two of his matchups despite a
poor final round that saw him finish 22nd of 30 and Beem continued to be a good
player to oppose. Similarly, the outrights were as good as they could get. Toms
did briefly hold the lead in the 3rd round, but was no match for Singh over the
course of the week.
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