Safeway International

FINAL RESULT: 3-1-0; +4.35pts

Koch/Diaz LOST by 5
Rosales/Pak WON (Pak wd)
Sorenstam/Kerr WON by 9
Wie/Pak WON (Pak wd)

A good result on the matchups to round off a very profitable event. Had hoped for the sweep with Koch leading Diaz by two with just one round to play, but she had a very poor final round.

Adding (1.5pts unless stated):

Annika Sorenstam to beat Cristie Kerr -155 @ Five Dimes [3pts]
There really should be shorter odds on a player who is 6/4 to win the event against one who is 10/1 at best. Sorenstam has a 11-3-0 h2h record against Kerr over the last year and is aiming for her fourth straight Safeway title. I didn't think there would be many value opportunities for backing Sorenstam this year, but when I make her a 78% chance to win this match, this is easily a double-play.

Michelle Wie to beat Se Ri Pak -135 @ Expekt  * PRICE UPDATE: -125 @ Centrebet / SuperOdds *
Adding another play against the struggling Pak and with a much stronger opponent than Rosales. Wie may have finished behind Rosales in her opening event of the season, but as an outright selection, she is considered the better chance to win this week and extend her run to consecutive head-to-head victories against Pak.

Matchup plays (1.5pts):

Carin Koch to beat Laura Diaz -110 @ SkyBet
Give Koch the edge in this match having played on this course last year and Diaz not and while, they have split their two matches this year, Diaz beat Koch by just a single shot in Mexico whereas Koch beat Diaz by nine the previous week to highlight her greater consistency.
(also available at Paddy Power)

Jenny Rosales to beat Se Ri Pak +100 @ BetFred
Pak may have finished ahead of Rosales last year on this course, but there has been a marked reversal in form since, with Rosales beating Pak in eight of their last eleven common events and the last occasion was only because Rosales withdrew after the first round - Pak finished 54th. Already a winner this year in Hawaii, Rosales looks the far likelier contender for the title this week and that makes evens pretty good odds.