A tricky tournament to weigh up this year with a lot of variables and hence quite a few price differences. I have come up with the following  plays and these are likely to be my only plays of the tournament.

Finishing Position Bet.  Buy FP M WARREN 0.5pts @ 53 (sporting Index)

Marc has lost his form since his win last year in the JW. A couple of missed cuts on the Asian tour latest, coupled with three missed cuts at this location (including the only two times he has played this course prompt me to put him up as a FP buy this week. (mu 70) Profit +8.5pts

R1 18 Hole Match Bet. Buy H STENSON @3 0.25pts v P Casey (sporting Index)

It wouldn't surprise me at all to see Henrik come out flying this week. He holds a 10-7 R1 lead over Casey in their joint events over the past year, and a 2-0 h2h advantage on this course. Casey does not normally come out playing his best golf after a break and I think we can take advantage of that here. (mu34) Profit +7.75pts

R1 18 Hole Match Bet. Sell D Lynn @0 0.25pts v S GALLACHER (sporting Index)

H2H in joint events over the last twelve months shows a R1 stats in which Lynn has won just 6 of the 20 events played together. Admittedly course form h2h is shared (1-1), I just feel this week that the conditions may suit Stephen better. Stephen had a good run out last week, while his opponent has not been competetive since 21st October (mu -13) Profit +3.25pts

72 Hole Match Bet. Sell R Karlsson @ -0.75 for 0.5pts  v M A JIMENEZ (sporting Index)

Jimenez has good form in these climes and holds a 2-0 course h2h advantage over his opponent. Match bets over the last twelve months show a 12-5 lead for Jimenez too. Taking the Spaniard to win this one too. (mu 6pts)  Loss - 3.375pts