FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -3.00pts

Dyson 21st
Hanson mc
Wilson mc

Disappointing result when Dyson had been leading this event for the first one-and-a-half days and was available at less than 4/1 at that stage. He was fortunate to profit from the big discrepancy in weather conditions between the morning and afternoon groups in the first round, whereas Hanson and Wilson were not so fortunate with the draw.

Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Simon Dyson to win 22/1 e.w. @ Boyle Sports [6 places]
Dyson always does well when the Tour reaches Asia and this year was no difference with two top-3 finishes in his last four starts, but he can also play in other regions as well: for example, he won the KLM Open last year (his second victory on the European Tour last year) and he finished 7th against a very strong field in the Dubai Desert Classic last time outside Asia. And in terms of his form in Portugal, it only needs stating that he is the course record holder (64) at Oitavos to make him worthy of attention this week.

Peter Hanson to win 50/1 e.w. @ Boyle Sports [6 places]
Hanson did struggle for three rounds on his previous visit in 2005, but a final round 67 should give some cause to think that he may have found a means of playing this course well. And playing well has not been a problem recently - he opened the season with a runners-up finish in the Abu Dhabi Golf Championship and finished 6th in the, already stated, very strong Dubai Desert Classic. He has played well at times in his two events on the Asian leg - 6th at the cut in the Johnnie Walker Classic and 11th after the first round of the Singapore Masters - and he is the clear leader in the greens in regulation stats on the European Tour this year, but he is still a better player on European courses and in European climates, so there should be value in these odds in Portugal.

Oliver Wilson to win 50/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and Boyle Sports [6 places]
Backing Wilson again for another week after he ranked inside the top-10 for the first two days in last Madeira Island Open, but came unstuck in a six-hole period on Saturday. His form is still good overall even though he has yet to fully repeat the form that earned him a playoff place for the Johnnie Walker Classic. He does have a top-20 finish (2004) on this course and while he was value at 33/1 (5 places) last week, the field this week is certainly not a great deal stronger so these odds and place terms appeal just as much.