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Summary: 2 Bets, 2 Losses. Loss 16.5 Pts Bet 1 - Sell Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano over Anthony Wall 18H MB at 2 with Sporting Index for 0.3 Pts. M/U 28, Loss 7.8 Pts H2H's show Castano has won their last 6 events which comes after a run of 9 wins in 11 for Wall. Wall is obviously badly out of form but all of Wall's figures long term, like average FP, cut avoidance and scoring form are better than the Spaniard's and he is worth backing with a 2pt start to win tomorrow. Bet 2 - Sell Martin Erlandsson over Andrew McLardy 18H MB at 2 with Sporting Index for 0.3 Pts.
M/U 31, Loss 8.7 Pts This one isn't really open to question when perusing long term stats. McLardy leads 11-4 in matches, 11-3-1 in R1 scoring and is nearly a stroke a round on average better than Erlandsson over the last 12 months. |
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