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1-2; +5.63pts
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)
Richard Green to win 13/1
e.w. @ Stan James
and Victor
Chandler 1st
Not really an event to back short-priced players, but the odds are not very
attractive on any player at this stage of the week and with such a wide gulf
between the top dozen players and the rest of the field, Green should really be
in the mix again this week. Since returning to the Tour three weeks ago, he has
finished 4th and 8th in his two Tour events. And with a 4th place finish on this
course last year, there should still be some value in this price.
Martin
Kaymer to win 25/1 e.w. @
BetFred
mc
Only half the price that he was last week, but this is a much weaker field and
he did enough to warrant retention as a selection for another week. It was the
first time that he had held the lead in a European Tour event, but is should be
remembered that he was only playing in German regional events 12 months ago and
is just 22 years old. Now that the Tour is in Austria, he should be guaranteed a
good section of support if he were to take the lead again and he can only learn
from last week's experience.
Soren Hansen to win 40/1 e.w. @
BetInternet
[6 places] 38th
With such a gap between the top players and the rest of the field, I am
surprised at these odds. He is one of the few players to have won on Tour and/or
rank in the top-35 in the Order of Merit last year. His finishes this year have
been less impressive, but there have been some better performances recently: he
was 6th in the Asian Open in April before a final round 78; he finished 13th in
the Open de Andalucia last month and was 12th at the cut in the Irish Open
before a third round 82. And he had been in worse form before this event last
year, but still finished 2nd, shooting every round in the 60s. This course
clearly sets up well for his game and against such a weak field, a repetition of
last year's finish is certainly feasible.
